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414 Illinois Ave
C- Composite 52.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,000

414 Illinois Ave · Etowah, TN 37331
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,208 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1915 0.52 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 1915 ranch-style home full of character and timeless appeal, located in Etowah at 414 Illinois Avenue! This inviting 4-bedroom, 1 full bathroom home features a bright and airy sunroom addition--perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The front of the home is accented with beautiful stained glass windows, adding a unique touch of historic charm and natural light. Outside, you'll find a spacious side yard offering plenty of room for gardening, outdoor activities, or future expansion. The backyard includes multiple storage sheds, providing ample space for tools, hobbies, or additional storage needs. A wonderful blend of classic details and functional livin

Key facts

  • Sunroom addition
  • Spacious side yard
  • 0.52 acre lot

Tags

SUNROOM ADDITIONSTAINED GLASS WINDOWSSPACIOUS SIDE YARDMULTIPLE STORAGE SHEDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $144k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.0% in Etowah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Etowah (town): math 33% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #78 of 139 in TN (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in McMinn County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.38%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,575
Equity at exit
$21,471
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$13,598
Equity at exit
$12,450

Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37331

Home prices YoY
-7.4%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,141
Max offer price $144,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $330 -5% $289 +0% $248 +5% $207 +10% $166
Rent -10% $133 -5% $191 +0% $248 +5% $305 +10% $363
Rate -1.0pp $321 -0.5pp $285 base $248 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,000
Closing costs
$4,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    listed $144,000 Active
  3. 2026-01-28
    listed $144,000
  4. 2026-01-28
    historical
  5. 2025-11-10
    price $144,000
  6. 2025-10-30
    price $149,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,033 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,033 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,457
− Mortgage interest
−$8,066
− Property taxes
−$1,033
− Insurance
−$720
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,397
− Management
−$1,397
− Depreciation
−$4,189
Taxable income
$655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$157
After-tax cash flow
$2,819/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Etowah
NCES district ID
4701140
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$36,027
Composite
22.44/100
National rank
#8109
State rank
#78 of 139 in TN

Livability — Etowah

Score
63/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#15410

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Etowah, TN
City population
7,653
Population (ZIP)
7,653

Population outlook (McMinn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,766 people
By 2030
54,098 · +0.6%
By 2040
54,450 · +1.3%
By 2050
54,202 · +0.8%
By 2075
55,241 · +2.7%
By 2100
56,399 · +4.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McMinn

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.5% · R 81.7%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -64.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.2 2020: R+60.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+41.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.76%
Current HPI
346.2746
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $144,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $144,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $144,000 GCAR
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $149,000 GCAR

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,033 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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