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C+ Composite 61.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

2655 West Rd · South Fulton, GA 30296
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1987 2.29 ac lot Est $232k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1

Key facts

  • Wet bar
  • 2.29 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

2.33 ACRE DEEP WOODED LOTPICTURESQUE VIEW OF CREEKTHREE LEVELS OF LIVING AREASFLEXIBLE LIVING SETUPOWN ENTRANCE FROM EXTERIORWET BAR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,525 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.40%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$231,840
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2497 Wood Bend Ln 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,226 (-5%) 9mo $213,000 $174 52
2526 Wood Bend Ln 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,440 (+12%) 2mo $275,000 $191 47
633 Westbridge Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+12%) 9mo $260,000 $180 47
3085 Sandy Cir 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,387 (+8%) 4mo $270,000 $195 45
2725 Carolina Rdg 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,427 (+11%) 23mo $213,000 $149 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-12,314
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$11,214
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30296

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,900 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$359 /mo · $4,309/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,637
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2722 South Hills Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1722 $2,200 $1.28 5d 1 0.52mi
2590 South Hills Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1850 $2,005 $1.08 12d 1 0.55mi
2405 Wood Bend Ln Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1396 $1,800 $1.29 43d 1 0.66mi
2529 Wood Bend Ln Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1508 $1,945 $1.29 43d 1 0.69mi
110 Fruitwood Trce Unit A Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 20d 1 0.78mi
7025 Brentwood Ct Riverdale, GA 2.0 1.5 1124 $1,425 $1.27 43d 1 0.79mi
145 W Village Ct Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1284 $1,865 $1.45 5d 1 0.83mi
7495 Royale Ct Riverdale, GA 4.0 3.0 1284 $2,150 $1.67 1d 1 0.89mi
2550 Hallie Mill Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,600 $1.17 12d 1 0.94mi
3206 Pine Tree Trl Unit 15C Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1466 $1,950 $1.33 4d 1 0.95mi
7060 Kimberly Mill Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,425 $1.35 5d 1 1.00mi
7045 Birling Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 1488 $1,765 $1.19 43d 1 1.06mi
7301 Fern Ct Riverdale, GA 3.0 3.0 1325 $1,909 $1.44 4d 1 1.09mi
2003 Echota Way Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1449 $1,750 $1.21 43d 1 1.19mi
1973 Bethsaida Rd Riverdale, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,650 $2.65 1d 1 1.32mi
2820 Greenbower Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1338 $1,730 $1.29 3d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2025-07-18
    soldstatus $161,000 Sold 1-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    1

  2. 2025-02-21
    status Under Contract 1-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    1

  3. 2025-02-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    1

  4. 2025-01-25
    listed $165,000 Active
  5. 2024-11-26
    historical
  6. 2024-11-26
    historical
  7. 2024-10-10
    status Back On Market
  8. 2024-10-10
    status Active
  9. 2024-09-16
    status Pending
  10. 2024-09-16
    status Under Contract
  11. 2024-08-15
    price $184,900
  12. 2024-08-15
    price $184,900
  13. 2024-07-18
    listed $165,000 New 1-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    1

  14. 2024-07-18
    listed $194,900 New
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    1

  15. 2024-07-18
    listed $194,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    1

  16. 2007-06-25
    soldstatus $155,000
  17. 2007-06-12
    soldstatus $155,000
  18. 2007-03-16
    listed $159,000
  19. 2003-06-24
    soldstatus $90,100
  20. 1987-04-17
    soldstatus $88,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,309 · $359/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,309 · $359/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,801
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$4,309
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,824
− Management
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$24
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6
After-tax cash flow
$2,501/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Clayton County · 230,153 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
27,045
Household income
$63,292
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
1400.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% White 4% Asian 4% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.25%
Current HPI
209.7527
Rent YoY
▲ 3.55%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.9% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-18 Sold (MLS) $161,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Pending CGMLS
  • 2025-01-25 Listed $165,000 CGMLS
  • 2024-11-26 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2024-11-26 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-10-10 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2024-10-10 Relisted FMLS
  • 2024-09-16 Pending FMLS
  • 2024-09-16 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-08-15 Price Changed $184,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-08-15 Price Changed $184,900 FMLS
  • 2024-07-18 Listed $194,900 FMLS
  • 2024-07-18 Listed $194,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-07-18 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
  • 2007-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-12 Sold (MLS) $155,000 FMLS
  • 2007-03-16 Listed $159,000 FMLS
  • 2003-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $90,100 Public Records
  • 1987-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $88,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,309 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…