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100 Cascade Dr
B+ Composite 78.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$59,900

100 Cascade Dr · Belleville, IL 62223
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 195 Days on market
Built 1955 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute as can be 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Totally Remodeled Home! Just a few of the UPDATES seller has completed: Roof 2014, Laminate Flooring 2015, 200 Amp Electrical Service, Remodel of Bathroom, Water Heater approx. 2 years old, 3rd Bedroom Carpet replaced 2015, Newer Windows, All Built In Appliances stay including Washer and Dryer, Kitchen remodeled 1-2 Years ago. Neutral Paint Colors. Call Your Favorite Realtor Today for your Tour!

Key facts

  • Newer kitchen
  • Laundry room
  • Family room

Tags

NEWER KITCHENDINING ROOMFAMILY ROOMLAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership by contract
  • Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Sold as fixer
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built year not provided
  • Exterior features: Lot of approximately 0.18 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No central cooling
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Family room on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
17.06%
Cash-on-cash
38.46%
DSCR
2.71
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,304
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Cascade Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,164 (0%) 1mo $59,900 $51 96
217 Cascade Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,164 (0%) 11mo $125,000 $107 74
19 Cascade Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,236 (+6%) 18mo $184,900 $150 73
21 Richard Pl 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-5%) 4mo $150,000 $136 66
524 Pembroke Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,161 (-0%) 18mo $100,000 $86 66
512 Pembroke Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,069 (-8%) 10mo $160,000 $150 65
520 Pembroke Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+7%) 21mo $149,900 $120 53
29 Villa Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-4%) 18mo $149,000 $133 52
621 Eiler Rd 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,272 (+9%) 7mo $176,900 $139 52
540 Valencia Dr 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-10%) 13mo $82,500 $79 44
631 Monica 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,057 (-9%) 7mo $145,999 $138 44
8317 Old Saint Louis Rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (-9%) 12mo $180,000 $170 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.3%
Equity multiple
4.87×
Total profit
$64,911
Equity at exit
$51,790
10-year hold
IRR
47.3%
Equity multiple
10.77×
Total profit
$163,915
Equity at exit
$109,453

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62223

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,254/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$538

Break-even live

Break-even rent $667
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7235 Westfield Plaza Dr Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 795 $975 $1.23 2d 1 1.04mi
920 S 74th St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 12d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    price $59,900
  3. 2026-03-05
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-05
    price $66,000
  5. 2026-02-14
    price $70,000
  6. 2025-10-24
    listed $75,000 Active
  7. 2016-10-05
    soldstatus $60,000
  8. 2016-09-30
    soldstatus Closed 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Cute as can be 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Totally Remodeled Home! Just a few of the UPDATES seller has completed: Roof 2014, Laminate Flooring 2015, 200 Amp Electrical Service, Remodel of Bathroom, Water Heater approx. 2 years old, 3rd Bedroom Carpet replaced 2015, Newer Windows, All Built In Appliances stay including Washer and Dryer, Kitchen remodeled 1-2 Years ago. Neutral Paint Colors. Call Your Favorite Realtor Today for your Tour!

  9. 2016-09-23
    historical Active Under Contract 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Cute as can be 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Totally Remodeled Home! Just a few of the UPDATES seller has completed: Roof 2014, Laminate Flooring 2015, 200 Amp Electrical Service, Remodel of Bathroom, Water Heater approx. 2 years old, 3rd Bedroom Carpet replaced 2015, Newer Windows, All Built In Appliances stay including Washer and Dryer, Kitchen remodeled 1-2 Years ago. Neutral Paint Colors. Call Your Favorite Realtor Today for your Tour!

  10. 2016-06-22
    status Pending 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Cute as can be 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Totally Remodeled Home! Just a few of the UPDATES seller has completed: Roof 2014, Laminate Flooring 2015, 200 Amp Electrical Service, Remodel of Bathroom, Water Heater approx. 2 years old, 3rd Bedroom Carpet replaced 2015, Newer Windows, All Built In Appliances stay including Washer and Dryer, Kitchen remodeled 1-2 Years ago. Neutral Paint Colors. Call Your Favorite Realtor Today for your Tour!

  11. 2016-05-22
    listed $59,900 Active 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Cute as can be 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath Totally Remodeled Home! Just a few of the UPDATES seller has completed: Roof 2014, Laminate Flooring 2015, 200 Amp Electrical Service, Remodel of Bathroom, Water Heater approx. 2 years old, 3rd Bedroom Carpet replaced 2015, Newer Windows, All Built In Appliances stay including Washer and Dryer, Kitchen remodeled 1-2 Years ago. Neutral Paint Colors. Call Your Favorite Realtor Today for your Tour!

  12. 2005-06-28
    soldstatus $68,500
  13. 1998-04-20
    soldstatus $38,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,254 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,254 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,170
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$2,254
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,294
− Management
−$1,294
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$5,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,424
After-tax cash flow
$5,028/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
16,269
Household income
$73,700
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
656.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
259.15
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $66,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2016-09-30 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-23 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-22 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-22 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
  • 1998-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,254 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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