3611 I St NE #151 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to The River Estates, a sought-after 55+ community offering great amenities. This beautifully updated, move-in ready home offers a heat pump with A/C, 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and 1,248 sq ft of living space. Step inside to an open concept layout with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light. The kitchen features a convenient breakfast bar and dining room. Spacious primary suite offers a WIC and private retreat to unwind. * * * Nearly every detail of this home has been refreshed, including new interior/exterior paint, updated lighting, newer carpet and LVP flooring, dual pane vinyl windows for efficiency and comfort. Major upgrades have already been handled for you, including n
Key facts
- Wic
- Private retreat
- Heat pump with a c
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Water company and sewer service included in space rent; Directions: From Auburn Way N, east on 37th St into The River Estates
- Financial info: Land lease payment: $883; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in The River Estates (senior community); Park amenities include BBQs, clubhouse, common area, pool, recreational area, sauna, spa/hot tub, high-speed internet availability; 304 homes in the park; Park approved for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; RV parking (community)
- Security: Community clubhouse and common areas (park amenities)
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (included in space rent); Sewer service included in space rent; Power provided by PSE; Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level; Facing: Has view; Make: Golden West, Model: Gsd-300; Mobile home remains on lot; Skirted with metal
- Construction: Metal/Vinyl construction materials; Composition roof; Concrete ribbon foundation with tie downs; Manufactured after 06/15/1976
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Paved lot; Community waterfront/private beach access; Spa/Hot tub (community)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Stove/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump heating; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Entry; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Bath off primary; Ceiling fan(s); Patio/porch/deck; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $148k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $148k implies a 393% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.67%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3611 I St NE #91 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,232 (-1%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $112 | 93 |
| 3611 I St NE #293 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 20mo | $162,000 | $130 | 83 |
| 3611 I St NE #291 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,380 (+11%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $127 | 76 |
| 3611 I St NE #24 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 15mo | $85,000 | $63 | 75 |
| 3611 I St NE #260 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 13mo | $47,500 | $41 | 71 |
| 3611 I St NE #26 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $130 | 68 |
| 3611 I St NE #304 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 12mo | $122,000 | $91 | 68 |
| 3611 I St NE #296 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 20mo | $189,500 | $141 | 66 |
| 3611 I St NE #182 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $100 | 61 |
| 3611 I St NE #116 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 18mo | $89,000 | $66 | 57 |
| 3611 I St NE #203 | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,150 (-8%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $52 | 57 |
| 725 SE 37th #26 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 18mo | $120,000 | $89 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,140
- Equity at exit
- $22,067
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $14,579
- Equity at exit
- $12,796
Cash invested: $41,439 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98002
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,936 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$776
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$185 /mo · $2,220/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $457 | -5% $406 | +0% $355 | +5% $303 | +10% $252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $202 | -5% $278 | +0% $355 | +5% $431 | +10% $507 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $429 | -0.5pp $392 | base $355 | +0.5pp $316 | +1.0pp $277 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,999
- Closing costs
- $4,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802 45th St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,749 | $1.95 | 2d | 11 | 0.60mi |
| 2701 J St NE Unit 2701JB Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,050 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 939 | $1,795 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2602 J St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,972 | $2.20 | 3d | 10 | 0.67mi |
| 2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $2,050 | $2.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4750 Auburn Way N Auburn, WA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $2,102 | $2.08 | 2d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 2441 I St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,795 | $1.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2409 N St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,995 | $2.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,995 | $2.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,275 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,995 | $2.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,925 | $1.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 802 22nd St NE Unit 802 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,585 | $2.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 3d | 2 | 1.00mi |
| 2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,095 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,699 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $147,995 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $147,995 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $147,995 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $147,995 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $147,995 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $147,995 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $147,995 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,995 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,995 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,995 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,995 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,995 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,995 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,995 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,995 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$159,995 Active
-
2003-06-04soldstatus $30,000
-
2003-04-07$32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,290
- − Property taxes
- −$2,220
- − Insurance
- −$2,564
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,858
- − Management
- −$1,858
- − Depreciation
- −$4,305
- Taxable income
- $2,134
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$512
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,742/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home in The River Estates offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both interior paint — refreshes the home's appearance
- Both lighting — improves ambiance and safety
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both interior paint — refreshes the home's appearance ↑
- Both lighting — improves ambiance and safety ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,509
- Household income
- $78,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -677.96%
- Current HPI
- 298.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
+392.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $159,995 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-07 Listed $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…