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1100 Arrowhead Dr Duplex
C Composite 59.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1100 Arrowhead Dr · Collinsville, IL 62234
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,378 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1968 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

no inspections without accepted contract. buy may add kick out clause. Built as a duplex with walkout basement unit ( total 3 apartments).

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1968

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.3332 acres with 155 ft frontage
  • Financial info: Gross annual income reported: $22,347
  • HOA & community: Community with 3 units

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street and on-street parking available; On-site parking; 3 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Single phase electric; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units); Apartment building with two levels; Updated/remodeled condition; Private ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Has basement with 8+ ft poured construction; Below-grade finished area (estimated)
  • Exterior features: Public water; Cable available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes range and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three rental units: two 2-bedroom units and one 1-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has one bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $196/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.1% in Collinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#491 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Collinsville CUSD 10 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #465 of 620 in IL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Collinsville High School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #427 of 693 statewide, top 62%, 1,978 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $165k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.20%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,420
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$32,207
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62234

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,066 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$305 /mo · $3,664/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$434
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,569
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $486 -5% $439 +0% $393 +5% $346 +10% $299
Rent -10% $230 -5% $311 +0% $393 +5% $474 +10% $556
Rate -1.0pp $476 -0.5pp $435 base $393 +0.5pp $350 +1.0pp $307

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,066

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 W Clay St Collinsville, IL 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,850 $1.32 2d 1 0.80mi
300 Bethel Rd Collinsville, IL 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 44d 1 0.92mi
1225 W Main St Collinsville, IL 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,350 $1.34 8d 1 1.00mi
307 N Clinton St Collinsville, IL 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,700 $1.22 2d 1 1.06mi
102 W Madison Ave Collinsville, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 15d 1 1.09mi
921 Vine St Collinsville, IL 3.0 2.0 1274 $1,875 $1.47 2d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 138-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $165,000 Active 68 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,664 · $305/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,705 · $309/mo
Expected delta
+$41/yr (+$3/mo · 1.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,792
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$3,664
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,983
− Management
−$1,983
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$2,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$551
After-tax cash flow
$4,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collinsville CUSD 10
NCES district ID
1710650
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,504
Composite
15.65/100
National rank
#9288
State rank
#465 of 620 in IL

Livability — Collinsville

Score
67/100
State rank
#491
US rank
#10221

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Collinsville, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
31,648
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
31,648
Household income
$69,607
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
801.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.21%
Current HPI
223.6438
Rent YoY
▲ 3.10%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2001-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,664 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…