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118 Remington Pl
B Composite 74.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$129,900

118 Remington Pl · Buffalo, NY 14210
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,408 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1910 3,920 sqft lot Est $214k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Two Story 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bathroom home in South Buffalo near Seneca St. New furnace and Hot Water Tank. .5 Bathroom in basement. Roof is aprox. , 8 yrs old. Hardwood Floors, fenced yard. Home needs some work as it has had water damage. Some contents stay w/ the home, such as freezer & table in basement. Home being sold as is condition.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • New furnace
  • Fenced yard

Tags

NEW FURNACEHOT WATER TANKFENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.73%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,016
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
40 Remington Pl 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,413 (+0%) 6mo $215,000 $152 86
59 Hammerschmidt Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,405 (-0%) 1mo $232,500 $165 85
91 Armin Pl 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,330 (-6%) 0mo $175,000 $132 73
58 Marbeth Ct 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,421 (+1%) 6mo $240,000 $169 73
105 Armin Pl 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,352 (-4%) 6mo $170,000 $126 72
109 Stevenson St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,500 (+6%) 6mo $230,000 $153 64
102 Pomona Pl 0.29mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-12%) 2mo $81,000 $66 57
89 Roberts Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,338 (-5%) 4mo $106,500 $80 57
417 Abbott Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-4%) 4mo $223,000 $165 54
95 Roberts Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+6%) 8mo $160,000 $108 52
330 Cumberland Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,321 (-6%) 6mo $217,000 $164 52
104 Weimar St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,549 (+10%) 4mo $172,900 $112 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$87,618
Equity at exit
$117,024
10-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
8.39×
Total profit
$268,956
Equity at exit
$252,367

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,207
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,275 $1.06 1d 1 0.24mi
1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,075 $0.95 14d 1 0.32mi
1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,250 $1.05 23d 1 0.37mi
214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 945 $1,200 $1.27 14d 1 0.48mi
34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 43d 1 0.48mi
298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1208 $2,200 $1.82 1d 1 0.68mi
89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,100 $0.86 10d 1 0.70mi
47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 43d 1 0.71mi
2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 937 $1,150 $1.23 43d 1 0.71mi
700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 14d 1 0.78mi
86 Edgewood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1700 $1,700 $1.00 1d 1 0.93mi
23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 43d 1 0.98mi
74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,510 $1.21 1d 1 1.36mi
102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-20
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-11
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-31
    price $129,900
  5. 2026-01-30
    listed $129,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 92% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,733
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$1,316
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,339
− Management
−$1,339
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$63
After-tax cash flow
$1,843/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-11 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $81 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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