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21 Pomona Pl
C Composite 58.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,900

21 Pomona Pl · Buffalo, NY 14210
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,030 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1910 4,013 sqft lot Est $204k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Open floor plan
  • Second-floor laundry

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSOPEN FLOOR PLANSECOND-FLOOR LAUNDRYMAJOR MECHANICAL UPDATESCLOSE TO LOCAL SHOPSMOVE-IN READY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story; Existing construction; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Resale property; Lot is rectangular and residential; Near public transit; Road frontage on city street / main thoroughfare; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 133
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Open porch; Porch; Shed(s) and storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Laundry, Living Room, Family Room (listed room types)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Kitchen island; Kitchen and family room combo
  • Laundry & utility: Upper level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Exhaust fan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-373/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (3.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (24.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,027 (24.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,940
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
45 Unger Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,072 (+4%) 3mo $223,600 $209 78
88 Marbeth Ct 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-2%) 3mo $239,900 $238 75
84 Cumberland Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 984 (-4%) 7mo $219,500 $223 69
124 Zittel St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,028 (-0%) 4mo $206,000 $200 66
30 Portland St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,006 (-2%) 5mo $160,000 $159 65
351 Abbott Rd 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 1mo $175,000 $162 63
131 Geary St 0.39mi 3/2.0 945 (-8%) 4mo $110,000 $116 61
16 Mesmer Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,021 (-1%) 6mo $206,000 $202 55
369 Abbott Rd 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+9%) 7mo $175,000 $156 50
112 Hubbell Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,161 (+13%) 4mo $205,000 $177 44
93 Salem St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,184 (+15%) 1mo $235,000 $198 42
152 Como Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,134 (+10%) 7mo $211,000 $186 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$103,125
Equity at exit
$162,068
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
7.41×
Total profit
$322,923
Equity at exit
$349,506

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,360 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $381/yr
Insurance
$75
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$-31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,400
Max offer price $174,413
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $71 -5% $20 +0% $-31 +5% $-82 +10% $-349
Rent -10% $-139 -5% $-85 +0% $-31 +5% $23 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $60 -0.5pp $15 base $-31 +0.5pp $-78 +1.0pp $-125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,075 $0.95 15d 1 0.15mi
76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,275 $1.06 2d 1 0.17mi
1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,250 $1.05 24d 1 0.20mi
34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.28mi
214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 945 $1,200 $1.27 15d 1 0.51mi
2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 937 $1,150 $1.23 44d 1 0.53mi
61 Princeton Pl Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 820 $1,300 $1.59 3d 1 0.55mi
298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1208 $2,200 $1.82 2d 1 0.57mi
23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 44d 1 0.77mi
89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,100 $0.86 11d 1 0.78mi
47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 44d 1 0.90mi
700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 15d 1 0.94mi
696 Hopkins St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 44d 1 0.95mi
102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 16d 1 1.19mi
74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,510 $1.21 2d 1 1.33mi
46 Kirkwood Dr Unit Lower West Seneca, NY 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 16d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-05-15
    listed $179,900 Active
  5. 2022-04-18
    soldstatus $166,771
  6. 2022-04-14
    soldstatus $166,771 Closed Sale or Rented 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!

  7. 2022-02-28
    status Pending Sale 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!

  8. 2022-02-21
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!

  9. 2021-12-30
    listed $159,900 Active 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    Welcome to 21 Pomona! Renovated from top to bottom, this three-bedroom, 1.5 bath home features custom touches throughout - from the newly installed hardwood floors to the steel railing which has been designed for easy access of furniture to the second floor. The first floor's open floor plan allows for natural light from every angle, enhancing the beautiful white cabinets against the natural wood. The second floor boasts a spacious, newly tiled, full bathroom with a laundry room off the hallway. But wait - there's more! A new roof, furnace and hot water tank. There is absolutely nothing for you to do but move in and make it your very own!

  10. 2021-04-26
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$381 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,711 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$1,330/yr (+$111/mo · 348.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,323
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$381
− Insurance
−$1,566
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,306
− Management
−$1,306
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$3,546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$851
After-tax cash flow
$478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $166,771 Public Records
  • 2022-04-14 Sold (MLS) $166,771 WNYREIS
  • 2022-02-28 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-02-21 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-12-30 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $381 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…