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3354 Reston Dr
C+ Composite 64.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

3354 Reston Dr · The Villages, FL 32162
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2001 7,296 sqft lot Est $319k · 12% under $199/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Discover this beautifully maintained AMARILLO model home nestled in the desirable and established Village of BELLE AIRE. This inviting residence features three bedrooms and two baths, showcasing a SPLIT FLOOR PLAN that maximizes space and comfort. With VAULTED ceilings and a GLASS ENCLOSED LANAI, this home offers a perfect blend of style and functionality for year-round enjoyment. Enjoy the best of both worlds—convenience and a serene rural atmosphere, complemented by friendly neighbors and low traffic for a peaceful living experience. This exceptional home is enhanced by two electric FIREPLACES , elegant GRANITE COUNTER TOPS in both the kitchen

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Glass enclosed lanai
  • Split floor plan

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANGLASS ENCLOSED LANAITWO ELECTRIC FIREPLACESGRANITE COUNTER TOPSLAMINATE FLOORINGMOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential, single family; Zoning: R
  • Financial info: Community Development District (CDD) present
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (optional fee); HOA amenities include fitness center, golf course, pickleball courts, recreation facilities, shuffleboard, and trails; Community features include community mailbox, dog park, playground, tennis courts; golf carts allowed; senior community; pets (cats and dogs) allowed; Total monthly association fees reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 22)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Fiber optics available; Fire hydrant nearby; Underground utilities; Irrigation equipment
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces east
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with approximately 1,392 sq ft living area
  • Exterior features: Enclosed rear porch; Patio/porch; Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Mature landscaping; Landscaped, level lot near golf course; Paved driveway/road (asphalt); Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters; Exhaust fan; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan with living/dining combo; Solid surface counters; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Skylight(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 550 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,116/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 987% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $279,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.92%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$318,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3354 Reston Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,392 (0%) 1mo $275,000 $198 99
17972 SE 84th Abercorn Ct 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,392 (0%) 2mo $257,000 $185 82
1705 Staunton St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,527 (+10%) 2mo $285,000 $187 80
1893 Dalton Dr 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,278 (-8%) 2mo $315,000 $246 66
3433 Worth Cir 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,392 (0%) 5mo $355,000 $255 65
1812 Sanibel Ct 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,229 (-12%) 5mo $301,000 $245 65
3049 Glenwood Pl 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+1%) 5mo $298,900 $213 60
3024 Macon Ct 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,270 (-9%) 1mo $270,000 $213 58
17760 SE 85th Causton Ct 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,539 (+11%) 1mo $365,000 $237 57
3017 Moultrie Way 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,278 (-8%) 3mo $292,500 $229 57
3065 Glenwood Pl 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,490 (+7%) 2mo $310,000 $208 52
1940 Peachtree Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,594 (+14%) 4mo $368,000 $231 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-9,460
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$46,556
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32162

Home prices YoY
-6.9%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
550
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,938/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$199
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$654
Net cashflow
$517

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,462
Max offer price $279,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $675 -5% $596 +0% $517 +5% $438 +10% $359
Rent -10% $271 -5% $394 +0% $517 +5% $640 +10% $763
Rate -1.0pp $658 -0.5pp $588 base $517 +0.5pp $445 +1.0pp $371

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8544 SE 177th Bartram Loop The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1265 $1,900 $1.50 21d 1 0.47mi
1808 Peachtree Ave The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1182 $2,500 $2.12 21d 1 0.48mi
1648 Belle Grove Dr The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1132 $4,250 $3.75 21d 1 0.71mi
2909 Meadow Lawn Ln The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1132 $4,300 $3.80 21d 1 0.74mi
17400 SE 82nd Roslyn Ct The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1138 $4,700 $4.13 21d 1 0.94mi
17324 SE 82nd Pecan Ter The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1358 $2,500 $1.84 21d 1 0.98mi
17713 SE 95th Cir Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,000 $1.38 21d 1 1.08mi
17442 SE 79th Lovewood Ave The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $4,500 $3.92 21d 1 1.09mi
1129 Santa Cruz Dr The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $2,350 $2.13 21d 1 1.14mi
2829 Burgos Dr The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1156 $1,850 $1.60 21d 1 1.20mi
17582 SE 96th Ct Summerfield, FL 2.0 2.0 1652 $1,750 $1.06 21d 1 1.22mi
7630 SE 174th Gaillard Pl The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1265 $4,500 $3.56 21d 1 1.28mi
971 Kingmont Ter The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1392 $3,400 $2.44 21d 1 1.29mi
888 Radclife Berea Pl The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1288 $4,200 $3.26 21d 1 1.38mi
3545 Idlewood Loop The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1240 $4,500 $3.63 21d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$199 · $2,388/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $279,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,938 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,323 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$385/yr (+$32/mo · 19.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,398
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$1,938
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,992
− Management
−$2,992
− HOA
−$2,388
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable income
$1,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$448
After-tax cash flow
$5,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — The Villages

Score
70/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#7363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
The Villages, FL
County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
83,973
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
55,424
Household income
$74,119
Rent vs Own
7.1% rent · 92.9% own
Severe rent burden
987.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.16%
Current HPI
218.1956
Rent YoY
▲ 3.92%
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $279,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,938 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…