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4913 Havana St
D Composite 41.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$172,800

4913 Havana St · Plum, PA 15239
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,430 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1970 7,405 sqft lot $121/sqft · 42% below area Est $235k · 26% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This lovely and well maintained multi-level home will check all the boxes! 3 bedrooms, Master bedroom with a half bath, CHECK! Eat-in kitchen AND a formal diningroom, Fully applianced throughout, CHECK! There's a finished family room tucked away from the rest of the house for privacy with a bar, ready for game weekends and game nights, CHECK! Oak Hardwood floors, and neutral painted walls throughout, CHECK! Easy access to outdoor grilling, CHECK! A backyard with deck, seating, gazebo, entertaining area, CHECK! A yard for parties, relaxing, already planted with amazing perennials, CHECK! Garage with plenty of storage and floored attic for more storage, CHECK! Curb appeal just like the other homes in the neighborhood, CHECK! Move-in ready, CHECK! A 1 year Home warranty, a gift from the seller, CHECK! 10 minutes from school, easy access to Golden Mile Highway, Monroeville shopping district, the parkway to the downtown Pittsburgh for events, and turnpike to the world, CHECK!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1970

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 space)
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other utility details
  • Home design: Detached structure; Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished living area approximately 1,134 (estimated)
  • Construction: Other foundation details; Other other structures above grade; Year built (estimated)
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling; Other hot water
  • Interior features: Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $173k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (20.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (17.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 4.0% in Plum — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#730 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Plum Borough SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #91 of 539 in PA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Plum Shs (math 72%, 1,226 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $136,633 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.08%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,774
List price
$172,800
Delta
-26.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
117 Nassau Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,376 (-4%) 1mo $283,750 $206 74
2289 Chapparal Dr 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,432 (+0%) 4mo $319,000 $223 67
4928 Havana Dr 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,215 (-15%) 13mo $239,900 $197 62
2240 Chapparal Dr 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,520 (+6%) 12mo $286,500 $188 57
48 Samoa Dr 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-10%) 12mo $255,000 $198 56
632 Tampico Ct 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,568 (+10%) 7mo $285,000 $182 56
1 Mariah Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,534 (+7%) 6mo $267,000 $174 51
267 Great Smokey Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-10%) 3mo $287,000 $223 49
9 Meadow View Ct 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,476 (+3%) 10mo $300,000 $203 48
161 Alcan Dr 0.55mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,600 (+12%) 4mo $126,500 $79 46
353 Holiday Park Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,567 (+10%) 8mo $200,000 $128 40
144 Alcan Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,230 (-14%) 7mo $180,000 $146 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.8%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-40,931
Equity at exit
$25,765
10-year hold
IRR
-20.4%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-51,986
Equity at exit
$14,941

Cash invested: $48,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15239

Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$906
Tax from tax record
$359 /mo · $4,311/yr
Insurance
$72
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$-205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,693
Max offer price $136,633
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-107 -5% $-156 +0% $-205 +5% $-254 +10% $-303
Rent -10% $-318 -5% $-261 +0% $-205 +5% $-148 +10% $-91
Rate -1.0pp $-118 -0.5pp $-161 base $-205 +0.5pp $-250 +1.0pp $-295

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,200
Closing costs
$5,184
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5014 Ozark Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1148 $1,150 $1.00 21d 1 0.30mi
101 Serenity Dr Plum, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 893 $1,136 $1.27 18d 1 0.84mi
564 Carnival Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1257 $1,995 $1.59 46d 1 0.89mi
9153 Saltsburg Rd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1404 $815 $0.58 23d 1 1.28mi
80 Sandune Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0–2.5 1004 $2,250 $2.24 0d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $172,800 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $172,800 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $172,800 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $172,800 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $172,800 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $172,800 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $172,800 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $172,800 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $172,800 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $172,800 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $172,800 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $172,800 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $172,800 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $172,800 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $172,800 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    listed $172,800 Active 576-char remark
  17. 2021-11-24
    soldstatus $212,000
  18. 2021-10-30
    status Pending 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    This lovely and well maintained multi-level home will check all the boxes! 3 bedrooms, Master bedroom with a half bath, CHECK! Eat-in kitchen AND a formal diningroom, Fully applianced throughout, CHECK! There's a finished family room tucked away from the rest of the house for privacy with a bar, ready for game weekends and game nights, CHECK! Oak Hardwood floors, and neutral painted walls throughout, CHECK! Easy access to outdoor grilling, CHECK! A backyard with deck, seating, gazebo, entertaining area, CHECK! A yard for parties, relaxing, already planted with amazing perennials, CHECK! Garage with plenty of storage and floored attic for more storage, CHECK! Curb appeal just like the other homes in the neighborhood, CHECK! Move-in ready, CHECK! A 1 year Home warranty, a gift from the seller, CHECK! 10 minutes from school, easy access to Golden Mile Highway, Monroeville shopping district, the parkway to the downtown Pittsburgh for events, and turnpike to the world, CHECK!

  19. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus $212,000 Closed 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    This lovely and well maintained multi-level home will check all the boxes! 3 bedrooms, Master bedroom with a half bath, CHECK! Eat-in kitchen AND a formal diningroom, Fully applianced throughout, CHECK! There's a finished family room tucked away from the rest of the house for privacy with a bar, ready for game weekends and game nights, CHECK! Oak Hardwood floors, and neutral painted walls throughout, CHECK! Easy access to outdoor grilling, CHECK! A backyard with deck, seating, gazebo, entertaining area, CHECK! A yard for parties, relaxing, already planted with amazing perennials, CHECK! Garage with plenty of storage and floored attic for more storage, CHECK! Curb appeal just like the other homes in the neighborhood, CHECK! Move-in ready, CHECK! A 1 year Home warranty, a gift from the seller, CHECK! 10 minutes from school, easy access to Golden Mile Highway, Monroeville shopping district, the parkway to the downtown Pittsburgh for events, and turnpike to the world, CHECK!

  20. 2021-09-20
    historical Contingent 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    This lovely and well maintained multi-level home will check all the boxes! 3 bedrooms, Master bedroom with a half bath, CHECK! Eat-in kitchen AND a formal diningroom, Fully applianced throughout, CHECK! There's a finished family room tucked away from the rest of the house for privacy with a bar, ready for game weekends and game nights, CHECK! Oak Hardwood floors, and neutral painted walls throughout, CHECK! Easy access to outdoor grilling, CHECK! A backyard with deck, seating, gazebo, entertaining area, CHECK! A yard for parties, relaxing, already planted with amazing perennials, CHECK! Garage with plenty of storage and floored attic for more storage, CHECK! Curb appeal just like the other homes in the neighborhood, CHECK! Move-in ready, CHECK! A 1 year Home warranty, a gift from the seller, CHECK! 10 minutes from school, easy access to Golden Mile Highway, Monroeville shopping district, the parkway to the downtown Pittsburgh for events, and turnpike to the world, CHECK!

  21. 2021-09-10
    listed $215,000 Active 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    This lovely and well maintained multi-level home will check all the boxes! 3 bedrooms, Master bedroom with a half bath, CHECK! Eat-in kitchen AND a formal diningroom, Fully applianced throughout, CHECK! There's a finished family room tucked away from the rest of the house for privacy with a bar, ready for game weekends and game nights, CHECK! Oak Hardwood floors, and neutral painted walls throughout, CHECK! Easy access to outdoor grilling, CHECK! A backyard with deck, seating, gazebo, entertaining area, CHECK! A yard for parties, relaxing, already planted with amazing perennials, CHECK! Garage with plenty of storage and floored attic for more storage, CHECK! Curb appeal just like the other homes in the neighborhood, CHECK! Move-in ready, CHECK! A 1 year Home warranty, a gift from the seller, CHECK! 10 minutes from school, easy access to Golden Mile Highway, Monroeville shopping district, the parkway to the downtown Pittsburgh for events, and turnpike to the world, CHECK!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,311 · $359/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,311 · $359/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,206
− Mortgage interest
−$9,679
− Property taxes
−$4,311
− Insurance
−$864
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$5,027
Taxable loss
−$5,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,303
After-tax cash flow
$-1,154/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plum Borough SD
NCES district ID
4219350
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$67,665
Composite
48.98/100
National rank
#2073
State rank
#91 of 539 in PA

Livability — Plum

Score
71/100
State rank
#730
US rank
#7292

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plum, PA
City population
21,414
Population (ZIP)
21,414

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -182.05%
Current HPI
236.4886
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $172,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $212,000 Public Records
  • 2021-10-30 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) $212,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-09-20 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2021-09-10 Listed $215,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,311 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…