2196 Sanford Rd #25 · Wells, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- Schools +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open-concept layout
- Electric fireplaces
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: Residential
- Financial info: Land lease applies
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $495 monthly fee; Located in High Pine Mobile Home Court
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with storage above; Gravel parking with 1–4 spaces
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Mobile home (double wide); Champion make; Built in 2021; Measured above-grade finished area 1,434
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Shed(s); Located in a mobile home park; Interior, level lot; Near turnpike/interstate and near railroad; Private road frontage; Gravel and dirt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island; Pantry; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor with double vanity, full bath, suite; Two additional first-floor bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Circuit breaker electrical
- Interior features: One-floor living; 1st-floor bedroom; 1st-floor primary bedroom with bath; Pantry; Shower; Walk-in closets; Generator; Two fireplaces; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level with washer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
- Recommended offer: $355k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $360k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.65%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $263,169
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2196 Sanford Rd #51 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+6%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $163 | 89 |
| 2196 Sanford Rd #5 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-7%) | 10mo | $244,000 | $171 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-27,939
- Equity at exit
- $53,662
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $15,248
- Equity at exit
- $31,118
Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04090
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 267
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,966 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,887
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$495
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$833
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,975
- Closing costs
- $10,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $495 · $5,940/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $359,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $359,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $359,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $359,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $359,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $359,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $359,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $359,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$359,900 Active
-
2021-10-08soldstatus $175,000 Closed 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.
-
2021-05-18status Pending 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.
-
2021-05-14$175,000 Active 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,514 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,204 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,690/yr (+$141/mo · 111.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,160
- − Property taxes
- −$1,514
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,807
- − Management
- −$3,807
- − HOA
- −$5,940
- − Depreciation
- −$10,470
- Taxable income
- $91
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$22
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wells-Ogunquit CSD
- NCES district ID
- 2313490
- Math proficiency
- 87% ▲ 42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 90% ▲ 26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,341
- Composite
- 75.79/100
- National rank
- #125
- State rank
- #32 of 112 in ME
Livability — Wells
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,544
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,961 people
- By 2030
- 212,816 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 214,360 · +2.1%
- By 2050
- 210,350 · +0.2%
- By 2075
- 201,686 · -3.9%
- By 2100
- 183,392 · -12.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.52%
- Current HPI
- 413.9951
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+105.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $359,900 MREIS
- 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) $175,000 MREIS
- 2021-05-18 Pending — MREIS
- 2021-05-14 Listed $175,000 MREIS
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,514 · +18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…