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310 N Walnut St
D+ Composite 47.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$11,700

310 N Walnut St · Creston, IA 50801
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,145 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 217 Days on market
Built 1898 5,663 sqft lot $10/sqft · 87% below area ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix & flip, rental, or make it your own. It is partially demoed out inside, does have some newer updates including replacement windows, and is ready to be finished to your liking. The open floor plan, 2 main floor bedrooms, main floor bath make this an excellent opportunity for instant equity, so don't let it get away, call today!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Replacement windows
  • 5,663 sq ft lot

Tags

REPLACEMENT WINDOWSOPEN FLOOR PLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $12k).
  • Recommended offer: $10k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 95.4% vs local median 4.6% in Creston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#76 in IA, #1,607 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F.
  • Creston Community School District (town): math 63% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #195 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Creston Elementary School (math 60% / reading 49%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 410 students, 55% FRL); Creston Middle School (math 65% / reading 74%, grade A, #113 of 246 statewide, top 49%, 291 students, 60% FRL); Creston High School (math 63% / reading 78%, grade B+, #140 of 336 statewide, top 43%, 532 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $81 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $351 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $10,296 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.28%
Cap rate
95.45%
Cash-on-cash
318.42%
DSCR
15.17
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,208
List price
$11,700
Delta
-87.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
302 N Elm St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,138 (-1%) 1mo $75,000 $66 84
505 N Walnut St 0.14mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,040 (-9%) 4mo $96,000 $92 68
1011 N Mulberry St 0.67mi 4/1.5 1,144 (-0%) 1mo $199,000 $174 66
506 S Birch St 0.60mi 4/1.0 1,126 (-2%) 5mo $82,500 $73 65
707 N Birch St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,064 (-7%) 3mo $133,000 $125 63
208 N Cherry St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 989 (-14%) 0mo $50,000 $51 62
619 N Walnut St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,036 (-10%) 4mo $87,500 $84 61
805 E Carpenter St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,144 (-0%) 5mo $165,000 $144 60
606 N Elm St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,004 (-12%) 1mo $115,000 $115 60
702 N Cherry St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,252 (+9%) 4mo $19,500 $16 58
1007 N Maple St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,180 (+3%) 3mo $163,500 $139 57
606 S Elm St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,172 (+2%) 3mo $165,500 $141 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.33×
Total profit
$53,487
Equity at exit
$1,745
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
37.00×
Total profit
$117,940
Equity at exit
$1,012

Cash invested: $3,276 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50801

Home prices YoY
-5.9%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$61
Tax est. 1.5%
$15 /mo · $176/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$869

Break-even live

Break-even rent $102
Max offer price $11,700
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $877 -5% $873 +0% $869 +5% $865 +10% $861
Rent -10% $774 -5% $822 +0% $869 +5% $917 +10% $964
Rate -1.0pp $875 -0.5pp $872 base $869 +0.5pp $866 +1.0pp $863

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,925
Closing costs
$351
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $11,700 Active 217 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $11,700 Active 216 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $11,700 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $11,700 Active 213 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $11,700 Active 212 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $11,700 Active 211 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $11,700 Active 209 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $11,700 Active 208 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $11,700 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $11,700 Active 204 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $11,700 Active 203 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $11,700 Active 202 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $11,700 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $11,700 Active 198 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $11,700 Active 197 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $11,700 Active 196 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $11,700 Active 195 DOM
  18. 2026-02-26
    price $11,700 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix & flip, rental, or make it your own. It is partially demoed out inside, does have some newer updates including replacement windows, and is ready to be finished to your liking. The open floor plan, 2 main floor bedrooms, main floor bath make this an excellent opportunity for instant equity, so don't let it get away, call today!

  19. 2025-12-04
    status Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix & flip, rental, or make it your own. It is partially demoed out inside, does have some newer updates including replacement windows, and is ready to be finished to your liking. The open floor plan, 2 main floor bedrooms, main floor bath make this an excellent opportunity for instant equity, so don't let it get away, call today!

  20. 2025-12-01
    historical Active Under Contract 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix & flip, rental, or make it your own. It is partially demoed out inside, does have some newer updates including replacement windows, and is ready to be finished to your liking. The open floor plan, 2 main floor bedrooms, main floor bath make this an excellent opportunity for instant equity, so don't let it get away, call today!

  21. 2025-11-14
    status Pending 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix & flip, rental, or make it your own. It is partially demoed out inside, does have some newer updates including replacement windows, and is ready to be finished to your liking. The open floor plan, 2 main floor bedrooms, main floor bath make this an excellent opportunity for instant equity, so don't let it get away, call today!

  22. 2025-11-06
    historical Active Under Contract 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix & flip, rental, or make it your own. It is partially demoed out inside, does have some newer updates including replacement windows, and is ready to be finished to your liking. The open floor plan, 2 main floor bedrooms, main floor bath make this an excellent opportunity for instant equity, so don't let it get away, call today!

  23. 2025-10-29
    listed $14,500 Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix & flip, rental, or make it your own. It is partially demoed out inside, does have some newer updates including replacement windows, and is ready to be finished to your liking. The open floor plan, 2 main floor bedrooms, main floor bath make this an excellent opportunity for instant equity, so don't let it get away, call today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,432
− Mortgage interest
−$655
− Property taxes
−$176
− Insurance
−$58
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$340
Taxable income
$10,893
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,614
After-tax cash flow
$7,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Creston Community School District
NCES district ID
1908310
Math proficiency
63% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$42,292
Composite
55.29/100
National rank
#1263
State rank
#195 of 289 in IA

Livability — Creston

Score
81/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#1607

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Creston, IA
Population (ZIP)
9,027

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,536 people
By 2030
12,561 · +0.2%
By 2040
12,583 · +0.4%
By 2050
12,543 · +0.1%
By 2075
12,816 · +2.2%
By 2100
12,754 · +1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.2) · D 31.2% · R 67.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.9pp toward R · 2008: 3.7pp · 2024: -36.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.2 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+27.8 2012: D+3.9 2008: D+3.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.71%
Current HPI
217.2057
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $11,700 IAR
  • 2025-12-04 Relisted IAR
  • 2025-12-01 Contingent IAR
  • 2025-11-14 Pending IAR
  • 2025-11-06 Contingent IAR
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $14,500 IAR

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $848 · +78.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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