414 Sandusky St · Ashland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Over 1600 Sq Ft of Immaculate Space, This Home has been Lovingly Updated with Trendy Fresh Paint, New Carpet & New Light Fixtures. Spacious Eat-In Kitchen Opens to Family Room Offering an Ideal Layout for Entertaining. Enjoy Time Outside from the Covered Front Porch or the Back Deck which Overlooks the Privacy-Fenced Back Yard. 2 Car Garage with Workshop Space. Move-In Ready. .. The Jetted Tub Awaits You!
Key facts
- Vinyl sided
- Covered front porch
- New shingle roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas; Central heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Full basement with sump pump; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($304/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Taft Intermediate School (math 76% / reading 75%, grade A, #257 of 1,584 statewide, top 17%, 461 students, 35% FRL); Ashland Middle School (math 71% / reading 65%, grade A-, #155 of 654 statewide, top 24%, 735 students, 34% FRL); Ashland High School (math 51% / reading 72%, grade B-, #231 of 781 statewide, top 30%, 881 students, 26% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.62%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,735
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Lindale Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+1%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $102 | 83 |
| 1210 Cottage St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (-3%) | 4mo | $72,500 | $46 | 62 |
| 803 Myers Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (-12%) | 4mo | $151,000 | $107 | 62 |
| 846 Sandusky St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,482 (-8%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $148 | 60 |
| 232 High St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (-1%) | 6mo | $182,500 | $114 | 59 |
| 934 Summit Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (+6%) | 2mo | $207,500 | $122 | 59 |
| 113 E Liberty St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+3%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $39 | 58 |
| 840 Sandusky St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+9%) | 5mo | $207,500 | $119 | 55 |
| 1218 Myers Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,780 (+11%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $84 | 53 |
| 347 East 4th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,442 (-10%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 145 College Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,516 (-6%) | 6mo | $172,500 | $114 | 45 |
| 1407 Cottage St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-15%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $37 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-20,699
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $10,970
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44805
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,318/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $25
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $124 | -5% $75 | +0% $25 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $-31 | +0% $25 | +5% $82 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $113 | -0.5pp $70 | base $25 | +0.5pp $-20 | +1.0pp $-66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Race St Unit 200 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1532 | $735 | $0.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 510 Broad St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1681 | $1,650 | $0.98 | 46d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 917 Birch St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 606 Edgehill Ave Ashland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 332 Sloan Ave Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-09status $174,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 460-char remark
-
2026-06-07$174,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,318 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,023 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$705/yr (+$59/mo · 53.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$1,318
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,367
- − Management
- −$1,367
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$2,720
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$653
- After-tax cash flow
- $957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland City
- NCES district ID
- 3904350
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,164
- Composite
- 58.31/100
- National rank
- #1015
- State rank
- #165 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #6095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, OH
- County
- Ashland County · 30,805 people
- City population
- 30,805
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,805
- Household income
- $68,299
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,732 people
- By 2030
- 51,728 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 48,956 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 46,070 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 38,945 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 30,883 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.79%
- Current HPI
- 201.96
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.07%
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+159.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $174,900 ABOR
- 2026-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-27 Sold (MLS) $140,000 ABOR
- 2021-08-27 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MARMLS
- 2021-07-13 Listed $149,000 ABOR
- 2021-07-07 Listed $149,000 MARMLS
- 2016-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 ABOR
- 2015-06-11 Listed $69,000 ABOR
- 1994-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,318 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…