626 Tazewell Ave SE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,927
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). This is a reserve auction and all offers are subject to seller approval. ''Buyer representing self will not be paid a broker co-op commission'' Large two story home close to downtown Roanoke. Taxes and Sqft per Roanoke City GIS Buyer responsible for all inspections and to verify all information.
Key facts
- 4,400 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 646 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 646 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 646 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.31%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,298
- List price
- $85,927
- Delta
- -45.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 Church Ave SE | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,472 (-11%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $112 | 79 |
| 703 Elm Ave SE | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,678 (+2%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $101 | 74 |
| 128 10 1/2 St SE | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,657 (+0%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $94 | 69 |
| 624 Albemarle Ave SE | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,698 (+3%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $38 | 69 |
| 728 Bullitt Ave SE | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,564 (-5%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 1227 Buena Vista Blvd SE | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 | 1,632 (-1%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $104 | 58 |
| 1503 Wise Ave SE | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 | 1,752 (+6%) | 8mo | $68,000 | $39 | 50 |
| 1008 11th St SE | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,533 (-7%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $130 | 50 |
| 127 Patton Ave NW | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,550 (-6%) | 8mo | $68,000 | $44 | 46 |
| 1215 Tazewell Ave SE | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,476 (-11%) | 4mo | $82,500 | $56 | 45 |
| 645 Albemarle Ave SE | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,410 (-15%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $89 | 36 |
| 816 Morrill Ave SE | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,414 (-14%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $32 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $29,897
- Equity at exit
- $12,812
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $82,486
- Equity at exit
- $7,429
Cash invested: $24,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24013
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,592 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$451
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $998/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $688
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $737 | -5% $712 | +0% $688 | +5% $664 | +10% $639 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $562 | -5% $625 | +0% $688 | +5% $751 | +10% $814 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $731 | -0.5pp $710 | base $688 | +0.5pp $666 | +1.0pp $643 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,482
- Closing costs
- $2,578
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730 Murray Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,525 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 730 Murray Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,525 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1015 12th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $923 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 909 13th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $1,199 | $0.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1016 15th St SE #2 Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1084 | $995 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1817 Dale Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1820 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 119 18th St SE Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2104 | $1,500 | $0.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 333 Harrison Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,123 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 401 Rutherford Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1515 Dunbar St NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,623 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 770 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1017 Ferdinand Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2248 | $1,795 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2109 Colgate St NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,927 Active 646 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,927 Active 643 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,927 Active 642 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,927 Active 641 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,927 Active 640 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $85,927 Active 638 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,927 Active 637 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,927 Active 635 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,927 Active 634 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,927 Active 633 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,927 Active 629 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,927 Active 628 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,927 Active 627 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,927 Active 626 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,927 Active 625 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,927 Active 624 DOM
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2026-02-05price $85,927
-
2026-01-05price $87,680
-
2025-11-12price $89,470
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2025-10-08price $91,296
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2025-09-03price $93,159
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2025-08-08price $95,060
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2025-05-18price $97,000
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2025-04-11price $98,980
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2025-03-07price $101,000
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2024-12-20price $103,500
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2024-11-06price $107,950
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2024-09-22price $110,000
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2024-09-13$85,000 Active
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2020-11-23soldstatus $3,113,580
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2019-04-15soldstatus $25,620 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). This is a reserve auction and all offers are subject to seller approval. ''Buyer representing self will not be paid a broker co-op commission'' Large two story home close to downtown Roanoke. Taxes and Sqft per Roanoke City GIS Buyer responsible for all inspections and to verify all information.
-
2018-11-16$39,000 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). This is a reserve auction and all offers are subject to seller approval. ''Buyer representing self will not be paid a broker co-op commission'' Large two story home close to downtown Roanoke. Taxes and Sqft per Roanoke City GIS Buyer responsible for all inspections and to verify all information.
-
2005-04-21soldstatus $27,000
-
2005-04-21soldstatus $27,000
-
2005-04-13soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,101
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,813
- − Property taxes
- −$998
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,528
- − Management
- −$1,528
- − Depreciation
- −$2,500
- Taxable income
- $7,304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,753
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,026
- Household income
- $51,290
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Greek 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.00%
- Current HPI
- 223.42
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+759.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $85,927 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $87,680 MLSRV
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $89,470 MLSRV
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $91,296 MLSRV
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $93,159 MLSRV
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $95,060 MLSRV
- 2025-05-18 Price Changed $97,000 MLSRV
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $98,980 MLSRV
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $101,000 MLSRV
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $103,500 MLSRV
- 2024-11-06 Price Changed $107,950 MLSRV
- 2024-09-22 Price Changed $110,000 MLSRV
- 2024-09-13 Listed $85,000 MLSRV
- 2020-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $3,113,580 Public Records
- 2019-04-15 Sold (MLS) $25,620 MLSRV
- 2018-11-16 Listed $39,000 MLSRV
- 2005-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $998 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…