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1613 472 Hwy
B Composite 73.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$21,000

1613 472 Hwy · Jordan Hill, LA 71483
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily · 192 Days on market
Built 1950 1.00 ac lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for investors with a motivated seller. This home is in need of repair but has great potential for an investor looking for a property to add to a portfolio. House sits on approximately one acre just outside of Winnfield. Quiet country living just a quick drive to all the amenities of town.

Key facts

  • Quiet country living
  • One acre
  • 1 acre lot

Tags

ONE ACREQUIET COUNTRY LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $21k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($862 rent vs $21k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#315 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Winn Parish (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #61 of 98 in LA (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Winn Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $814 of equity ($145 loan paydown + $669 appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Winn County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $18,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.10%
Cap rate
37.76%
Cash-on-cash
112.39%
DSCR
6.00
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.43×
Total profit
$37,817
Equity at exit
$9,664
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.49×
Total profit
$85,220
Equity at exit
$15,069

Cash invested: $5,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71483

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$862 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$110
Tax from tax record
$11 /mo · $133/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$551

Break-even live

Break-even rent $164
Max offer price $21,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,250
Closing costs
$630
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $21,000 Pending 192 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $21,000 Active 192 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $21,000 Active 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $21,000 Active 189 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $21,000 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $21,000 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $21,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $21,000 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $21,000 Active 182 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $21,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $21,000 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $21,000 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $21,000 Active 176 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $21,000 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    status Active 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors with a motivated seller. This home is in need of repair but has great potential for an investor looking for a property to add to a portfolio. House sits on approximately one acre just outside of Winnfield. Quiet country living just a quick drive to all the amenities of town.

  16. 2025-11-05
    price $21,000 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors with a motivated seller. This home is in need of repair but has great potential for an investor looking for a property to add to a portfolio. House sits on approximately one acre just outside of Winnfield. Quiet country living just a quick drive to all the amenities of town.

  17. 2025-08-10
    listed $25,000 Active 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors with a motivated seller. This home is in need of repair but has great potential for an investor looking for a property to add to a portfolio. House sits on approximately one acre just outside of Winnfield. Quiet country living just a quick drive to all the amenities of town.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$133 · $11/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$133 · $11/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,339
− Mortgage interest
−$1,176
− Property taxes
−$133
− Insurance
−$105
− Repairs & maintenance
−$827
− Management
−$827
− Depreciation
−$611
Taxable income
$6,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,598
After-tax cash flow
$5,010/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winn Parish
NCES district ID
2202010
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Median HH income
$32,872
Composite
20.39/100
National rank
#8592
State rank
#61 of 98 in LA

Livability — Jordan Hill

Score
57/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#21574

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing B Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jordan Hill, LA
Population (ZIP)
9,360

Population outlook (Winn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,367 people
By 2030
12,675 · -5.2%
By 2040
11,391 · -14.8%
By 2050
10,231 · -23.5%
By 2075
7,699 · -42.4%
By 2100
5,547 · -58.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winn

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.4) · D 22.4% · R 76.8%
2008→2024 swing
-16.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -54.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.4 2020: R+49.4 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+40.1 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.19%
Current HPI
84.0519
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $21,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-08-10 Listed $25,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+38.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $133 · +1500.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…