Duplex
764 NE Main St · Willamina, OR
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Three units with great income near shopping, ideal for investment or dual living. 3-bedroom duplex plus one 2-bedroom house. The duplex features 3 BR 1 BA with separate laundry room on each side, with new gas wall heater installed in 2021. Additionally, unit B has bathroom flooring installed in 2021. The house has refreshed painting, bathroom, electrical panel, new refrigerator & stove in 2024. Separately metered for electrical, separately plumbed for water/sewer in 2022 so water meter can be added easily.
Key facts
- New stove
- New gas wall heater
- New refrigerator
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $639/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.1% in Willamina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#247 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Willamina SD 30J (rural): math 13% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #177 of 183 in OR (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 448 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $300k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 448 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.21%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $474,336
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -36.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
8.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $212,064
- Equity at exit
- $235,485
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.61×
- Total profit
- $555,118
- Equity at exit
- $474,919
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97396
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,986 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,281/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$837
- Net cashflow
- $1,278
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | — | $3,986 |
| #1 | 4 | — | $1,993 |
| #2 | 4 | — | $1,993 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,986 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $299,900 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 437 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,900 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Three units with great income near shopping, ideal for investment or dual living. 3-bedroom duplex plus one 2-bedroom house. The duplex features 3 BR 1 BA with separate laundry room on each side, with new gas wall heater installed in 2021. Additionally, unit B has bathroom flooring installed in 2021. The house has refreshed painting, bathroom, electrical panel, new refrigerator & stove in 2024. Separately metered for electrical, separately plumbed for water/sewer in 2022 so water meter can be added easily.
-
2026-05-01historical 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Three units with great income near shopping, ideal for investment or dual living. 3-bedroom duplex plus one 2-bedroom house. The duplex features 3 BR 1 BA with separate laundry room on each side, with new gas wall heater installed in 2021. Additionally, unit B has bathroom flooring installed in 2021. The house has refreshed painting, bathroom, electrical panel, new refrigerator & stove in 2024. Separately metered for electrical, separately plumbed for water/sewer in 2022 so water meter can be added easily.
-
2026-02-03$299,900 Active 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Three units with great income near shopping, ideal for investment or dual living. 3-bedroom duplex plus one 2-bedroom house. The duplex features 3 BR 1 BA with separate laundry room on each side, with new gas wall heater installed in 2021. Additionally, unit B has bathroom flooring installed in 2021. The house has refreshed painting, bathroom, electrical panel, new refrigerator & stove in 2024. Separately metered for electrical, separately plumbed for water/sewer in 2022 so water meter can be added easily.
-
2026-01-15price $299,900
-
2026-01-14price $299,900
-
2025-08-10price $325,000
-
2025-08-10price $325,000
-
2025-03-27$365,000 Active
-
1992-12-02soldstatus $60,000
-
1989-11-01soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,281 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,909 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,628/yr (+$136/mo · 127.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$1,281
- − Insurance
- −$2,297
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,827
- − Management
- −$3,827
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable income
- $11,078
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,659
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Willamina SD 30J
- NCES district ID
- 4113350
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,426
- Composite
- 21.97/100
- National rank
- #13548
- State rank
- #177 of 183 in OR
Livability — Willamina
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #247
- US rank
- #17087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Willamina, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,447
Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,295 people
- By 2030
- 112,060 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,975 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 118,155 · +8.1%
- By 2075
- 120,968 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 116,163 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 9% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Current HPI
- 347.9336
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+899.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $299,900 WVMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $299,900 WVMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $299,900 RMLS
- 2025-08-10 Price Changed $325,000 WVMLS
- 2025-08-10 Price Changed $325,000 RMLS
- 2025-03-27 Listed $365,000 RMLS
- 1992-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1989-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,281 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…