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5 Crooked Run Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

5 Crooked Run Rd · North Versailles, PA 15137
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,071 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1951 0.33 ac lot Est $150k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming one-level ranch with covered parking is an excellent opportunity for downsizing, first-time homebuyers, or investors seeking a rental property with strong tenant appeal. The home features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, along with a comfortable living room and a separate dining room that adds to the functional layout. The kitchen offers practical workspace and convenient access to the covered outdoor area — perfect for grilling, relaxing, or enjoying time outside. The spacious backyard provides plenty of potential to create your own outdoor retreat or entertaining space. With just a few updates and personal touches, this property offers great upside potential and an oppo

Key facts

  • Practical workspace
  • Covered parking
  • Spacious backyard

Tags

COVERED PARKINGCOMFORTABLE LIVING ROOMSEPARATE DINING ROOMPRACTICAL WORKSPACECOVERED OUTDOOR AREASPACIOUS BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Public transportation nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove; Some gas appliances
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $85,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$149,940) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • East Allegheny SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #485 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.12%
Cash-on-cash
13.66%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,940
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
339 Foster Rd 0.14mi 2/1.0 972 (-9%) 8mo $112,000 $115 71
498 Taylor 0.55mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,068 (-0%) 1mo $220,000 $206 66
300 Taylor St 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (+5%) 5mo $167,000 $149 59
113 Robin St 0.66mi 2/1.0 1,104 (+3%) 7mo $118,500 $107 58
635 Larimer Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+3%) 4mo $165,000 $150 57
1104 Clinton Ave 0.21mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,157 (+8%) 16mo $148,800 $129 53
315 James St 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,160 (+8%) 13mo $125,000 $108 51
3812 Alice Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+8%) 3mo $161,500 $140 51
1302 Walnut St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (+10%) 22mo $201,000 $171 47
729 Naysmith Rd 0.66mi 2/1.0 972 (-9%) 9mo $136,000 $140 47
437 Leslie St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,144 (+7%) 22mo $42,500 $37 37
1303 Denning Way 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (+7%) 15mo $168,000 $146 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-699
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$16,358
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15137

Home prices YoY
-9.2%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,067 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,093/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $809
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Delaware Ave North Versailles, PA 3.0 1.5 1470 $1,450 $0.99 14d 1 0.79mi
930 Punta Gorda Ave Unit 1 East McKeesport, PA 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 3d 1 0.81mi
569 Woodmont Ave Unit C East McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 17d 1 0.89mi
569 Woodmont Ave Apt B East McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.89mi
175 Dix Dr North Versailles Township, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 691 $1,155 $1.67 3d 11 1.10mi
450 Card Ave Unit 1 Wilmerding, PA 1.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 23d 1 1.20mi
210 Westinghouse Ave Unit 210-E Wilmerding, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 14d 1 1.38mi
210 Westinghouse Ave Unit 210-D Wilmerding, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 43d 1 1.38mi
215 Grant St Wall, PA 2.0 2.5 960 $750 $0.78 43d 1 1.39mi
1806 Greensburg Ave North Versailles Township, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,015 $1.35 1d 10 1.45mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-26
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,093 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,218 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$125/yr (+$10/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,809
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,093
− Insurance
−$1,222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,025
− Management
−$1,025
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,210
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$290
After-tax cash flow
$2,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Allegheny SD
NCES district ID
4208060
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$38,748
Composite
18.44/100
National rank
#8930
State rank
#485 of 539 in PA

Livability — North Versailles

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
10,043
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,043
Household income
$53,632
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
393.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 18% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.43%
Current HPI
252.4089
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $85,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,093 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…