21 Pomona Pl · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Open floor plan
- Second-floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story; Existing construction; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Resale property; Lot is rectangular and residential; Near public transit; Road frontage on city street / main thoroughfare; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 133
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Open porch; Porch; Shed(s) and storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Laundry, Living Room, Family Room (listed room types)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Kitchen island; Kitchen and family room combo
- Laundry & utility: Upper level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Exhaust fan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-373/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.58%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,940
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Unger Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (+4%) | 3mo | $223,600 | $209 | 78 |
| 88 Marbeth Ct | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-2%) | 3mo | $239,900 | $238 | 75 |
| 84 Cumberland Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (-4%) | 7mo | $219,500 | $223 | 69 |
| 124 Zittel St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,028 (-0%) | 4mo | $206,000 | $200 | 66 |
| 30 Portland St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,006 (-2%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $159 | 65 |
| 351 Abbott Rd | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+5%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $162 | 63 |
| 131 Geary St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 945 (-8%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $116 | 61 |
| 16 Mesmer Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,021 (-1%) | 6mo | $206,000 | $202 | 55 |
| 369 Abbott Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+9%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $156 | 50 |
| 112 Hubbell Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,161 (+13%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $177 | 44 |
| 93 Salem St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,184 (+15%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $198 | 42 |
| 152 Como Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,134 (+10%) | 7mo | $211,000 | $186 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $103,125
- Equity at exit
- $162,068
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.41×
- Total profit
- $322,923
- Equity at exit
- $349,506
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14210
- Home prices YoY
- 13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 12.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,360 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $381/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $-31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $71 | -5% $20 | +0% $-31 | +5% $-82 | +10% $-349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-139 | -5% $-85 | +0% $-31 | +5% $23 | +10% $76 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $60 | -0.5pp $15 | base $-31 | +0.5pp $-78 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,075 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,150 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 61 Princeton Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 11d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 696 Hopkins St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,510 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 46 Kirkwood Dr Unit Lower West Seneca, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-15$179,900 Active
-
2022-04-18soldstatus $166,771
-
2022-04-14soldstatus $166,771 Closed Sale or Rented 646-char remark
Show marketing remark (646 chars)
Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!
-
2022-02-28status Pending Sale 646-char remark
Show marketing remark (646 chars)
Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!
-
2022-02-21status Under Contract- Do Not Show 646-char remark
Show marketing remark (646 chars)
Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!
-
2021-12-30$159,900 Active 646-char remark
Show marketing remark (646 chars)
Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!
-
2021-04-26soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $381 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,330/yr (+$111/mo · 348.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,323
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$381
- − Insurance
- −$1,566
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,306
- − Management
- −$1,306
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$3,546
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$851
- After-tax cash flow
- $478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,563
- Household income
- $54,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.34%
- Current HPI
- 431.7951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+274.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $166,771 Public Records
- 2022-04-14 Sold (MLS) $166,771 WNYREIS
- 2022-02-28 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2022-02-21 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-12-30 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
- 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $381 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…