9122 Laura Koppe Rd · Houston, TX 77078

$135,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 136 Days on market

Built 1950 7,200 sqft lot $127/sqft · 22% below area Est $173k · 22% under ↓ 28% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.1/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.1/10.0
• 1% rule +6.8/10.0
• Appreciation +6.2/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Updated in 2022 with a new roof, A/C system, water heater, and attic insulation. Home needs some additional work, but overall it’s in nice condition with solid major improvements already completed.

Key facts

• A c system
• Water heater
• New roof

Tags

• NEW ROOF
• A C SYSTEM
• WATER HEATER
• ATTIC INSULATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
• Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,597/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.18% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.87%
• DSCR: 1.31
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $172,716
• List price: $135,000
• Delta: -21.84%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
9037 Linda Vista Rd	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,092 (+3%)	6mo	$189,000	$173	81
9203 Richland Dr	0.22mi	3/1.5	1,060 (-0%)	12mo	$143,000	$135	78
9514 Crestview Dr	0.23mi	3/1.0	1,079 (+1%)	16mo	$159,000	$147	74
9334 Laura Koppe Rd	0.44mi	3/2.0	1,080 (+2%)	3mo	$189,900	$176	70
9319 Richland Dr	0.43mi	3/1.5	1,036 (-3%)	12mo	$145,000	$140	64
8926 Lake Forest Blvd	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,052 (-1%)	16mo	$199,900	$190	62
8837 Richland Dr	0.33mi	3/1.0	1,132 (+6%)	14mo	$140,000	$124	62
9306 Woodlyn Rd	0.36mi	3/1.0	1,139 (+7%)	12mo	$143,800	$126	62
8913 Homewood Ln	0.28mi	3/1.0	988 (-7%)	16mo	$104,000	$105	62
9327 Richland Dr	0.45mi	3/1.5	1,018 (-4%)	13mo	$140,000	$138	59
9214 Mirawood St	0.43mi	3/1.0	968 (-9%)	15mo	$133,000	$137	52
8546 Talton St	0.68mi	3/1.0	1,120 (+5%)	10mo	$129,900	$116	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.70×
• Total profit: $26,588
• Equity at exit: $56,915

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.12×
• Total profit: $79,989
• Equity at exit: $84,876

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77078

• Home prices YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 131
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,597 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$708
• Tax from tax record: −$281 /mo · $3,368/yr
• Insurance: −$56
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,323

Max offer price $135,000

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $293	-5% $255	+0% $217	+5% $178	+10% $140
Rent	-10% $90	-5% $153	+0% $217	+5% $280	+10% $343
Rate	-1.0pp $285	-0.5pp $251	base $217	+0.5pp $182	+1.0pp $146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,750
• Closing costs: $4,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 30 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
9133 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	1073	$1,495	$1.39	4d	1	0.13mi
9026 Lake Forest Blvd Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	977	$1,397	$1.43	0d	1	0.33mi
8631 Homewood Ln Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1500	$1,850	$1.23	45d	1	0.54mi
8631 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1500	$1,850	$1.23	45d	1	0.54mi
8627 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1500	$1,850	$1.23	45d	1	0.56mi
8625 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1500	$1,850	$1.23	45d	1	0.57mi
8623 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1150	$1,850	$1.61	20d	1	0.57mi
8623 Homewood Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1150	$1,850	$1.61	45d	1	0.57mi
8602 Wilkins Oaks Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1307	$1,775	$1.36	45d	1	0.58mi
8711 Southwark St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1150	$1,750	$1.52	45d	1	0.66mi
9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	987	$1,185	$1.20	45d	1	0.67mi
9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	987	$1,200	$1.22	25d	1	0.67mi
9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	862	$982	$1.14	45d	1	0.84mi
9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	862	$982	$1.14	22d	1	0.84mi
9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1031	$1,107	$1.07	25d	1	0.84mi
9222 Hillis St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1498	$1,850	$1.23	45d	1	0.87mi
9393 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	2.0–4.0	2.0	1050	$1,264	$1.20	0d	11	0.94mi
7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1017	$1,436	$1.41	15d	8	0.95mi
9700 Mesa Dr Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	784	$989	$1.26	0d	9	1.05mi
9943 Valley Wind Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1319	$1,575	$1.19	0d	1	1.11mi
8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	938	$1,350	$1.44	45d	1	1.15mi
8600 Sterlingshire St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0	732	$1,050	$1.43	25d	2	1.16mi
8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	980	$975	$0.99	45d	1	1.17mi
8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	980	$1,000	$1.02	45d	1	1.17mi
8523 Brock Park Blvd Unit 1 Houston, TX	3.0	1.5	1130	$1,375	$1.22	6d	1	1.20mi
8213 Linda Vista Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,625	$1.25	25d	1	1.22mi
9405 Caddo Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,675	$1.29	0d	1	1.22mi
8216 Richland Dr Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1150	$1,750	$1.52	45d	1	1.22mi
8113 Denton St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1150	$1,750	$1.52	45d	1	1.29mi
9930 Valley Lake Dr Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1385	$1,795	$1.30	45d	1	1.39mi

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $135,000 Active 136 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $135,000 Active 133 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $135,000 Active 132 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $135,000 Active 131 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $135,000 Active 130 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $135,000 Active 128 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $135,000 Active 124 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $135,000 Active 123 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $135,000 Active 122 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 119 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 116 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 115 DOM
13. 2026-02-05
    listed $135,000 Active 203-char remark

    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Updated in 2022 with a new roof, A/C system, water heater, and attic insulation. Home needs some additional work, but overall it’s in nice condition with solid major improvements already completed.

14. 2026-01-31
    historical
15. 2025-10-16
    price $185,000
16. 2025-09-17
    listed $190,000 Active
17. 2023-04-11
    soldstatus
18. 2023-04-06
    soldstatus Sold
19. 2023-03-22
    status Pending
20. 2023-03-14
    status Option Pending
21. 2022-12-02
    listed $187,900 Active
22. 2022-06-03
    soldstatus
23. 2022-06-03
    soldstatus
24. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,368 · $281/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,368 · $281/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,161
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,562
• − Property taxes: −$3,368
• − Insurance: −$675
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,533
• − Management: −$1,533
• − Depreciation: −$3,927
• Taxable income: $563
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$135
• After-tax cash flow: $2,463/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823640
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $46,054
• Composite: 26.63/100
• National rank: #7173
• State rank: #593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 14,247
• Household income: $39,093
• Rent vs Own: 43.8% rent · 56.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 780.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Race & ethnicity: Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 15% White 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 36% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 24% · Canada
• Languages at home: 59% English-only · Spanish 41%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.50%
• Current HPI: 307.0842
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-28.2% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-05 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
• 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-10-16 Price Changed $185,000 HARMLS
• 2025-09-17 Listed $190,000 HARMLS
• 2023-04-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2023-04-06 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2023-03-22 Pending — HARMLS
• 2023-03-14 Pending — HARMLS
• 2022-12-02 Listed $187,900 HARMLS
• 2022-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2022-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,368 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.