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345 Banner Cir
B- Composite 68.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,500

345 Banner Cir · Ellijay, GA 30540
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,655 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1992 1.92 ac lot $75/sqft · 52% below area ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • 1.92 spacious acres
  • 1.92 acre lot
  • 3 parking spots

Tags

1.92 SPACIOUS ACRES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 1.8% in Ellijay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 971 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,765 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.73%
Cash-on-cash
19.42%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,266
List price
$124,500
Delta
-51.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 Jetty Dr 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,475 (-11%) 4mo $250,000 $169 48
140 Jetty Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,475 (-11%) 10mo $259,000 $176 46
140 Jetty Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,475 (-11%) 10mo $259,000 $176 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$15,745
Equity at exit
$18,563
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$59,943
Equity at exit
$10,764

Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30540

Home prices YoY
-11.0%
Active inventory
971
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,735 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$653
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,220/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$564

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,021
Max offer price $124,500
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $635 -5% $599 +0% $564 +5% $529 +10% $494
Rent -10% $427 -5% $496 +0% $564 +5% $633 +10% $701
Rate -1.0pp $627 -0.5pp $596 base $564 +0.5pp $532 +1.0pp $499

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,125
Closing costs
$3,735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,500 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,500 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,500 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,500 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,500 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,500 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-05-11
    price $124,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  8. 2026-05-11
    price $124,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  9. 2026-05-05
    price $125,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  10. 2026-05-05
    price $125,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  11. 2026-04-27
    price $125,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  12. 2026-04-27
    price $125,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  13. 2026-04-21
    price $128,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  14. 2026-04-21
    price $128,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  15. 2026-04-13
    listed $129,000 New 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  16. 2026-04-13
    listed $129,000 Active 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Transform this property into something special. Convenient to beautiful Ellijay and located on 1.92 spacious acres. Property sold As-Is.

  17. 2026-04-10
    historical
  18. 2026-04-10
    historical
  19. 2026-04-07
    price $133,500
  20. 2026-04-07
    price $133,500
  21. 2026-04-02
    price $135,000
  22. 2026-04-02
    price $135,000
  23. 2026-03-25
    price $137,500
  24. 2026-03-25
    price $137,500
  25. 2026-03-18
    price $138,500
  26. 2026-03-18
    price $138,500
  27. 2026-03-11
    price $138,900
  28. 2026-03-11
    price $138,900
  29. 2026-03-02
    price $140,000
  30. 2026-03-02
    price $140,000
  31. 2026-01-26
    price $141,900
  32. 2026-01-26
    price $141,900
  33. 2026-01-05
    listed $142,500 New
  34. 2026-01-05
    listed $142,500 New
  35. 2025-12-31
    historical
  36. 2025-10-22
    listed $145,000 New
  37. 2025-09-23
    historical
  38. 2025-09-23
    historical
  39. 2025-07-21
    price $149,900
  40. 2025-06-23
    listed $159,900 New
  41. 2025-06-23
    listed $159,900 Active
  42. 2025-04-07
    soldstatus $135,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,220 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,220 · $102/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,818
− Mortgage interest
−$6,974
− Property taxes
−$1,220
− Insurance
−$622
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,665
− Management
−$1,665
− Depreciation
−$3,622
Taxable income
$5,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,212
After-tax cash flow
$5,557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gilmer County
NCES district ID
1302340
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,473
Composite
31.53/100
National rank
#5961
State rank
#56 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ellijay

Score
71/100
State rank
#85
US rank
#7087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
20,145

Population outlook (Gilmer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,466 people
By 2030
32,199 · +2.3%
By 2040
33,034 · +5.0%
By 2050
33,266 · +5.7%
By 2075
33,686 · +7.1%
By 2100
33,792 · +7.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gilmer

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.6 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+63.3 2008: R+52.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.49%
Current HPI
270.796
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.5% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $124,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $124,900 FMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $125,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $125,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $125,900 FMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $125,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $128,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $128,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $129,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $133,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $133,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $135,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $135,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $137,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $137,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $138,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $138,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $138,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $138,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $141,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $141,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $142,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $142,500 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $145,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $149,900 FMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $159,900 FMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $159,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,220 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…