695 N A1a #25 · Sawgrass, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO EXPENSE WAS SPARED IN THE RENOVATION AND UPDATING OF THIS SPACIOUS PONTE VEDRA COND. GLEAMING WHITE TILED FLOORS, TOTALLY NEW KITCHEN, NEW WINDOWS, RENEWED AC, NEW WATER HEATER AND SO MUCH MORE. OWNER IS BUILDING A NEW HOME FOR HIS FAMILY. WOULD BE WILLING TO RENT THIS UNIT IF SOLD BEFORE ITS COMPLETION
Key facts
- Renovated
- Florida room
- Beach proximity
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association-managed (First Service Residential); Monthly HOA fee; HOA covers maintenance of structure, pest control, sewer, trash, and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, basketball court, tennis courts, dog park, RV/boat storage, trash service, and water; Community grounds maintenance provided
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Additional parking available; RV access/parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; Two levels; Entry level on level 1
- Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; 2-story building
- Exterior features: Balcony; Glass-enclosed patio/porch; Asphalt road access; Community pool (not private)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; ENERGY STAR qualified dishwasher; ENERGY STAR qualified refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Open floor plan; Pantry; Primary bath with shower (no tub)
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Electric dryer hookup; Washer/Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.0% in Sawgrass — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#675 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Ponte Vedra Palm Valley- Rawlings Elementary School (math 86% / reading 84%, grade A+, #35 of 2,144 statewide, top 2%, 1,066 students, 11% FRL); Alice B. Landrum Middle School (math 87% / reading 79%, grade A+, #14 of 571 statewide, top 2%, 1,142 students, 3% FRL); Ponte Vedra High School (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A, #19 of 667 statewide, top 3%, 1,928 students, 2% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.09%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-9,621
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $81,474
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32082
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,305 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$734
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$694
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $380 | -5% $309 | +0% $238 | +5% $168 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-23 | -5% $108 | +0% $238 | +5% $369 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $364 | -0.5pp $302 | base $238 | +0.5pp $174 | +1.0pp $108 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2437 Burgundy Ct Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1612 | $2,750 | $1.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2456 Lorraine Ct S Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $3,700 | $2.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5 Arbor Club Dr #103 Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 8d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11 Arbor Club Dr #214 Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 19 Arbor Club Dr Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $2,095 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 650 Ponte Vedra Blvd Unit E Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1406 | $3,995 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 646 Ponte Vedra Blvd Unit D Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1757 | $3,500 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 657 Ponte Vedra Blvd Unit 657C Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $6,500 | $5.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 622 Ponte Vedra Blvd Unit D4 Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $4,500 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 61 Tifton Way N Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1965 | $4,400 | $2.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 62 Tifton Way N Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1965 | $4,500 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 562 Ponte Vedra Blvd Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1453 | $4,500 | $3.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 22 Tifton Way N Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1965 | $4,800 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 43 Tifton Way N Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $3,950 | $2.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 160 Veracruz Dr Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $2,188 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 506 Cali Dr Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $3,800 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 29 Turtleback Trl Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $4,000 | $2.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 21 Turtleback Trl Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $3,800 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 756 Spinnakers Reach Dr Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $4,500 | $2.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1 Turtleback Trl Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $3,450 | $2.22 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9787 Sawgrass Dr E Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $3,800 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 100 Ironwood Dr #133 Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $2,295 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9942 Sawgrass Dr E Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $4,100 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 511 Pheasant Run Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $3,495 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $734 · $8,808/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,684 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,684 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,657
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$2,684
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,173
- − Management
- −$3,173
- − HOA
- −$8,808
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$698
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$168
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sawgrass
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #675
- US rank
- #13959
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sawgrass, FL
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,289
- Household income
- $124,558
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 672.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -435.26%
- Current HPI
- 306.134
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.39%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+331.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $249,900 realMLS
- 2005-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-22 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2001-07-13 Listed $148,300 realMLS
- 1996-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1991-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $57,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,684 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…