222 Troy Oaks Dr · Hiram, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full bath manufactured home situated on a large lot with plenty of room to enjoy both inside and out! Located in the comfortable community of Troy Oaks, this home offers a warm and finished feel rarely found. The oversized family room with windows flooding the room with natural light and vaulted ceilings, provides an inviting space for relaxing or entertaining, while the large eat-in kitchen area offers ample cabinet and counter space for everyday living. The spacious owner’s suite features an attached master bath complete with a glamour tub, separate shower, dual vanity sinks and a skylight for additional natural light. Two additional bedro
Key facts
- Glamour tub
- Large lot
- Attached master bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $958 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#413 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Berkshire Local (town): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #335 of 656 in OH (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 220 units permitted in Geauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Geauga County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.62%
- DSCR
- 3.03
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $46,464
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 48.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.73×
- Total profit
- $119,152
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44234
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $958
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17802 Rapids Rd Hiram, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1847 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $10,700
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,568
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkshire Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904716
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,347
- Composite
- 48.53/100
- National rank
- #2117
- State rank
- #335 of 656 in OH
Livability — Hiram
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #6814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Portage · 165,699 people
- Metro
- Akron, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,078
- Household income
- $73,519
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Geauga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,919 people
- By 2030
- 94,804 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 92,641 · -2.4%
- By 2050
- 88,198 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 79,080 · -16.7%
- By 2100
- 60,856 · -35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Geauga
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+15.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.69%
- Current HPI
- 210.5904
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $95,000 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…