3520 E Gaskins Rd Lot 5 · Bartow, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into comfort and style with this beautifully maintained 2017 Myranda Homes manufactured home, offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms across a spacious 28’ x 56’ layout. Designed with both functionality and charm in mind, this home features an inviting island kitchen highlighted by a stunning stacked stone accent—perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Enjoy natural light throughout the home, enhanced by elegant plantation-style shutters that add both character and privacy. Recent updates include a brand-new roof (2025), giving peace of mind for years to come. The home is also equipped with gutters and downspouts for added durability
Key facts
- Island kitchen
- L-shaped porch
- Stacked stone accent
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,568 square feet
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $280
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; North-facing; Entry on main level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#526 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.07%
- DSCR
- 2.78
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $36,470
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $97,202
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33830
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,955 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $822
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1707 Valencia Blvd Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,831 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$1,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,877
- − Management
- −$1,877
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $8,929
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2017 Myranda Homes manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, including a new roof. It offers a spacious layout and is move-in ready.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves both resale and rental value
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bartow
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #526
- US rank
- #9835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 33,740
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,740
- Household income
- $63,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 681.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.47%
- Current HPI
- 333.3392
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…