6855 Jacqueline Dr SW · Pajarito Mesa, NM 87121

$230,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Other public records

Built 1997 0.75 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.3/10.0
• DSCR +5.1/10.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.0/5.0
• Livability +2.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.75 acre lot
• Built 1997

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $230k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($128/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (13.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $199k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 39/100 on livability (#390 in NM) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Coronado Elementary (308 students, 30% FRL); Polk Middle (269 students, 100% FRL); Rio Grande High (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #107 of 110 statewide, top 97%, 1,532 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 60% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-48 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Albuquerque Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $199,438 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.00%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.53%
• DSCR: 1.11
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -19.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.34×
• Total profit: $-42,418
• Equity at exit: $34,294

10-year hold

• IRR: -19.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.09×
• Total profit: $-58,585
• Equity at exit: $19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Mexico: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 87121

• Home prices YoY: -19.4%
• Rents YoY: -1.9%
• Active inventory: 268
• Price-to-rent: 9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,994 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax from tax record: −$138 /mo · $1,652/yr
• Insurance: −$96
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$419
• Net cashflow: $11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,981

Max offer price $230,000

Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $141	-5% $76	+0% $11	+5% $-54	+10% $-119
Rent	-10% $-147	-5% $-68	+0% $11	+5% $89	+10% $168
Rate	-1.0pp $127	-0.5pp $69	base $11	+0.5pp $-49	+1.0pp $-110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $57,500
• Closing costs: $6,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-06-10
   listed $230,000 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,652 · $138/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,840 · $153/mo
• Expected delta: +$188/yr (+$16/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,933
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,884
• − Property taxes: −$1,652
• − Insurance: −$2,652
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,915
• − Management: −$1,915
• − Depreciation: −$6,691
• Taxable loss: −$3,776
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$906
• After-tax cash flow: $1,035/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Albuquerque Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 3500060
• Math proficiency: 51% ▲ 30.00%
• Reading proficiency: 75% ▲ 45.00%
• Median HH income: $48,151
• Composite: 53.29/100
• National rank: #1487
• State rank: #3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Pajarito Mesa

• Score: 39/100
• State rank: #390
• US rank: #27386

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
• Metro: Albuquerque, NM
• Population (ZIP): 75,510
• Household income: $60,796
• Rent vs Own: 23.1% rent · 76.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1617.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 704,528 people
• By 2030: 711,723 · +1.0%
• By 2040: 714,522 · +1.4%
• By 2050: 709,274 · +0.7%
• By 2075: 680,015 · -3.5%
• By 2100: 619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 32% White 9% Native American 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 60%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada
• Languages at home: 53% English-only · Spanish 44% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.80%
• Current HPI: 261.8123
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.86%
• Metro: Albuquerque, NM
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Delisted — Southwest MLS
• 2026-04-11 Listed $230,000 Southwest MLS
• 2008-10-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2008-10-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-03-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,652 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.