321 S 20th St · West Memphis, AR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Newly renovated 5 bedroom, 2-bath home! Everything is brand new ? from the roof and HVAC system to the paint and flooring. This beautiful, affordable home could be yours. Schedule your appointment to see it today!
Key facts
- Listed 36 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Kendal subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($222/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (11.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $151k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $170k implies a 1030% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.47%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,720
- List price
- $169,500
- Delta
- 28.68%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-26,266
- Equity at exit
- $25,273
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-21,264
- Equity at exit
- $14,655
Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72301
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$889
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,542/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $18
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,375
- Closing costs
- $5,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$169,500 Active 213-char remark
-
2024-10-17soldstatus $15,000
-
2019-12-20soldstatus $11,375
-
2003-06-12soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,495
- − Property taxes
- −$2,542
- − Insurance
- −$848
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − Depreciation
- −$4,931
- Taxable loss
- −$2,634
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$632
- After-tax cash flow
- $854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Memphis School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508040
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,382
- Composite
- 12.22/100
- National rank
- #9647
- State rank
- #224 of 238 in AR
Livability — West Memphis
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #23638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Memphis, AR
- City population
- 24,182
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,182
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.63%
- Current HPI
- 182.7665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+1595.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $169,500 EARA
- 2024-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2019-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $11,375 Public Records
- 2003-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $97 · -27.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…