6118 Aragon Dr · Fort Wayne, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice Ranch brand new furnace with 96% efficiency. New air conditioner is being installed. The roof is only 8 years old. This home has a full basement that could be easily finished. Huge rear yard totally fenced in. You must see this home. The room sizes are approximate. We are offering a sellers home warranty that the buyer can convert at closing. New central air has just been installed. .
Key facts
- 3-seasons room
- Full basement
- 0.27 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Edge Wood Park / Edgewood Park
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential, site-built home; One story
- Construction: Metal siding and brick exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built as site-built construction
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard with chain link fencing; Level lot; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom located on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for additional cooling; Natural gas heating; Forced air; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Master suite on main level; Window treatments; One fireplace (none specified as usable feature)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer listed; Laundry located in the basement; Full, unfinished basement with sump pump
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Francis M Price Elementary School (math 26% / reading 22%, grade F, #781 of 994 statewide, top 79%, 469 students, 67% FRL); Northwood Middle School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 587 students, 70% FRL); Northrop High School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade F, #191 of 369 statewide, top 52%, 2,136 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.42%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,824
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6414 Blackstone Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,289 (-4%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $155 | 76 |
| 6115 Catbird Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (+11%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $171 | 64 |
| 5222 Plover Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (-3%) | 20mo | $240,000 | $184 | 58 |
| 5310 Goldfinch Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,514 (+13%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $175 | 57 |
| 4110 W Washington Center Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,386 (+3%) | 19mo | $176,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 5131 Goldfinch Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,507 (+12%) | 10mo | $259,900 | $172 | 55 |
| 5322 Finch Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,457 (+8%) | 15mo | $239,900 | $165 | 51 |
| 5411 W Washington Center Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (+7%) | 19mo | $191,675 | $134 | 50 |
| 5321 Joyce Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+3%) | 18mo | $235,900 | $171 | 44 |
| 5112 Goshen Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,194 (-11%) | 13mo | $245,000 | $205 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $3,133
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $77,536
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46818
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,037 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $416 | +0% $363 | +5% $311 | +10% $259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $283 | +0% $363 | +5% $444 | +10% $524 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $457 | -0.5pp $410 | base $363 | +0.5pp $315 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7211 Carrington Blvd Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,399 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3782 Thunderhawk Pass Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,095 | $1.43 | 14d | 5 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 608-char remark
-
2026-06-14$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,380 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,380 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,441
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,380
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,955
- − Management
- −$1,955
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $1,480
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$355
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Wayne Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803630
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 21.68/100
- National rank
- #8275
- State rank
- #263 of 301 in IN
Livability — Fort Wayne
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Wayne, IN
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,954
- Household income
- $81,066
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 101.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -217.71%
- Current HPI
- 228.1539
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.64%
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+45.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $185,000 IRMLS
- 2018-06-29 Sold (MLS) $127,600 IRMLS
- 2018-05-16 Listed $127,600 IRMLS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,380 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…