2651 Marjorie Ln · Plainfield, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$272,198
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Adler is a beautifully designed home that seamlessly blends modern style with practical comfort. Inside, the kitchen features stunning quartz countertops that add elegance and durability, perfect for preparing delicious meals. The spacious layout includes, three inviting bedrooms, providing ample space for family and guests alike. The private owner's suite offers a tranquil retreat, complete with a luxurious en-suite bathroom and generous closet space. Outside a private patio creates an ideal setting for outdoor dining, relaxing evenings, or entertaining friends in a secluded environment. The home also includes a convenient two-car garage, ensuring secure parking and additional storage options. Overall, the Adler combines stylish finishes with functional living spaces, making it a warm, welcoming, and versatile home.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Private patio
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $272k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-211 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Plainfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#69 in IN, #4,418 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Avon Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #32 of 301 in IN (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Elementary School (math 63% / reading 40%, grade C-, #256 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 703 students, 51% FRL); Avon Middle School South (math 48% / reading 54%, grade C, #40 of 330 statewide, top 12%, 835 students, 44% FRL); Avon High School (math 44% / reading 76%, grade C+, #46 of 369 statewide, top 13%, 3,348 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 20% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 501 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 43d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.32%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,085
- List price
- $272,198
- Delta
- -4.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2647 Marjorie Ln | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (0%) | 2mo | $281,770 | $199 | 98 |
| 2670 Marjorie Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (0%) | 6mo | $279,000 | $197 | 91 |
| 2645 Marjorie Ln | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,356 (-4%) | 0mo | $269,265 | $199 | 81 |
| 2649 Marjorie Ln | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,356 (-4%) | 7mo | $262,000 | $193 | 75 |
| 2643 Marjorie Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,607 (+14%) | 5mo | $288,400 | $179 | 67 |
| 2650 Marjorie Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,607 (+14%) | 5mo | $293,510 | $183 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-55,894
- Equity at exit
- $40,586
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-59,163
- Equity at exit
- $23,535
Cash invested: $76,215 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.0 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $273,212 ($181/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 115 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46168
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 501
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,298 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,427
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$340 /mo · $4,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$113
- HOA
- −$145
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $-211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-23 | -5% $-117 | +0% $-211 | +5% $-305 | +10% $-399 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-392 | -5% $-302 | +0% $-211 | +5% $-120 | +10% $-29 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-74 | -0.5pp $-142 | base $-211 | +0.5pp $-281 | +1.0pp $-353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,050
- Closing costs
- $8,166
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9074 Anthem Ave Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,450 | $1.42 | 63d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2514 Grand Central BLVD Cartersburg, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1324 | $3,499 | $2.64 | 0d | 246 | 0.15mi |
| 2635 Prism WAY Cartersburg, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1728 | $2,400 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2870 Pearson Pkwy Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $2,829 | $3.08 | 0d | 31 | 0.17mi |
| 2497 Foxtail Dr Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,999 | $1.26 | 56d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9192 Huntleigh Cir Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,866 | $1.01 | 60d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 311 Harpers Xing Plainfield, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 882 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 107d | 8 | 0.70mi |
| 2155 Shadowbrook Dr Unit 1228635P Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,803 | $1.80 | 93d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2145 Shadowbrook Dr Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 74d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2771 Anchusa Dr Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $1,999 | $1.26 | 83d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8309 Catchfly Dr Plainfield, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $2,036 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 311 Country Ln Plainfield, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $1,465 | $1.85 | 0d | 6 | 0.94mi |
| 1995 Crown Plaza Blvd Plainfield, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 924 | $1,700 | $1.84 | 70d | 5 | 0.99mi |
| 1995 Crown Plaza Blvd Plainfield, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 924 | $1,895 | $2.05 | 0d | 17 | 0.99mi |
| 584 Stone Table Blvd Plainfield, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $1,845 | $1.73 | 0d | 5 | 1.01mi |
| 3368 Clover Dr Plainfield, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,550 | $1.21 | 42d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2057 Downshire Hill Ct Plainfield, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $2,124 | $1.55 | 0d | 7 | 1.07mi |
| 2471 Ascent Way Plainfield, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $2,129 | $2.15 | 0d | 30 | 1.09mi |
| 10 Locust Dr Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 42d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2650 Creekhollow Rd Plainfield, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1008 | $2,338 | $2.32 | 67d | 26 | 1.15mi |
| 2650 Creekhollow Rd Plainfield, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1008 | $2,181 | $2.16 | 0d | 30 | 1.15mi |
| 10291 Medallion Dr Unit 285 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10291 Medallion Dr Unit 181 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 119d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2720 Canyon Club Dr Plainfield, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,549 | $1.63 | 6d | 10 | 1.24mi |
| 1341 Blackthorne Trl N Plainfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $2,051 | $1.19 | 67d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8183 Dartmoth Ln Avon, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $1,979 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 10408 Bradbury Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $1,581 | $0.92 | 82d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $272,198 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $272,198 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $272,198 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $272,198 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $272,198 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $272,198 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $272,198 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $272,198 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $272,198 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $272,198 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $272,198 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $272,198 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $272,198 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $272,198 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $292,686 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $292,686 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $292,686 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $292,686 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $292,686 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $292,686 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $292,686 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $292,686 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $292,686 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $292,686 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $292,686 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $292,686 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $292,686 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $292,686 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $292,686 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $292,686 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $292,686 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $292,686 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $292,686 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $292,686 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $292,686 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $292,686 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $292,686 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $292,686 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $292,686 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $292,686 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $292,686 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $292,686 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $292,686 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $292,686 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $292,686 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $292,686 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $292,686 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $292,686 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $292,686 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $292,686 Active 160 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,575
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,247
- − Property taxes
- −$4,083
- − Insurance
- −$1,361
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,206
- − Management
- −$2,206
- − HOA
- −$1,740
- − Depreciation
- −$7,918
- Taxable loss
- −$7,187
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,725
- After-tax cash flow
- $-804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This townhouse is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates that can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Kitchen backsplash — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale Bathroom vanity — Modernizes bathroom and adds value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avon Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1800270
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,987
- Composite
- 46.93/100
- National rank
- #2362
- State rank
- #32 of 301 in IN
Livability — Plainfield
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #4418
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plainfield, IN
- County
- Hendricks County · 187,418 people
- City population
- 38,826
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,826
- Household income
- $90,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Hendricks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,418 people
- By 2030
- 201,494 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 228,487 · +21.9%
- By 2050
- 253,068 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 308,920 · +64.8%
- By 2100
- 336,510 · +79.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendricks
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.5) · D 38.4% · R 59.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -21.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.5 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.23%
- Current HPI
- 205.5963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.65%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
-2.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $284,586 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $284,586 Zillow
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $282,182 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $282,182 Zillow
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $280,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $280,600 Zillow
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $281,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $281,600 Zillow
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $291,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Listed $290,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-17 Listed $291,600 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…