72 Spring St · Carbondale, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Must be sold with 135 Terrace St. Carbondale MLS# SC-261156. Total asking price is $205,000. Motivated seller. 6 room, 3 bed and a bath and a half, eat in kitchen. Needs some TLC.
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 149 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.8% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#648 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, employment D.
- Carbondale Area SD (suburban): math 15% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #480 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $105k implies a 600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.32%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,728
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -25.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Cemetery St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (0%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $121 | 79 |
| 2 Olive St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,181 (-2%) | 9mo | $223,000 | $189 | 75 |
| 37 Washington St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (-13%) | 10mo | $182,000 | $174 | 65 |
| 86 Birkett St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,137 (-5%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $166 | 65 |
| 48 Copeland Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,322 (+10%) | 6mo | $153,000 | $116 | 65 |
| 44 Richmond St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 0mo | $161,120 | $134 | 63 |
| 171 Lincoln Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,313 (+9%) | 8mo | $201,400 | $153 | 63 |
| 95 Park St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,357 (+13%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $114 | 61 |
| 21 Archbald St | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 10mo | $240,800 | $185 | 59 |
| 174 Washington St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+12%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $119 | 58 |
| 76 Lunny | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+8%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $96 | 54 |
| 37 Plum Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,286 (+7%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $117 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $5,359
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $33,532
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18407
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,363 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 Spring St Carbondale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 109 Salem Ave Unit 1Fl Carbondale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 29 Park St Carbondale, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1290 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 28 Wyoming St Carbondale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,045 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 151 Wyoming St Carbondale, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 18 Parish Ct Carbondale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 85 Belmont St Carbondale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4 Apple Ave Apt 4 Carbondale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,114 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 175 Dundaff St Carbondale, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 25 Richmond St Carbondale, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 37 Green St Carbondale, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,375 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 418 N Main St Unit 1B Simpson, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,175 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 35 Rittenhouse St Unit 1st floor Carbondale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $105,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $105,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $105,000 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Must be sold with 135 Terrace St. Carbondale MLS# SC-261156. Total asking price is $205,000. Motivated seller. 6 room, 3 bed and a bath and a half, eat in kitchen. Needs some TLC.
-
2026-04-28price $120,000 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Must be sold with 135 Terrace St. Carbondale MLS# SC-261156. Total asking price is $205,000. Motivated seller. 6 room, 3 bed and a bath and a half, eat in kitchen. Needs some TLC.
-
2026-01-19$140,000 Active 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Must be sold with 135 Terrace St. Carbondale MLS# SC-261156. Total asking price is $205,000. Motivated seller. 6 room, 3 bed and a bath and a half, eat in kitchen. Needs some TLC.
-
1998-09-15soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,308
- − Management
- −$1,308
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $2,701
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$648
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,563/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carbondale Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204980
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -23.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,070
- Composite
- 19.73/100
- National rank
- #8714
- State rank
- #480 of 539 in PA
Livability — Carbondale
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #648
- US rank
- #6298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carbondale, PA
- County
- Lackawanna County · 134,448 people
- City population
- 14,445
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,445
- Household income
- $59,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 430.0
Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,652 people
- By 2030
- 208,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 203,980 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 201,069 · -4.5%
- By 2075
- 205,026 · -2.7%
- By 2100
- 210,851 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.46%
- Current HPI
- 140.1227
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+600.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $105,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $120,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-19 Listed $140,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1998-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+30.8%/yrLatest (2026): $24,691 · +1511.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…