11377 Township Road 266 #113 · Lakeview, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.9
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your Lake Life awaits at Indian Lake Estates, unit 113! Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat, summer home, or a year round sanctuary, look no further! This 2007 Breckenridge offers an affordable opportunity to be at the lake. Features of this park model include: 2 full bedrooms (NO LOFT/STAIRS), located on a LARGE corner lot, covered concrete patio, a shed, dinette/bed combo in bunkroom, and vaulted ceilings. Community amenities include: Year round/full time use of Park Model, gated community, freshly paved roads, In-ground pool, Putt Putt, Shuffleboard, Basketball, Playground, overflow guest parking and Shelter house. Lot rent is $575.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Large corner lot
- Boat dock rentals
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.1% vs local median 4.6% in Lakeview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#836 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Indian Lake Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #391 of 1,584 statewide, top 27%, 510 students, 45% FRL); Indian Lake Middle School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B+, #259 of 654 statewide, top 40%, 407 students, 42% FRL); Indian Lake High School (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B-, #202 of 781 statewide, top 29%, 492 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 88.46%
- DSCR
- 4.94
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,505
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -43.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11377 Township Road 266 #47 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 480 (0%) | 1mo | $83,000 | $173 | 99 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 55 | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 480 (0%) | 2mo | $42,000 | $88 | 90 |
| 11475 Township Road 293 #302 | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 480 (0%) | 1mo | $143,700 | $299 | 87 |
| 11539 Lake Dr #72 | 0.40mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 472 (-2%) | 2mo | $152,000 | $322 | 72 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #77 | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 432 (-10%) | 11mo | $57,000 | $132 | 66 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #61 | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 432 (-10%) | 12mo | $56,000 | $130 | 65 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #15 | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 432 (-10%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #22 | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 538 (+12%) | 11mo | $19,000 | $35 | 63 |
| 11539 Lake Dr #171 | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 418 (-13%) | 2mo | $144,000 | $344 | 60 |
| 11539 Lake Dr #153 | 0.29mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 418 (-13%) | 1mo | $73,500 | $176 | 59 |
| 11065 County Road 293 #13 | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 540 (+12%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $157 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.12×
- Total profit
- $28,714
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- 92.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.64×
- Total profit
- $67,209
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active · 15 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.4 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $62,000 ($157/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 57 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -18.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 43331
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $868 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$182
- Net cashflow
- $514
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $531 | -5% $523 | +0% $514 | +5% $505 | +10% $497 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $445 | -5% $480 | +0% $514 | +5% $548 | +10% $583 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $527 | -0.5pp $520 | base $514 | +0.5pp $508 | +1.0pp $501 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Guest parking available (directions reference parking in guest lot)
- HOA & community
- HOA covers snow removal, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, pool, sewer, trash and water
Exterior
- Utilities
- Supplied waterPublic sewerPropane availableSewer connected
- Home design
- Residential mobile homeBuilt in 2007
- Construction
- Vinyl siding
- Exterior features
- Shed(s)Association poolLeased lotLake-related waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeRefrigerator
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central air conditioningElectric heatingPropane heating
- Interior features
- Cathedral ceilingsCeiling fans
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23pricedays on market $24,900 Active 139 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $34,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $34,900 Active 136 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $34,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $34,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $34,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $34,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $34,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $34,900 Active 129 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $34,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $34,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $34,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $34,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $34,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $34,900 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $34,900 Active 115 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $34,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $34,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $34,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-08-25pricedays on market $34,900 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $39,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $39,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $39,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $39,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $39,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $39,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $39,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $39,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $39,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $39,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $39,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $39,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $39,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $39,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $39,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $39,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $39,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $39,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $39,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $39,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $39,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $39,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $39,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $39,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $39,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $39,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $39,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $39,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $39,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-21pricedays on market $39,000 Active 75 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,421
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$834
- − Management
- −$834
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $6,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,473
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,695/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home requires cosmetic repairs, including a new roof and exterior siding, as well as routine maintenance such as painting and landscaping. Updates to these areas can significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear and potential leaks.
- Moderate exterior siding — Aged and may need repainting or replacement.
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown and could benefit from trimming.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian Lake Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904808
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,496
- Composite
- 52.6/100
- National rank
- #1559
- State rank
- #261 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lakeview
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #836
- US rank
- #15632
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Logan · 44,240 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,012
- Household income
- $60,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.75%
- Current HPI
- 256.2406
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $49,000 WRIST
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…