18 Longview Rd · Sandia Knolls, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$232,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Mountain setting, big-lot breathing room, and a layout that actually makes sense. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Sandia Knolls offers an open floor plan with comfortable living space and a large 0.5-acre lot. Enjoy a peaceful Sandia Park setting near Tinkertown Museum, Sandia Peak Tramway, Sandia Peak Ski Area, local trails, and everyday access toward Albuquerque-area shops, dining, and services. A solid option for buyers looking for space, location, and New Mexico mountain character.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Mountain setting
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Open patio; Patio; Back yard fencing; Full yard fence; Corner lot; Landscaped; Alley frontage (paved)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Living/dining room; Main level primary; Walk-in closet(s); Sliding windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $232k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (19.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (33.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#53 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.81%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $340,000
- List price
- $232,000
- Delta
- -31.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Pinon Heights Rd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (0%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $255 | 92 |
| 5 Pinon Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+6%) | 23mo | $298,000 | $211 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-54,241
- Equity at exit
- $34,592
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-68,811
- Equity at exit
- $20,059
Cash invested: $64,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87047
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,545 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,217
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,018/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $-261
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,000
- Closing costs
- $6,960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $232,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $232,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $232,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $232,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $232,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $243,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $243,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $243,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $243,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $243,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $243,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $243,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $243,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $243,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$243,500 Active 489-char remark
-
2023-04-21soldstatus
-
2023-03-10status Pending
-
2023-03-09status Active
-
2023-02-26status Pending
-
2023-02-17$260,000 Active
-
2020-05-28soldstatus
-
2017-10-09historical
-
2017-10-06soldstatus
-
2017-08-27status Pending
-
2017-08-19$150,000 Active
-
2000-07-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,018 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,018 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥89°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,545
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,996
- − Property taxes
- −$2,018
- − Insurance
- −$1,160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,484
- − Management
- −$1,484
- − Depreciation
- −$6,749
- Taxable loss
- −$7,345
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,763
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,364/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albuquerque Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500060
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 45.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,151
- Composite
- 53.29/100
- National rank
- #1487
- State rank
- #3 of 29 in NM
Livability — Sandia Knolls
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #13205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sandia Knolls, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,166
Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 704,528 people
- By 2030
- 711,723 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 714,522 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 709,274 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 680,015 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 619,879 · -12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 5% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.29%
- Current HPI
- 225.7018
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+54.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $232,000 Southwest MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $243,500 Southwest MLS
- 2023-04-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-03-10 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2023-03-09 Relisted — Southwest MLS
- 2023-02-26 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2023-02-17 Listed $260,000 Southwest MLS
- 2020-05-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-10-09 Delisted — Southwest MLS
- 2017-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-08-27 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2017-08-19 Listed $150,000 Southwest MLS
- 2000-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,018 · -12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…