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2801 S Stone Rd #51
D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,000

2801 S Stone Rd #51 · Marion, IN 46953
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 535 Days on market
Built 2024 ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Basketball court
  • Playground

Tags

PLAYGROUNDCLUBHOUSEBASKETBALL COURT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $783 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 69.0% vs local median 8.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#337 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #277 of 301 in IN (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grant County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 535 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $13,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 535 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.48%
Cap rate
68.96%
Cash-on-cash
223.80%
DSCR
10.96
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.30×
Total profit
$47,475
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.15×
Total profit
$105,648
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46953

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $225/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$783

Break-even live

Break-even rent $131
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 25%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $15,000 Active 535 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 534 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,000 Active 533 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,000 Active 532 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $15,000 Active 531 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $15,000 Active 529 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $15,000 Active 528 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $15,000 Active 525 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 524 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,000 Active 523 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,000 Active 518 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $15,000 Active 517 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $14,500 Active 516 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $14,500 Active 515 DOM
  15. 2026-02-01
    price $14,500 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  16. 2025-01-09
    price $15,000 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  17. 2025-01-04
    status Active 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  18. 2024-07-20
    historical 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  19. 2024-07-18
    status Active 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  20. 2024-07-17
    historical 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  21. 2024-07-16
    listed $17,700 Active 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a clubhouse, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,473
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$225
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,078
− Management
−$1,078
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$9,741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,338
After-tax cash flow
$7,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion Community Schools
NCES district ID
1806390
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$33,415
Composite
17.13/100
National rank
#9115
State rank
#277 of 301 in IN

Livability — Marion

Score
65/100
State rank
#337
US rank
#13006

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Grant County · 41,561 people
City population
41,561
Metro
Marion, IN
Population (ZIP)
23,372
Household income
$46,288
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
597.0

Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,394 people
By 2030
62,145 · -3.5%
By 2040
57,252 · -11.1%
By 2050
52,968 · -17.7%
By 2075
45,986 · -28.6%
By 2100
39,400 · -38.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Grant

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.2% · R 70.0% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-28.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.47%
Current HPI
171.7246
Rent YoY
Metro
Marion, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-01 Price Changed $14,500 Zillow
  • 2025-01-09 Price Changed $15,000 Zillow
  • 2025-01-04 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-07-20 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-07-18 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-07-17 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-07-16 Listed $17,700 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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