2655 West Rd · South Fulton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1
Key facts
- Wet bar
- 2.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.40%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,840
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2497 Wood Bend Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,226 (-5%) | 9mo | $213,000 | $174 | 52 |
| 2526 Wood Bend Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (+12%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $191 | 47 |
| 633 Westbridge Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+12%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $180 | 47 |
| 3085 Sandy Cir | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,387 (+8%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $195 | 45 |
| 2725 Carolina Rdg | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,427 (+11%) | 23mo | $213,000 | $149 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-12,314
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $11,214
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30296
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $208
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2722 South Hills Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,200 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2590 South Hills Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $2,005 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2405 Wood Bend Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1396 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2529 Wood Bend Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1508 | $1,945 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 110 Fruitwood Trce Unit A Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 20d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7025 Brentwood Ct Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1124 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 145 W Village Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1284 | $1,865 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7495 Royale Ct Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1284 | $2,150 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2550 Hallie Mill Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,600 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3206 Pine Tree Trl Unit 15C Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7060 Kimberly Mill Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,425 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7045 Birling Dr Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1488 | $1,765 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7301 Fern Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1325 | $1,909 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2003 Echota Way Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1973 Bethsaida Rd Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,650 | $2.65 | 1d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2820 Greenbower Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,730 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 20 events
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2025-07-18soldstatus $161,000 Sold 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
1
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2025-02-21status Under Contract 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
1
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2025-02-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
1
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2025-01-25$165,000 Active
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2024-11-26historical
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2024-11-26historical
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2024-10-10status Back On Market
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2024-10-10status Active
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2024-09-16status Pending
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2024-09-16status Under Contract
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2024-08-15price $184,900
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2024-08-15price $184,900
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2024-07-18$165,000 New 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
1
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2024-07-18$194,900 New
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
1
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2024-07-18$194,900 Active
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
1
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2007-06-25soldstatus $155,000
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2007-06-12soldstatus $155,000
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2007-03-16$159,000
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2003-06-24soldstatus $90,100
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1987-04-17soldstatus $88,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,309 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,309 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$4,309
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$24
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,501/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — South Fulton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Fulton, GA
- County
- Clayton County · 230,153 people
- City population
- 127,674
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,045
- Household income
- $63,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1400.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% White 4% Asian 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.25%
- Current HPI
- 209.7527
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.55%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+81.9% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-18 Sold (MLS) $161,000 GAMLS
- 2025-02-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-02-21 Pending — CGMLS
- 2025-01-25 Listed $165,000 CGMLS
- 2024-11-26 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-11-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-10-10 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2024-10-10 Relisted — FMLS
- 2024-09-16 Pending — FMLS
- 2024-09-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-08-15 Price Changed $184,900 GAMLS
- 2024-08-15 Price Changed $184,900 FMLS
- 2024-07-18 Listed $194,900 FMLS
- 2024-07-18 Listed $194,900 GAMLS
- 2024-07-18 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
- 2007-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-12 Sold (MLS) $155,000 FMLS
- 2007-03-16 Listed $159,000 FMLS
- 2003-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $90,100 Public Records
- 1987-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $88,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,309 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…