609 Topaz St · Kemmerer, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Historic home in the heart of town! This 2bed, 1bath home is ready for you to make your own! Original wood floors & door trim/hardware in place, perfect for restoration. Large lot with alley access, enough space for a shop or extra parking! Great views of Archie Neil Park, County Courthouse & Oyster Ridge. Call Heidi Despain 307-723-5954 Quality Realty Agent with questions!
Key facts
- Easy access
- Custom renovation
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $87k (2.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.6% in Kemmerer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#37 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lincoln County School District #1 (rural): math 63% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #4 of 41 in WY (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Kemmerer Junior Senior High School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade C+, #11 of 75 statewide, top 18%, 264 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 220 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.32%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,232
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Garnet St | 0.23mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 830 (-7%) | 6mo | $120,500 | $145 | 68 |
| 310 Ruby St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-6%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $202 | 66 |
| 209 Emerald St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 923 (+4%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $146 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-4,833
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $8,219
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83101
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $874 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $179 | +0% $153 | +5% $128 | +10% $103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $84 | -5% $119 | +0% $153 | +5% $188 | +10% $222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $176 | base $153 | +0.5pp $130 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $335 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $548 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 63.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥84°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$335
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$839
- − Management
- −$839
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $372
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$89
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5604030
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,382
- Composite
- 55.16/100
- National rank
- #1277
- State rank
- #4 of 41 in WY
Livability — Kemmerer
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #8049
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kemmerer, WY
- City population
- 603
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,576
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,890 people
- By 2030
- 20,275 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 20,691 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 20,640 · +3.8%
- By 2075
- 20,008 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 18,122 · -8.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 11% Italian 8% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.1% · R 83.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.4pp · 2024: -68.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.3 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+67.6 2012: R+68.3 2008: R+54.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.70%
- Current HPI
- 168.397
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+28.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $89,900 WMLS
- 2021-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-11-17 Sold (MLS) — WMLS
- 2021-09-09 Listed $69,900 WMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $335 · -21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…