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8521 Horner St Multi-family
B- Composite 67.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$3,395,000

8521 Horner St · Los Angeles, CA 90035
8 bd · 8.0 ba · 7,363 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1931 9,802 sqft lot Est $2378k · 43% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

We are proud to offer an outstanding 35-Unit RTI Multifamily Development Opportunity located at 8521 Horner Street, Los Angeles, CA 90035, in the highly desirable Pico-Robertson area. The project is situated on an approximately 9,800 SF lot and is designed as a 5-story residential building with one level of subterranean parking. The approved plans currently include 29 base units, with additional storage areas that may be converted into ADU units. The ADU component can be designed as either 3 larger two-bedroom/two-bathroom ADUs of approximately 850 SF each, or as 6 studio ADUs of approximately 425 SF each, subject to final design and buyer verification. The planned project is currently pres

Key facts

  • Subterranean parking
  • Adu component
  • 29 base units

Tags

5 STORY RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGSUBTERRANEAN PARKINGADU COMPONENT29 BASE UNITS6 VERY LOW INCOME UNITSPUBLIC TRANSIT HUBS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No disclosures reported
  • Financial info: Assessor parcel number 4303-032-022

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential land
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 9,802 sq ft (0.225 acres); Has city and city lights views; Zoned [Q]R3-1-O

Interior

  • Interior features: City and city lights views

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/8.0-bath multifamily listed at $3.40M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $58k ($702k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($102k rent vs $3.40M).
  • Recommended offer: $3.34M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $116k of equity ($23k loan paydown + $92k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $951k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$289k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($3.34M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2.40M; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $3,344,075 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.00%
Cap rate
26.96%
Cash-on-cash
73.82%
DSCR
4.28
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$2,378,249
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8553 Alcott St 0.19mi 8/8.0 7,000 (-5%) 4mo $1,610,000 $230 80
1243 S La Cienega Blvd 0.29mi 8/10.0 6,842 (-7%) 13mo $2,212,500 $323 56
1239 S La Cienega Blvd 0.30mi 8/10.0 6,842 (-7%) 13mo $2,212,500 $323 55
1947 S Shenandoah St 0.69mi 9/10.0 (+1) 6,816 (-7%) 17mo $1,814,999 $266 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.72% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.2%
Equity multiple
4.98×
Total profit
$3,784,922
Equity at exit
$1,472,767
10-year hold
IRR
74.0%
Equity multiple
9.38×
Total profit
$7,968,032
Equity at exit
$2,228,757

Cash invested: $950,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 90035

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
97.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$101,927 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$17,804
Tax from tax record
$2,825 /mo · $33,905/yr
Insurance
$1,415
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$21,405
Net cashflow
$58,479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $27,903
Max offer price $3,395,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $60,400 -5% $59,440 +0% $58,479 +5% $57,518 +10% $56,557
Rent -10% $50,426 -5% $54,452 +0% $58,479 +5% $62,505 +10% $66,531
Rate -1.0pp $60,188 -0.5pp $59,342 base $58,479 +0.5pp $57,599 +1.0pp $56,704

35-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (35 units) $101,927

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$848,750
Closing costs
$101,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9041 Cattaraugus Ave Los Angeles, CA 8.0 8.0 5689 $15,500 $2.72 44d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $3,395,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $3,395,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$33,905 · $2,825/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$33,905 · $2,825/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$1,223,124
− Mortgage interest
−$190,173
− Property taxes
−$33,905
− Insurance
−$16,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$97,850
− Management
−$97,850
− Depreciation
−$98,764
Taxable income
$687,608
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$165,026
After-tax cash flow
$536,717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
29,000
Household income
$105,013
Rent vs Own
69.5% rent · 30.5% own
Severe rent burden
2317.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
72% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.72%
Current HPI
394.903
Rent YoY
▼ -1.60%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1606.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $3,395,000 TheMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Relisted TheMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Listed TheMLS
  • 2018-09-09 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2018-09-09 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2018-08-15 Listed $2,699,000 SDMLS
  • 2018-08-15 Listed TheMLS
  • 2018-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,825,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-01 Sold (MLS) $2,400,000 SDMLS
  • 2018-03-01 Sold (MLS) $2,400,000 TheMLS
  • 2017-12-21 Pending TheMLS
  • 2017-12-12 Listed $2,350,000 SDMLS
  • 2017-12-12 Listed $2,350,000 TheMLS
  • 1979-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $33,905 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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