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3520 E Gaskins Rd Lot 5
B Composite 71.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

3520 E Gaskins Rd Lot 5 · Bartow, FL 33830
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 69 Days on market
Built 2017 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into comfort and style with this beautifully maintained 2017 Myranda Homes manufactured home, offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms across a spacious 28’ x 56’ layout. Designed with both functionality and charm in mind, this home features an inviting island kitchen highlighted by a stunning stacked stone accent—perfect for cooking, entertaining, and gathering with family and friends. Enjoy natural light throughout the home, enhanced by elegant plantation-style shutters that add both character and privacy. Recent updates include a brand-new roof (2025), giving peace of mind for years to come. The home is also equipped with gutters and downspouts for added durability

Key facts

  • Island kitchen
  • L-shaped porch
  • Stacked stone accent

Tags

ISLAND KITCHENSTACKED STONE ACCENTPLANTATION-STYLE SHUTTERSNEW ROOFL-SHAPED PORCHGUTTERS AND DOWNSPOUTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,568 square feet
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease of $280

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; North-facing; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#526 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
17.51%
Cash-on-cash
40.07%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$36,470
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
39.6%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$97,202
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33830

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
386
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$822

Break-even live

Break-even rent $915
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1707 Valencia Blvd Bartow, FL 3.0 2.0 1195 $1,831 $1.53 3d 1 0.58mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-04-10
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,466
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$1,272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,877
− Management
−$1,877
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$8,929
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,143
After-tax cash flow
$7,719/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2017 Myranda Homes manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, including a new roof. It offers a spacious layout and is move-in ready.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bartow

Score
68/100
State rank
#526
US rank
#9835

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Polk County · 740,051 people
City population
33,740
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,740
Household income
$63,918
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
681.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.47%
Current HPI
333.3392
Rent YoY
▲ 2.72%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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