Fourplex
2503 Cincinnati · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the perfect blend of residential and commercial potential with this versatile mixed-use property! Offering a total of 5 units, 4 are spacious residential units, each boasting three bedrooms and two bathrooms. Every unit provides a private yard/patio, laundry, parking, and separate utility meters, ensuring convenience and privacy. The ground-level commercial space, invites entrepreneurial possibilities with its street visibility. This property offers a rare opportunity to live, rent, and invest all in one! Also a good opportunity for developers. Located near downtown and public transportation.
Key facts
- Street visibility
- Private yard
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-949 ($-11k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-237/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.03M (14.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $845k (29.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $845k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,449/mo this rent would consume 170% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 3159% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.39%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,321,074
- List price
- $1,199,000
- Delta
- -9.24%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-279,793
- Equity at exit
- $178,775
- IRR
- -32.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.25×
- Total profit
- $-418,320
- Equity at exit
- $103,668
Cash invested: $335,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90033
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 47.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,449 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,288
- Tax from tax record
- −$837 /mo · $10,041/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,774
- Net cashflow
- $-949
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-271 | -5% $-610 | +0% $-949 | +5% $-1,289 | +10% $-1,628 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,617 | -5% $-1,283 | +0% $-949 | +5% $-616 | +10% $-282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-346 | -0.5pp $-644 | base $-949 | +0.5pp $-1,260 | +1.0pp $-1,576 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | — | $8,448 |
| #1 | 1 | — | $2,112 |
| #2 | 1 | — | $2,112 |
| #3 | 1 | — | $2,112 |
| #4 | 1 | — | $2,112 |
| Total (4 units) | $8,449 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $299,750
- Closing costs
- $35,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 S St Louis St Los Angeles, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4414 | $1,100 | $0.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,199,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,199,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,199,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,199,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,199,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,199,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,199,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,199,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,199,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,199,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,199,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,199,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,199,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$1,199,000 Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Discover the perfect blend of residential and commercial potential with this versatile mixed-use property! Offering a total of 5 units, 4 are spacious residential units, each boasting three bedrooms and two bathrooms. Every unit provides a private yard/patio, laundry, parking, and separate utility meters, ensuring convenience and privacy. The ground-level commercial space, invites entrepreneurial possibilities with its street visibility. This property offers a rare opportunity to live, rent, and invest all in one! Also a good opportunity for developers. Located near downtown and public transportation.
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2025-11-24price $1,299,000
-
2025-10-20$1,349,000 Active
-
2025-10-07historical
-
2025-06-23$1,399,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $10,041 · $837/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,041 · $837/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $101,388
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,163
- − Property taxes
- −$10,041
- − Insurance
- −$5,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,111
- − Management
- −$8,111
- − Depreciation
- −$34,880
- Taxable loss
- −$32,913
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,899
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,647
- Household income
- $59,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3159.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 90% Two or more races 13% Asian 4% White 3% Native American 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 16% English-only · Spanish 80% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.59%
- Current HPI
- 472.4588
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.34%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $1,199,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $1,299,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $1,349,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-23 Listed $1,399,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $10,041 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…