1241 Worden Way · Suffolk, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$415,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully maintained three-story condo in the sought-after Harbour View Townes community. Enjoy a private balcony retreat with a cozy stone gas fireplace and mounted TV, perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. The first level offers a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, gym, or media room, along with a utility room and garage access with potential for a 4th bedroom. The main living level features abundant natural light and an open-concept layout with a spacious kitchen, oversized island, SS appliances, LVP flooring, and ample cabinetry with pantry storage. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms share a full hall bath, with laundry conveniently located on the same level. Enjoy community amenities like a dog park and green space, all in a prime Suffolk location near shopping, dining, and within 35–45 minutes of Hampton Roads military bases.
Key facts
- Mounted tv
- Utility room
- Flex space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $415k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-670 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (23.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (27.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $301k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.5% in Suffolk — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northern Shores Elementary (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B+, #357 of 1,108 statewide, top 33%, 822 students, 65% FRL); John Yeates Middle (math 60% / reading 83%, grade A, #72 of 342 statewide, top 22%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Nansemond River High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #204 of 319 statewide, top 65%, 1,698 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 55% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Suffolk City Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 518 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($390k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.92%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $465,320
- List price
- $415,000
- Delta
- -10.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-93,871
- Equity at exit
- $61,878
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-63,761
- Equity at exit
- $35,882
Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23435
- Rents YoY
- 10.6%
- Active inventory
- 518
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,005 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,176
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$519 /mo · $6,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$173
- HOA
- −$176
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$631
- Net cashflow
- $-670
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-383 | -5% $-526 | +0% $-670 | +5% $-813 | +10% $-957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-907 | -5% $-788 | +0% $-670 | +5% $-551 | +10% $-432 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-461 | -0.5pp $-564 | base $-670 | +0.5pp $-777 | +1.0pp $-887 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,750
- Closing costs
- $12,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Hearthstone Reach Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2364 | $3,600 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1005 Bay Breeze Dr Unit 1 Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2013 | $3,150 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 159 Stoney Ridge Ave Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2325 | $2,650 | $1.14 | 9d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $176 · $2,112/yr
- Likely covers
- gasgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $415,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $415,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $415,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $415,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $415,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $415,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $419,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $419,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $419,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $419,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $419,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $419,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $419,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-04-09price $419,900 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained three-story condo in the sought-after Harbour View Townes community. Enjoy a private balcony retreat with a cozy stone gas fireplace and mounted TV, perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. The first level offers a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, gym, or media room, along with a utility room and garage access with potential for a 4th bedroom. The main living level features abundant natural light and an open-concept layout with a spacious kitchen, oversized island, SS appliances, LVP flooring, and ample cabinetry with pantry storage. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms share a full hall bath, with laundry conveniently located on the same level. Enjoy community amenities like a dog park and green space, all in a prime Suffolk location near shopping, dining, and within 35–45 minutes of Hampton Roads military bases.
-
2026-03-26$425,000 Active 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained three-story condo in the sought-after Harbour View Townes community. Enjoy a private balcony retreat with a cozy stone gas fireplace and mounted TV, perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. The first level offers a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, gym, or media room, along with a utility room and garage access with potential for a 4th bedroom. The main living level features abundant natural light and an open-concept layout with a spacious kitchen, oversized island, SS appliances, LVP flooring, and ample cabinetry with pantry storage. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms share a full hall bath, with laundry conveniently located on the same level. Enjoy community amenities like a dog park and green space, all in a prime Suffolk location near shopping, dining, and within 35–45 minutes of Hampton Roads military bases.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,246
- − Property taxes
- −$6,225
- − Insurance
- −$2,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,885
- − Management
- −$2,885
- − HOA
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$12,073
- Taxable loss
- −$15,438
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,705
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,573
- Composite
- 48.31/100
- National rank
- #2151
- State rank
- #72 of 131 in VA
Livability — Suffolk
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #2896
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suffolk, VA
- County
- Suffolk City · 88,108 people
- City population
- 88,108
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,721
- Household income
- $111,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1074.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,269 people
- By 2030
- 98,269 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 103,177 · +8.3%
- By 2050
- 105,777 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 110,963 · +16.5%
- By 2100
- 103,711 · +8.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 36% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.9) · D 57.4% · R 41.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.9 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.93%
- Current HPI
- 162.3775
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.61%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-1.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $419,900 REINMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $425,000 REINMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…