40 Chestnut St · Cressona, PA 17929

$55,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 932 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market

Built 1900 4,792 sqft lot $59/sqft · 68% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special - Full Rehab Opportunity. Attention investors and savvy buyers! This is a prime opportunity to acquire a full gut renovation project with strong upside potential. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or add to your rental portfolio, 40 Chestnut offers the chance to create value from the ground up. The property requires a renovation and is being sold strictly as-is. Seller has not completed any inspections or due diligence. Buyer is responsible for any and all municipal requirements, including Certificate of Occupancy and Use & Occupancy inspections. Bring your vision and your contractor--this is a blank canvas with serious potential. Cash or rehab financing strongly preferred. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on your next investment project!

Key facts

• 4,792 sq ft lot
• Built 1900
• Listed 47 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#343 in PA, #3,022 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Blue Mountain SD (town): math 42% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #126 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.91% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.22%
• DSCR: 2.43
• GRM: 4.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $172,285
• List price: $55,000
• Delta: -68.08%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 11 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
621 Schuylkill	0.69mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,024 (+10%)	22mo	$265,000	$259	26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 45.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.43×
• Total profit: $52,828
• Equity at exit: $49,548

10-year hold

• IRR: 39.4%
• Equity multiple: 9.95×
• Total profit: $137,782
• Equity at exit: $106,853

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17929

• Home prices YoY: 7.0%
• Active inventory: 13
• Price-to-rent: 4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,050 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$105 /mo · $1,255/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$56 /mo · $666/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$220
• Net cashflow: $358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $597

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
503 Dock St Apt B Schuylkill Haven, PA	2.0	1.0	850	$1,050	$1.24	43d	1	1.22mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $55,000 Active 47 DOM
2. 2026-05-31
   days on market $55,000 Active 46 DOM
3. 2026-04-14
   listed $55,000 Active 780-char remark

   Show marketing remark (780 chars)

   Investor Special - Full Rehab Opportunity. Attention investors and savvy buyers! This is a prime opportunity to acquire a full gut renovation project with strong upside potential. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or add to your rental portfolio, 40 Chestnut offers the chance to create value from the ground up. The property requires a renovation and is being sold strictly as-is. Seller has not completed any inspections or due diligence. Buyer is responsible for any and all municipal requirements, including Certificate of Occupancy and Use & Occupancy inspections. Bring your vision and your contractor--this is a blank canvas with serious potential. Cash or rehab financing strongly preferred. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on your next investment project!

4. 2026-04-14
   listed $55,000 Active 780-char remark

   Show marketing remark (780 chars)

   Investor Special - Full Rehab Opportunity. Attention investors and savvy buyers! This is a prime opportunity to acquire a full gut renovation project with strong upside potential. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or add to your rental portfolio, 40 Chestnut offers the chance to create value from the ground up. The property requires a renovation and is being sold strictly as-is. Seller has not completed any inspections or due diligence. Buyer is responsible for any and all municipal requirements, including Certificate of Occupancy and Use & Occupancy inspections. Bring your vision and your contractor--this is a blank canvas with serious potential. Cash or rehab financing strongly preferred. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on your next investment project!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,255 · $105/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,255 · $105/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,600
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$1,255
• − Insurance: −$942
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,008
• − Management: −$1,008
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $3,706
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$890
• After-tax cash flow: $3,407/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Blue Mountain SD
• NCES district ID: 4203870
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 65% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $58,661
• Composite: 46.42/100
• National rank: #2454
• State rank: #126 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cressona

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #343
• US rank: #3022

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cressona, PA
• City population: 1,369
• Population (ZIP): 1,369

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 137,447 people
• By 2030: 133,121 · -3.1%
• By 2040: 124,172 · -9.7%
• By 2050: 115,611 · -15.9%
• By 2075: 100,796 · -26.7%
• By 2100: 86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Polish 5% Iranian 4%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 13.90%
• Current HPI: 211.4846
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $55,000 PMAR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,255 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.