788 Park Shore Dr Unit C25 · Naples, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged, AI generated or rendered. A sunny, west-facing second-floor corner residence in Hidden Lake Villas offers a rare opportunity in Park Shore. This partially furnished two-bedroom, two-bath condominium features an updated kitchen and baths, along with hardwood flooring and tile throughout. Relax on the white-tiled lanai with tranquil views of expansive, lushly landscaped grounds. A distinctive open-air courtyard with a fountain provides Capri building residents a unique outdoor living space. Set within a vibrant 16-acre community, Hidden Lake Villas features a natural lake, community pool, clubhouse, and recreational amenities including tennis an
Key facts
- Community pool
- Open-air courtyard
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is part of a 240-unit community with 30 units in the building; Building has one floor and contains 2 units per floor; Restrictions limit number of vehicles and prohibit commercial vehicles, motorcycles, RVs, and trucks
- Financial info: Condo fee quoted quarterly
- HOA & community: Condo association (Hidden Lake Villas, Park Shore); Quarterly condo fee; On-site management; Association maintenance covers cable, insurance, internet/Wi‑Fi, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, exterior and interior pest control, recreation facilities, reserves, sewer, street lights and maintenance, trash removal, and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool, exercise room, library, beach club access, BBQ/picnic areas, bike storage, pickleball, tennis court, sidewalks, streetlights, underground utilities, and vehicle wash area; Non-gated community; Total annual recurring association fees disclosed
Exterior
- Parking: 1 assigned parking space; Guest parking available; Paved parking
- Security: Impact resistant doors and windows; Electric shutters
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential low-rise (1–3 stories); End-unit; Rear exposure faces west; Built in 1973
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior finish; Built-up or flat roof
- Exterior features: Courtyard; Tennis court; Water display; Zero lot line; Landscaped views; Central irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator/freezer; Refrigerator with icemaker
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with shower-only configuration
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cable prewire and high-speed internet available; Pantry; Smoke detectors; Window coverings; Breakfast bar and dining adjacent to living area; Screened lanai/porch; Great room floor plan; Common elevator; Partially furnished; Six ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included / washer-dryer hookup; Laundry in residence
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $389k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $389k).
- Recommended offer: $377k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Naples High School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,719 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.6%/yr); 479 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,646/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($117k/yr) (locally 311% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($377k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.73%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-20,626
- Equity at exit
- $58,001
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $118,196
- Equity at exit
- $33,634
Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34103
- Rents YoY
- 14.6%
- Active inventory
- 479
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,646 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,040
- Tax from tax record
- −$240 /mo · $2,878/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$890
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$976
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,250
- Closing costs
- $11,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 788 Park Shore Dr Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 931 | $5,500 | $5.90 | 13d | 3 | 0.04mi |
| 3930 Belair Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $6,000 | $4.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3200 Binnacle Dr Unit D3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $9,000 | $7.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4092 Belair Ln #15 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $6,200 | $4.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 555 Park Shore Dr Unit B410 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $6,000 | $5.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3030 Binnacle Dr #201 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $5,000 | $4.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 600 Neapolitan Way Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $5,200 | $6.25 | 23d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 820 Ketch Dr #3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,500 | $5.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 820 Ketch Dr #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,700 | $5.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3500 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $7,650 | $6.08 | 23d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 45 High Point Cir S #303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $5,500 | $5.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3400 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit M3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $9,500 | $7.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4200 Belair Ln Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $6,500 | $4.62 | 23d | 5 | 0.70mi |
| 3443 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $12,750 | $10.88 | 13d | 11 | 0.77mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #1104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $11,000 | $8.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #707 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $20,000 | $15.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #803 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $13,000 | $10.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $9,000 | $7.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #505 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $9,000 | $7.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $12,000 | $9.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4005 Gulf Shore Blvd N #607 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $14,000 | $10.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4005 Gulf Shore Blvd N #605 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $10,000 | $7.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1082 Capri Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $9,000 | $6.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4300 Belair Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $6,750 | $5.62 | 13d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 3200 Gulf Shore Blvd N #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $8,500 | $7.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 333 Harbour Dr #211 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $5,500 | $5.64 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3070 Gulf Shore Blvd N #103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $8,000 | $6.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4523 Fluvia Ave Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $5,500 | $5.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4525 Fluvia Ave Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $5,500 | $5.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 222 Harbour Dr #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $13,000 | $9.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2885 Gulf Shore Blvd N #302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $20,000 | $13.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4560 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit 3-213 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $8,500 | $6.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2600 Gulf Shore Blvd N #64 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $7,200 | $6.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2500 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit S6 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $7,500 | $6.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4751 Gulf Shore Blvd N #602 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $12,500 | $8.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2400 14th St N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $5,890 | $4.02 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2216 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit R3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $10,000 | $7.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1400 Pompei Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,888 | $1.86 | 23d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 2258 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit O1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $13,750 | $9.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1400 Pompei Ln Unit S-21 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $3,000 | $2.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $890 · $10,680/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $389,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $389,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $389,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $389,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $389,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $389,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $389,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $389,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $389,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $389,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $389,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$389,000 Active
-
2026-01-24historical $3,800
-
2026-01-08$3,800
-
2026-01-08historical $3,800
-
2025-08-06$3,800
-
2025-05-13historical $5,000
-
2025-02-02$5,000
-
2024-05-23historical $5,000
-
2024-05-23$5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,878 · $240/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,229 · $269/mo
- Expected delta
- +$351/yr (+$29/mo · 12.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,757
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,790
- − Property taxes
- −$2,878
- − Insurance
- −$2,742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,461
- − Management
- −$4,461
- − HOA
- −$10,680
- − Depreciation
- −$11,316
- Taxable loss
- −$2,571
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,885/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Naples
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #1903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Naples, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 344,941
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,299
- Household income
- $116,875
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 311.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -327.53%
- Current HPI
- 315.1396
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.55%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+7680.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $389,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-24 Rental Removed $3,800 FGCMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed for Rent $3,800 FGCMLS
- 2026-01-08 Rental Removed $3,800 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-08-06 Listed for Rent $3,800 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-05-13 Rental Removed $5,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-02-02 Listed for Rent $5,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-05-23 Rental Removed $5,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-05-23 Listed for Rent $5,000 NAPLESMLS
Property tax history
+14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,878 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…