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5819 Helen Ave
A- Composite 82.59
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$33,000

5819 Helen Ave · Jennings, MO 63136
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1925 4,865 sqft lot $46/sqft · 38% below area Est $53k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants! This 1 bed, 1 bath home offers easy potential to convert into a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with minimal modifications. Features include an eat-in kitchen with pantry, spacious living room, and bonus room which could easily be converted into 2nd bedroom. In the unfinished walk-up basement you'll find the laundry area and additional space for storage or potential expansion. Outside, enjoy a long driveway for ample off-street parking and a large level yard perfect for entertaining or outdoor activities. A fantastic addition to any rental portfolio with minimal investment needed to get started! Property being sold As-Is. OWNER BY CONTRACT

Key facts

  • 4,865 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($982 rent vs $33k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 12.2% in Jennings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($228 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,010 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.97%
Cap rate
25.95%
Cash-on-cash
70.19%
DSCR
4.12
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$53,068
List price
$33,000
Delta
-37.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7121 Lamont Dr 0.35mi 2/1.0 (+1) 716 (-1%) 9mo $50,000 $70 70
8339 Eton Pl 0.40mi 2/1.0 (+1) 750 (+4%) 3mo $22,500 $30 67
8810 Clifton Ave 0.55mi 1/1.0 750 (+4%) 2mo $38,500 $51 66
8340 Eton Pl 0.38mi 2/1.0 (+1) 750 (+4%) 8mo $50,000 $67 64
6342 Lena Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (+1) 678 (-6%) 2mo $40,000 $59 60
5760 Acme Ave 0.35mi 1/1.0 624 (-13%) 4mo $15,000 $24 58
5471 Janet Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (+1) 696 (-3%) 9mo $30,000 $43 53
5526 Jennings Station Rd 0.52mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+7%) 8mo $70,000 $91 53
5502 Helen Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 (+1) 784 (+9%) 9mo $79,000 $101 47
5515 Hodiamont Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 818 (+14%) 8mo $60,000 $73 41
1900 Hildred Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (+1) 825 (+15%) 6mo $25,000 $30 36
1965 Park Ln 0.69mi 2/1.0 (+1) 825 (+15%) 3mo $65,000 $79 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
77.5%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$41,802
Equity at exit
$16,328
10-year hold
IRR
77.0%
Equity multiple
12.05×
Total profit
$102,066
Equity at exit
$26,389

Cash invested: $9,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$982 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$173
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $580/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$540

Break-even live

Break-even rent $298
Max offer price $33,000
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,250
Closing costs
$990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 4d 1 0.36mi
5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 580 $899 $1.55 20d 1 0.38mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 43d 1 0.38mi
7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 17d 1 0.39mi
3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 704 $1,000 $1.42 16d 1 0.73mi
7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 588 $995 $1.69 43d 1 0.77mi
7516 Chandler Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 728 $1,000 $1.37 43d 1 0.91mi
5600 Gatesworth Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 672 $1,095 $1.63 4d 1 0.96mi
8893 Maya Ln Jennings, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 600 $780 $1.30 23d 6 1.03mi
1131 Canaan Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 624 $900 $1.44 16d 1 1.19mi
8612 Halls Ferry Rd Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 625 $715 $1.14 4d 2 1.30mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $33,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $33,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $33,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $33,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $33,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $33,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $33,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $33,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $37,999 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $37,999 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $37,999 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,999 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 685-char remark
    Show marketing remark (685 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants! This 1 bed, 1 bath home offers easy potential to convert into a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with minimal modifications. Features include an eat-in kitchen with pantry, spacious living room, and bonus room which could easily be converted into 2nd bedroom. In the unfinished walk-up basement you'll find the laundry area and additional space for storage or potential expansion. Outside, enjoy a long driveway for ample off-street parking and a large level yard perfect for entertaining or outdoor activities. A fantastic addition to any rental portfolio with minimal investment needed to get started! Property being sold As-Is. OWNER BY CONTRACT

  14. 2026-04-28
    price $39,999 685-char remark
    Show marketing remark (685 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants! This 1 bed, 1 bath home offers easy potential to convert into a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with minimal modifications. Features include an eat-in kitchen with pantry, spacious living room, and bonus room which could easily be converted into 2nd bedroom. In the unfinished walk-up basement you'll find the laundry area and additional space for storage or potential expansion. Outside, enjoy a long driveway for ample off-street parking and a large level yard perfect for entertaining or outdoor activities. A fantastic addition to any rental portfolio with minimal investment needed to get started! Property being sold As-Is. OWNER BY CONTRACT

  15. 2026-04-10
    listed $45,000 Active 685-char remark
    Show marketing remark (685 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants! This 1 bed, 1 bath home offers easy potential to convert into a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with minimal modifications. Features include an eat-in kitchen with pantry, spacious living room, and bonus room which could easily be converted into 2nd bedroom. In the unfinished walk-up basement you'll find the laundry area and additional space for storage or potential expansion. Outside, enjoy a long driveway for ample off-street parking and a large level yard perfect for entertaining or outdoor activities. A fantastic addition to any rental portfolio with minimal investment needed to get started! Property being sold As-Is. OWNER BY CONTRACT

  16. 2025-09-06
    listed $55,000 Active
  17. 2022-02-23
    soldstatus $140,000
  18. 2006-08-22
    soldstatus
  19. 2006-08-22
    soldstatus
  20. 2006-08-22
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$580 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$580 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,781
− Mortgage interest
−$1,849
− Property taxes
−$580
− Insurance
−$165
− Repairs & maintenance
−$942
− Management
−$942
− Depreciation
−$960
Taxable income
$6,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,522
After-tax cash flow
$4,963/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jennings
NCES district ID
2916290
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,595
Composite
11.04/100
National rank
#9739
State rank
#315 of 324 in MO

Livability — Jennings

Score
67/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jennings, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $39,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-06 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-08-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $580 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…