27 Skyview Ln · New Rochelle, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this spacious and inviting home, perfectly situated on a beautifully landscaped property in the highly sought-after Wykagyl Estate neighborhood. Offering 4 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, this residence is ready for you to move in and make it your own. The main level features a bright and expansive living room with a stunning cathedral ceiling, a formal dining room ideal for entertaining, and an eat-in kitchen with sliding glass doors that open to a generous deck overlooking the serene backyard. This level also includes three well-sized bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and gleaming hardwood floors throughout. The lower level provides additional living space with a spacious family roo
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1979
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Driveway parking; Total parking for 10 vehicles; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Public sewer; Cable, electricity, and water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Full attic
- Construction: Brick, frame, and shingle siding construction; Block and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Back and front yards; Garden; Landscaped grounds; Level lot; Near school; Private setting; Front and rear sprinklers; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom and full bath; Cathedral ceilings; Chandelier; Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Formal dining room; His and hers closets; In-law floorplan; Primary bathroom; Storage; Walk-through kitchen; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.15M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $1.15M).
- Recommended offer: $1.12M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: William B Ward Elementary School (math 56% / reading 72%, grade B, #658 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 988 students, 33% FRL); Albert Leonard Middle School (math 41% / reading 73%, grade B, #192 of 729 statewide, top 28%, 1,086 students, 42% FRL); New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $34k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.12M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.63%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,309,204
- List price
- $1,150,000
- Delta
- -12.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Pamela Ln | 0.22mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,322 (-6%) | 3mo | $925,000 | $398 | 70 |
| 81 Winding Brook Rd | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,416 (-3%) | 8mo | $950,000 | $393 | 66 |
| 96 Highridge Rd | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,445 (-1%) | 9mo | $1,320,000 | $540 | 65 |
| 56 Belleau Ave | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 2,680 (+8%) | 5mo | $1,125,000 | $420 | 64 |
| 417 Quaker Ridge Rd | 0.14mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,753 (+11%) | 10mo | $1,325,000 | $481 | 59 |
| 1 Meadowood Path | 0.58mi | 4/3.5 | 2,577 (+4%) | 8mo | $1,237,500 | $480 | 58 |
| 75 Fenimore Rd | 0.58mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,646 (+7%) | 2mo | $1,525,000 | $576 | 53 |
| 100 Lord Kitchener Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,590 (+4%) | 6mo | $1,337,500 | $516 | 52 |
| 118 Winding Brook Rd | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 2,195 (-12%) | 8mo | $1,100,000 | $501 | 51 |
| 56 Rolling Way | 0.29mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,810 (+13%) | 10mo | $1,200,000 | $427 | 49 |
| 25 Bonnie Way | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,237 (-10%) | 3mo | $2,086,500 | $933 | 48 |
| 93 Hillandale Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,652 (+7%) | 8mo | $1,300,000 | $490 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-107,112
- Equity at exit
- $171,469
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $9,228
- Equity at exit
- $99,431
Cash invested: $322,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10804
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,618 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,031
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,427 /mo · $17,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$479
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,440
- Net cashflow
- $1,241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,892 | -5% $1,567 | +0% $1,241 | +5% $916 | +10% $590 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $324 | -5% $783 | +0% $1,241 | +5% $1,700 | +10% $2,159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,821 | -0.5pp $1,534 | base $1,241 | +0.5pp $943 | +1.0pp $640 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $287,500
- Closing costs
- $34,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75 Lord Kitchener Rd New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3032 | $10,000 | $3.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 19 Bonnie Way Larchmont, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2700 | $14,000 | $5.19 | 12d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 58 Marion Dr New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3246 | $11,000 | $3.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,150,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,150,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,150,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,150,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,150,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,150,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-12$1,250,000 Active 1353-char remark
-
2026-05-11historical $1,250,000 1353-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $17,124 · $1,427/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,279 · $1,523/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,156/yr (+$96/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $139,417
- − Mortgage interest
- −$64,418
- − Property taxes
- −$17,124
- − Insurance
- −$5,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,153
- − Management
- −$11,153
- − Depreciation
- −$33,455
- Taxable loss
- −$3,635
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$873
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Rochelle City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620490
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,165
- Composite
- 56.63/100
- National rank
- #1139
- State rank
- #171 of 590 in NY
Livability — New Rochelle
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #8572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Rochelle, NY
- City population
- 63,657
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,228
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -819.58%
- Current HPI
- 280.9571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $1,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $1,250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $1,250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $17,124 · -17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…