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1241 Worden Way
D- Composite 38.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$415,000

1241 Worden Way · Suffolk, VA 23435
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,249 sqft · Condo · 87 Days on market
Built 2023 $185/sqft · 11% below area Est $465k · 11% under $176/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained three-story condo in the sought-after Harbour View Townes community. Enjoy a private balcony retreat with a cozy stone gas fireplace and mounted TV, perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. The first level offers a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, gym, or media room, along with a utility room and garage access with potential for a 4th bedroom. The main living level features abundant natural light and an open-concept layout with a spacious kitchen, oversized island, SS appliances, LVP flooring, and ample cabinetry with pantry storage. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms share a full hall bath, with laundry conveniently located on the same level. Enjoy community amenities like a dog park and green space, all in a prime Suffolk location near shopping, dining, and within 35–45 minutes of Hampton Roads military bases.

Key facts

  • Mounted tv
  • Utility room
  • Flex space

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONY RETREATSTONE GAS FIREPLACEMOUNTED TVFLEX SPACEUTILITY ROOMGARAGE ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $415k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-670 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (23.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (27.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $301k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.5% in Suffolk — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
  • Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Northern Shores Elementary (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B+, #357 of 1,108 statewide, top 33%, 822 students, 65% FRL); John Yeates Middle (math 60% / reading 83%, grade A, #72 of 342 statewide, top 22%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Nansemond River High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #204 of 319 statewide, top 65%, 1,698 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 55% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Suffolk City Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 518 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($390k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $300,530 (27.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.36%
Cash-on-cash
-6.92%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$465,320
List price
$415,000
Delta
-10.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-93,871
Equity at exit
$61,878
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-63,761
Equity at exit
$35,882

Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23435

Rents YoY
10.6%
Active inventory
518
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,176
Tax est. 1.5%
$519 /mo · $6,225/yr
Insurance
$173
HOA
$176
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$631
Net cashflow
$-670

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,853
Max offer price $318,081
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-383 -5% $-526 +0% $-670 +5% $-813 +10% $-957
Rent -10% $-907 -5% $-788 +0% $-670 +5% $-551 +10% $-432
Rate -1.0pp $-461 -0.5pp $-564 base $-670 +0.5pp $-777 +1.0pp $-887

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$103,750
Closing costs
$12,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Hearthstone Reach Suffolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2364 $3,600 $1.52 45d 1 1.09mi
1005 Bay Breeze Dr Unit 1 Suffolk, VA 3.0 2.0 2013 $3,150 $1.56 25d 1 1.21mi
159 Stoney Ridge Ave Suffolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2325 $2,650 $1.14 9d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$176 · $2,112/yr
Likely covers
gasgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $415,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $415,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $415,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $415,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $415,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $415,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $419,900 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $419,900 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $419,900 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $419,900 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $419,900 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $419,900 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $419,900 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-04-09
    price $419,900 1004-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1004 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained three-story condo in the sought-after Harbour View Townes community. Enjoy a private balcony retreat with a cozy stone gas fireplace and mounted TV, perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. The first level offers a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, gym, or media room, along with a utility room and garage access with potential for a 4th bedroom. The main living level features abundant natural light and an open-concept layout with a spacious kitchen, oversized island, SS appliances, LVP flooring, and ample cabinetry with pantry storage. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms share a full hall bath, with laundry conveniently located on the same level. Enjoy community amenities like a dog park and green space, all in a prime Suffolk location near shopping, dining, and within 35–45 minutes of Hampton Roads military bases.

  15. 2026-03-26
    listed $425,000 Active 1004-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1004 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained three-story condo in the sought-after Harbour View Townes community. Enjoy a private balcony retreat with a cozy stone gas fireplace and mounted TV, perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. The first level offers a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, gym, or media room, along with a utility room and garage access with potential for a 4th bedroom. The main living level features abundant natural light and an open-concept layout with a spacious kitchen, oversized island, SS appliances, LVP flooring, and ample cabinetry with pantry storage. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms share a full hall bath, with laundry conveniently located on the same level. Enjoy community amenities like a dog park and green space, all in a prime Suffolk location near shopping, dining, and within 35–45 minutes of Hampton Roads military bases.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,064
− Mortgage interest
−$23,246
− Property taxes
−$6,225
− Insurance
−$2,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,885
− Management
−$2,885
− HOA
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$12,073
Taxable loss
−$15,438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,705
After-tax cash flow
$-4,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Suffolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103710
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$65,573
Composite
48.31/100
National rank
#2151
State rank
#72 of 131 in VA

Livability — Suffolk

Score
77/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#2896

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Suffolk, VA
County
Suffolk City · 88,108 people
City population
88,108
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
33,721
Household income
$111,700
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1074.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,269 people
By 2030
98,269 · +3.1%
By 2040
103,177 · +8.3%
By 2050
105,777 · +11.0%
By 2075
110,963 · +16.5%
By 2100
103,711 · +8.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 36% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
D (+15.9) · D 57.4% · R 41.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 15.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.9 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.93%
Current HPI
162.3775
Rent YoY
▲ 10.61%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $419,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $425,000 REINMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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