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2196 Sanford Rd #25
D+ Composite 48.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$359,900

2196 Sanford Rd #25 · Wells, ME 04090
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,539 sqft · Manufactured public records · 21 Days on market
Built 2021 Est $263k · 37% over $495/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open-concept layout
  • Electric fireplaces

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTWALK-IN CLOSETOVERSIZED WALK-IN SHOWERELECTRIC FIREPLACESDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMLARGE PATIO-FACING WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: Residential
  • Financial info: Land lease applies
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $495 monthly fee; Located in High Pine Mobile Home Court

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage with storage above; Gravel parking with 1–4 spaces
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Mobile home (double wide); Champion make; Built in 2021; Measured above-grade finished area 1,434
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Shed(s); Located in a mobile home park; Interior, level lot; Near turnpike/interstate and near railroad; Private road frontage; Gravel and dirt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island; Pantry; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor with double vanity, full bath, suite; Two additional first-floor bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Circuit breaker electrical
  • Interior features: One-floor living; 1st-floor bedroom; 1st-floor primary bedroom with bath; Pantry; Shower; Walk-in closets; Generator; Two fireplaces; Total of 6 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level with washer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
  • Recommended offer: $355k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $175k; list at $360k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $354,501 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.65%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$263,169
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2196 Sanford Rd #51 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,624 (+6%) 2mo $265,000 $163 89
2196 Sanford Rd #5 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-7%) 10mo $244,000 $171 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-27,939
Equity at exit
$53,662
10-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$15,248
Equity at exit
$31,118

Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04090

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,966 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,887
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,514/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$495
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$833
Net cashflow
$474

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,365
Max offer price $359,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,975
Closing costs
$10,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$495 · $5,940/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $359,900 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $359,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $359,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $359,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $359,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $359,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $359,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    status $359,900 Pending 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $359,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $359,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,900 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $359,900 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $359,900 Active
  15. 2021-10-08
    soldstatus $175,000 Closed 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.

  16. 2021-05-18
    status Pending 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.

  17. 2021-05-14
    listed $175,000 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bath Double wide to be set in a pleasant park on lot #25. Great place for a summer home or year round living, close to major routes, shopping and beaches, all in a comfortable country park. Choice of 2 different models: The Catena or The Lodge, see pictures of different models.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,514 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,204 · $267/mo
Expected delta
+$1,690/yr (+$141/mo · 111.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,588
− Mortgage interest
−$20,160
− Property taxes
−$1,514
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,807
− Management
−$3,807
− HOA
−$5,940
− Depreciation
−$10,470
Taxable income
$91
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$22
After-tax cash flow
$5,671/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wells-Ogunquit CSD
NCES district ID
2313490
Math proficiency
87% ▲ 42.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 26.00%
Median HH income
$61,341
Composite
75.79/100
National rank
#125
State rank
#32 of 112 in ME

Livability — Wells

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,544

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.52%
Current HPI
413.9951
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+105.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $359,900 MREIS
  • 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) $175,000 MREIS
  • 2021-05-18 Pending MREIS
  • 2021-05-14 Listed $175,000 MREIS

Property tax history

+15.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,514 · +18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…