868 Southampton Rd #43 · Westfield, MA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You'll love the wooded, brook-side views offered by this charming, newly renovated mobile home in north Westfield. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a carport gives you a cozy space to be your own. Wake up each morning to awe-inspiring sunrises and drift off to sleep each night with the tranquil sounds of nature. It's situated in a clean/quiet nice community.Lot Fee=$387 Covers Tax, Water, Sewer, Plowing, and Trash removal. $100 Refundable HOA fee required. Application attached to listing.
Key facts
- Gas cooking
- Updated flooring
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association membership required; Association fee approximately $430; Community offers public transportation, shopping, parks, walk/jog trails, highway access, and nearby public school
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; 1 covered space (carport); Open/off-street parking available; Driveway; Total of 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers and 100 amp service; Gas hookup for range; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup
- Home design: Mobile home; Gray exterior; Single-story structure
- Construction: Modular construction; Irregular foundation; Year built (owner reported, actual)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Zero lot line; Cleared lot; Gentle sloping; Waterfront on a creek; Paved road frontage; Private road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No bedroom-level details provided
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Heating and cooling present
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Washer/Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.7% in Westfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#103 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime A-; Watch: commute C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Westfield (suburban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #216 of 302 in MA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $677 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $98k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.02%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,016
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 868 Southampton Rd #54 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 644 (-4%) | 1mo | $94,900 | $147 | 87 |
| 868 Southampton Rd #76 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 684 (+2%) | 13mo | $129,900 | $190 | 86 |
| 868 Southampton Rd Lot 12 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $83 | 80 |
| 868 Southampton Rd #18 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+7%) | 6mo | $67,500 | $94 | 78 |
| 868 Southampton Rd #6 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-11%) | 18mo | $76,900 | $128 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $6,645
- Equity at exit
- $14,597
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $54,890
- Equity at exit
- $8,465
Cash invested: $27,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01085
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,719 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$513
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$430
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $285 | +0% $252 | +5% $218 | +10% $184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $184 | +0% $252 | +5% $320 | +10% $387 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $301 | -0.5pp $277 | base $252 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $200 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,475
- Closing costs
- $2,937
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $430 · $5,160/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $97,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $97,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $97,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $97,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $97,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $97,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $97,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-21$97,900 New
-
2020-07-07soldstatus $40,500 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
You'll love the wooded, brook-side views offered by this charming, newly renovated mobile home in north Westfield. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a carport gives you a cozy space to be your own. Wake up each morning to awe-inspiring sunrises and drift off to sleep each night with the tranquil sounds of nature. It's situated in a clean/quiet nice community.Lot Fee=$387 Covers Tax, Water, Sewer, Plowing, and Trash removal. $100 Refundable HOA fee required. Application attached to listing.
-
2020-06-10$42,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
You'll love the wooded, brook-side views offered by this charming, newly renovated mobile home in north Westfield. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a carport gives you a cozy space to be your own. Wake up each morning to awe-inspiring sunrises and drift off to sleep each night with the tranquil sounds of nature. It's situated in a clean/quiet nice community.Lot Fee=$387 Covers Tax, Water, Sewer, Plowing, and Trash removal. $100 Refundable HOA fee required. Application attached to listing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 4/10 Moderate
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,484
- − Property taxes
- −$1,468
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,650
- − Management
- −$1,650
- − HOA
- −$5,160
- − Depreciation
- −$2,848
- Taxable income
- $1,880
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$451
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, with average condition overall. Upgrades to the interior and exterior can significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor carport roof — leaves and debris
- Minor kitchen backsplash — dirt and stains
- Minor bathroom flooring — scratches and stains
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace kitchen backsplash — new backsplash improves functionality and appearance
- Both repair carport roof — new roof prevents water damage and enhances curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| carport roof · leaves and debris | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen backsplash · dirt and stains | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom flooring · scratches and stains | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace kitchen backsplash — new backsplash improves functionality and appearance ↑
- Both repair carport roof — new roof prevents water damage and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westfield
- NCES district ID
- 2512630
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,859
- Composite
- 32.69/100
- National rank
- #5648
- State rank
- #216 of 302 in MA
Livability — Westfield
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #5343
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westfield, MA
- County
- Hampden County · 230,965 people
- City population
- 41,102
- Metro
- Springfield, MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,102
- Household income
- $88,728
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1029.0
Population outlook (Hampden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 485,646 people
- By 2030
- 491,517 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 500,539 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 508,827 · +4.8%
- By 2075
- 539,167 · +11.0%
- By 2100
- 545,698 · +12.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 9% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampden
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.4% · R 44.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 25.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.9 2020: D+17.7 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+25.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -297.65%
- Current HPI
- 256.772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.46%
- Metro
- Springfield, MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+128.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $97,900 MLS PIN
- 2020-07-07 Sold (MLS) $40,500 MLS PIN
- 2020-06-10 Listed $42,900 MLS PIN
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…