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3611 I St NE #151
C+ Composite 62.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$147,995

3611 I St NE #151 · Auburn, WA 98002
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 9 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition Est $125k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to The River Estates, a sought-after 55+ community offering great amenities. This beautifully updated, move-in ready home offers a heat pump with A/C, 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and 1,248 sq ft of living space. Step inside to an open concept layout with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light. The kitchen features a convenient breakfast bar and dining room. Spacious primary suite offers a WIC and private retreat to unwind. * * * Nearly every detail of this home has been refreshed, including new interior/exterior paint, updated lighting, newer carpet and LVP flooring, dual pane vinyl windows for efficiency and comfort. Major upgrades have already been handled for you, including n

Key facts

  • Wic
  • Private retreat
  • Heat pump with a c

Tags

HEAT PUMP WITH A COPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTBREAKFAST BARSPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITEWICPRIVATE RETREAT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Water company and sewer service included in space rent; Directions: From Auburn Way N, east on 37th St into The River Estates
  • Financial info: Land lease payment: $883; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Located in The River Estates (senior community); Park amenities include BBQs, clubhouse, common area, pool, recreational area, sauna, spa/hot tub, high-speed internet availability; 304 homes in the park; Park approved for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; RV parking (community)
  • Security: Community clubhouse and common areas (park amenities)
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (included in space rent); Sewer service included in space rent; Power provided by PSE; Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level; Facing: Has view; Make: Golden West, Model: Gsd-300; Mobile home remains on lot; Skirted with metal
  • Construction: Metal/Vinyl construction materials; Composition roof; Concrete ribbon foundation with tie downs; Manufactured after 06/15/1976
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Paved lot; Community waterfront/private beach access; Spa/Hot tub (community)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Stove/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump heating; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Entry; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Bath off primary; Ceiling fan(s); Patio/porch/deck; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $148k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $148k implies a 393% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,995

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.67%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3611 I St NE #91 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,232 (-1%) 3mo $138,000 $112 93
3611 I St NE #293 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (0%) 20mo $162,000 $130 83
3611 I St NE #291 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,380 (+11%) 8mo $175,000 $127 76
3611 I St NE #24 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 15mo $85,000 $63 75
3611 I St NE #260 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-8%) 13mo $47,500 $41 71
3611 I St NE #26 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 12mo $175,000 $130 68
3611 I St NE #304 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 12mo $122,000 $91 68
3611 I St NE #296 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 20mo $189,500 $141 66
3611 I St NE #182 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-8%) 14mo $115,000 $100 61
3611 I St NE #116 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 18mo $89,000 $66 57
3611 I St NE #203 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,150 (-8%) 20mo $60,000 $52 57
725 SE 37th #26 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 18mo $120,000 $89 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,140
Equity at exit
$22,067
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$14,579
Equity at exit
$12,796

Cash invested: $41,439 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,936 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$776
Tax est. 1.5%
$185 /mo · $2,220/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $147,995
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $457 -5% $406 +0% $355 +5% $303 +10% $252
Rent -10% $202 -5% $278 +0% $355 +5% $431 +10% $507
Rate -1.0pp $429 -0.5pp $392 base $355 +0.5pp $316 +1.0pp $277

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,999
Closing costs
$4,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
802 45th St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,749 $1.95 2d 11 0.60mi
2701 J St NE Unit 2701JB Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,050 $2.56 25d 1 0.63mi
987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 939 $1,795 $1.91 25d 1 0.65mi
2602 J St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 897 $1,972 $2.20 3d 10 0.67mi
2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 20d 1 0.69mi
2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 25d 1 0.70mi
2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $2,050 $2.25 3d 1 0.74mi
4750 Auburn Way N Auburn, WA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $2,102 $2.08 2d 10 0.79mi
2441 I St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $1,795 $1.97 15d 1 0.79mi
2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,950 $1.53 25d 1 0.80mi
2409 N St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,950 $2.17 15d 1 0.80mi
2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 3d 1 0.82mi
2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,995 $2.02 3d 1 0.83mi
2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,275 $1.62 25d 1 0.89mi
2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 3d 1 0.89mi
2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,925 $1.93 22d 1 0.92mi
802 22nd St NE Unit 802 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,585 $2.11 13d 1 1.00mi
1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,650 $1.83 3d 2 1.00mi
2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1248 $2,095 $1.68 22d 1 1.01mi
1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,699 $1.89 25d 1 1.08mi
1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 5d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $147,995 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $147,995 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $147,995 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $147,995 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $147,995 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $147,995 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on marketlisting id $147,995 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,995 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,995 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,995 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,995 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,995 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,995 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,995 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,995 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $159,995 Active
  18. 2003-06-04
    soldstatus $30,000
  19. 2003-04-07
    listed $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,230
− Mortgage interest
−$8,290
− Property taxes
−$2,220
− Insurance
−$2,564
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,858
− Management
−$1,858
− Depreciation
−$4,305
Taxable income
$2,134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$512
After-tax cash flow
$3,742/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in The River Estates offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint — refreshes the home's appearance
  • Both lighting — improves ambiance and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint — refreshes the home's appearance
  • Both lighting — improves ambiance and safety

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+392.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $159,995 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-06-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-07 Listed $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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