830 S Euclid Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
Key facts
- Brand-new flooring
- Fresh paint
- Fully fenced-in yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.22%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,752
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1443 Tampa Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (0%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $99 | 78 |
| 1306 Danner Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+10%) | 8mo | $37,000 | $41 | 57 |
| 2320 Germantown St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+2%) | 7mo | $36,800 | $44 | 56 |
| 809 Dennison Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 872 (+7%) | 8mo | $62,500 | $72 | 51 |
| 1638 Tampa Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+15%) | 10mo | $54,541 | $58 | 48 |
| 925 Haller Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (-10%) | 14mo | $91,337 | $125 | 40 |
| 1464 Tampa Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+15%) | 19mo | $100,000 | $107 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,458
- Equity at exit
- $12,972
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $24,341
- Equity at exit
- $7,522
Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $985 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $696/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $277 | -5% $252 | +0% $228 | +5% $203 | +10% $179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $150 | -5% $189 | +0% $228 | +5% $267 | +10% $306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $272 | -0.5pp $250 | base $228 | +0.5pp $205 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,750
- Closing costs
- $2,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 W Stewart St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 673 Randolph St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $950 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 652 Dennison Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,095 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2240 Lakeview Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,025 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1272 Clement Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2525 Germantown St Unit A Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $700 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2525 Germantown St Unit C Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 41 N Marion St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $925 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 5 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 9 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $700 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 415 Smith St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $925 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 402 Harriet St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $850 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| See individual Unit addresses Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $2,297 | $2.48 | 44d | 10 | 1.26mi |
| 137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $900 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 848 Riverview Ter Unit 104 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 848 Riverview Ter Unit 606 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 848 Riverview Ter Unit 508 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $975 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 848 Riverview Ter Apt 205 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 848 Riverview Ter Apt 306 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 119 Edgewood Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $999 | $1.22 | 24d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $910 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-01-06soldstatus $59,000
-
2025-11-05status Pending
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2025-10-21price $87,000
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2025-10-17status Active
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2025-10-08status Pending
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2025-07-20$97,000 Active
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2024-07-10historical
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2024-06-15price $75,900
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2024-06-14status Active
-
2024-05-13historical Active/Pending
-
2024-05-09status Active
-
2024-05-02historical Active/Pending
-
2024-04-29$80,000 Active
-
2018-07-13soldstatus $4,900 Closed 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-07-13soldstatus $4,900 Sold 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-06-22historical Active/Pending 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-29price $4,999 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-21price $5,999 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-18price $6,800 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-18price $6,900 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-16price $6,995 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-14price $7,995 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-09price $9,995 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-09price $9,500 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-06price $12,000 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
-
2018-05-04$14,500 Active 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great value on this Dayton home. Home needs some work but in solid condition overall!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,027 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$330/yr (+$28/mo · 47.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,823
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,873
- − Property taxes
- −$696
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$946
- − Management
- −$946
- − Depreciation
- −$2,531
- Taxable income
- $1,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$335
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,399/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+306.9% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-05 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $87,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-17 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-08 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2025-07-20 Listed $97,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-07-10 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2024-06-15 Price Changed $75,900 Dayton MLS
- 2024-06-14 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2024-05-13 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2024-05-09 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2024-05-02 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2024-04-29 Listed $80,000 Dayton MLS
- 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) $4,900 Dayton MLS
- 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) $4,900 Dayton MLS
- 2018-06-22 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-29 Price Changed $4,999 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-21 Price Changed $5,999 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-18 Price Changed $6,800 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-18 Price Changed $6,900 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-16 Price Changed $6,995 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-14 Price Changed $7,995 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-09 Price Changed $9,995 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-09 Price Changed $9,500 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-06 Price Changed $12,000 Dayton MLS
- 2018-05-04 Listed $14,500 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $696 · +67.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…