8813 North Rd · Pleasant Valley, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice size true ranch in the NKC School District. Good bones with hardwood floors, basement is plumbed for a bathroom. 2 car garage. Sits on a good sized lot. Roof new in 2022. Good foundation. House needs extensive work. This is a great opportunity for a handy homeowner to build equity NOW!
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage facing front; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Ranch floor plan; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction with shingle siding; Composition roof; Full basement (unfinished) with garage entrance; Home age approximately 51–75 years
- Exterior features: Property marked as fixer / fixer up; City lot in city limits; Level lot; Paved road with public maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Stained cabinets; Formal living room; Living and dining combo; Main floor bedrooms including a main floor primary bedroom; Full unfinished basement with garage entrance
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement / lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($969/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#112 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gracemor Elementary (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #842 of 1,115 statewide, top 76%, 630 students, 68% FRL); Winnetonka High (math 16% / reading 51%, grade F, #349 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 1,284 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 37% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the North Kansas City 74 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.92%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,847
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -32.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8813 North Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (0%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $152 | 99 |
| 8707 Brenda Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,198 (+1%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $230 | 73 |
| 8701 Brenda Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (+2%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $228 | 67 |
| 7004 N Chas Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-4%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $232 | 59 |
| 7215 N Kentucky Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-12%) | 18mo | $254,900 | $243 | 57 |
| 7408 N Lane Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,015 (-15%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $271 | 56 |
| 7003 N Brookside Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (+5%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $224 | 50 |
| 9006 Catherine Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+11%) | 21mo | $289,900 | $220 | 44 |
| 7117 Michael Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,077 (-9%) | 20mo | $199,900 | $186 | 37 |
| 607 Glendale Rd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,330 (+12%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $211 | 37 |
| 7114 Michael Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,344 (+13%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $193 | 27 |
| 410 Bancroft Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (+11%) | 18mo | $264,900 | $200 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-21,246
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-68
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64068
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,089/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $132 | +0% $81 | +5% $30 | +10% $-21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-47 | -5% $17 | +0% $81 | +5% $144 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $171 | -0.5pp $127 | base $81 | +0.5pp $34 | +1.0pp $-13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7013 N Chas Dr Unit B Pleasant Valley, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,225 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6713 S Brookside Rd Pleasant Valley, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,966 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7987 N Flintlock Rd Kansas City, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,041 | $2.09 | 3d | 22 | 1.01mi |
| 405 Wilshire Blvd Liberty, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1260 U.S. 69 Liberty, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,196 | $1.10 | 12d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 292-char remark
-
2026-05-07$180,000 Active 292-char remark
-
2026-04-30historical $180,000 292-char remark
-
2017-08-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,089 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,089 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,348
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,089
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,548
- − Management
- −$1,548
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$2,056
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$493
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,462/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Kansas City 74
- NCES district ID
- 2922800
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,444
- Composite
- 37.88/100
- National rank
- #4321
- State rank
- #98 of 324 in MO
Livability — Pleasant Valley
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #7111
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pleasant Valley, MO
- County
- Clay County · 220,651 people
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,758
- Household income
- $92,297
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 695.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 266,022 people
- By 2030
- 280,057 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 306,153 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 328,630 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 375,182 · +41.0%
- By 2100
- 392,861 · +47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -233.70%
- Current HPI
- 223.1569
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $180,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $180,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,089 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…