414 Illinois Ave · Etowah, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 1915 ranch-style home full of character and timeless appeal, located in Etowah at 414 Illinois Avenue! This inviting 4-bedroom, 1 full bathroom home features a bright and airy sunroom addition--perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The front of the home is accented with beautiful stained glass windows, adding a unique touch of historic charm and natural light. Outside, you'll find a spacious side yard offering plenty of room for gardening, outdoor activities, or future expansion. The backyard includes multiple storage sheds, providing ample space for tools, hobbies, or additional storage needs. A wonderful blend of classic details and functional livin
Key facts
- Sunroom addition
- Spacious side yard
- 0.52 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $144k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.0% in Etowah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Etowah (town): math 33% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #78 of 139 in TN (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in McMinn County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.38%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,575
- Equity at exit
- $21,471
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $13,598
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37331
- Home prices YoY
- -7.4%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$755
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $248
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $330 | -5% $289 | +0% $248 | +5% $207 | +10% $166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $133 | -5% $191 | +0% $248 | +5% $305 | +10% $363 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $285 | base $248 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $173 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,000
- Closing costs
- $4,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-13$144,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$144,000
-
2026-01-28historical
-
2025-11-10price $144,000
-
2025-10-30price $149,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,457
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,066
- − Property taxes
- −$1,033
- − Insurance
- −$720
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$4,189
- Taxable income
- $655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$157
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Etowah
- NCES district ID
- 4701140
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,027
- Composite
- 22.44/100
- National rank
- #8109
- State rank
- #78 of 139 in TN
Livability — Etowah
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #15410
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Etowah, TN
- City population
- 7,653
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,653
Population outlook (McMinn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,766 people
- By 2030
- 54,098 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 54,450 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 54,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 55,241 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 56,399 · +4.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McMinn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.5% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -64.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.2 2020: R+60.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.76%
- Current HPI
- 346.2746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-3.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — Knoxville MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $144,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $144,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $144,000 GCAR
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $149,000 GCAR
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,033 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…