7667 Ellsworth St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Whether you're an investor or a first-time home buyer, this home offers a great opportunity. Featuring spacious rooms and a large yard, the property has solid bones and plenty of potential. While some updates and TLC are needed, the price reflects the condition, making it an excellent value. A great option for buyers looking to build equity or add to their investment portfolio. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Lot approximately 0.07 acres (30 x 100)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.29%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $31,219
- List price
- $54,999
- Delta
- 124.22%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14830 Greenlawn St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-4%) | 13mo | $15,000 | $22 | 71 |
| 7326 Ellsworth St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (+7%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $46 | 67 |
| 14619 Greenlawn St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 804 (+14%) | 5mo | $52,000 | $65 | 56 |
| 14890 Holmur St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 779 (+11%) | 10mo | $40,598 | $52 | 45 |
| 6445 SW Globe St S | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 795 (+13%) | 18mo | $30,000 | $38 | 44 |
| 14611 Washburn St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 790 (+12%) | 10mo | $34,900 | $44 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $11,560
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $45,890
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $923 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,737/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $304 | -5% $289 | +0% $273 | +5% $258 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $200 | -5% $237 | +0% $273 | +5% $310 | +10% $346 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $301 | -0.5pp $287 | base $273 | +0.5pp $259 | +1.0pp $244 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3808 Kendall St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 25d | 4 | 0.83mi |
| 2341 Ewald Cir Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3700 Pasadena St Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $775 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1875 Ewald Cir Unit 2E Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $875 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3266 Pasadena St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $700 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 5 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $895 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 10 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $895 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3235 W Grand St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $850 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 12728 Monica St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $750 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2952 Waverly St Unit 2W Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 439 | $750 | $1.71 | 11d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2623 W McNichols Rd Unit 23106 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2433 Pasadena St Unit 2435 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,025 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,999 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $54,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 409-char remark
-
2026-06-04pricestatusdays on market $54,999 Coming Soon 1 DOM
-
2026-05-05historical
-
2026-05-05historical
-
2026-02-06price $70,000
-
2026-02-05price $70,000
-
2025-08-25$80,000 Active
-
2025-08-25$80,000 Active
-
2021-06-04soldstatus $65,400
-
2019-02-15soldstatus $6,000 Sold
-
2019-02-15soldstatus $6,000 Closed
-
2019-01-31status Pending
-
2019-01-31status Pending
-
2018-12-06price $6,000
-
2018-12-05price $6,000
-
2018-09-12$10,000 Active
-
2018-09-12$10,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,737 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,737 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,737
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$886
- − Management
- −$886
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $2,613
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$627
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+450.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $54,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $54,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $54,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-25 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-25 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $65,400 Public Records
- 2019-02-15 Sold (MLS) $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-15 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-01-31 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-01-31 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-12-06 Price Changed $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-12-05 Price Changed $6,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-09-12 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-12 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+16.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,737 · +98.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…