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23 Humason Ave Duplex
A- Composite 83.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,900

23 Humason Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,007 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1919 3,000 sqft lot $85/sqft · 39% below area Est $278k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 23 Humason ave , a multifamily house conveniently located to all amenities. The house has two units with separate utilities and is freshly painted through out. The roof and mechanics are in great condition. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms, living, dining, kitchen and 1 full bath, the upper unit has two bedrooms, dining, living separate and a kitchen along with the porch. The house has full basement , own driveway and decent size backyard. The electric is circuit breakers

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Freshly painted
  • Full basement

Tags

MULTIFAMILY HOUSESEPARATE UTILITIESFRESHLY PAINTEDGREAT CONDITION ROOFFULL BASEMENTOWN DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $884 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $442/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,605/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,351 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.54%
Cash-on-cash
22.29%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$277,672
List price
$169,900
Delta
-38.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32 Courtland Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,011 (+0%) 4mo $220,000 $109 65
173 Briscoe Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,832 (-9%) 6mo $270,000 $147 63
35 Loxley Rd 0.66mi 5/2.0 1,943 (-3%) 1mo $175,000 $90 63
229 Sprenger Ave 0.23mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,236 (+11%) 3mo $142,000 $64 63
51 Randolph Ave 0.42mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,198 (+10%) 4mo $235,101 $107 56
30 Woodell Ave 0.57mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,960 (-2%) 6mo $159,900 $82 56
62 Pine Ridge Rd 0.41mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,216 (+10%) 4mo $159,800 $72 54
62 Wanda Ave 0.70mi 5/3.0 1,868 (-7%) 1mo $200,000 $107 50
116 Fisher St 0.46mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,268 (+13%) 2mo $45,000 $20 50
73 Randolph Ave 0.38mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,723 (-14%) 6mo $211,000 $122 49
63 Wright Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,842 (-8%) 2mo $120,000 $65 47
274 Newburgh Ave 0.73mi 5/2.0 1,754 (-13%) 4mo $185,000 $105 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$68,403
Equity at exit
$67,465
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
4.69×
Total profit
$175,561
Equity at exit
$97,500

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,605 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$547
Net cashflow
$884

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,001 -5% $943 +0% $884 +5% $825 +10% $766
Rent -10% $678 -5% $781 +0% $884 +5% $987 +10% $1,090
Rate -1.0pp $969 -0.5pp $927 base $884 +0.5pp $840 +1.0pp $795

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,605

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 3d 1 0.51mi
14 Rutland Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1430 $2,200 $1.54 12d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Welcome to 23 Humason ave , a multifamily house conveniently located to all amenities. The house has two units with separate utilities and is freshly painted through out. The roof and mechanics are in great condition. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms, living, dining, kitchen and 1 full bath, the upper unit has two bedrooms, dining, living separate and a kitchen along with the porch. The house has full basement , own driveway and decent size backyard. The electric is circuit breakers

  2. 2026-04-09
    status Active 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Welcome to 23 Humason ave , a multifamily house conveniently located to all amenities. The house has two units with separate utilities and is freshly painted through out. The roof and mechanics are in great condition. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms, living, dining, kitchen and 1 full bath, the upper unit has two bedrooms, dining, living separate and a kitchen along with the porch. The house has full basement , own driveway and decent size backyard. The electric is circuit breakers

  3. 2026-04-08
    listed $169,900 Active 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Welcome to 23 Humason ave , a multifamily house conveniently located to all amenities. The house has two units with separate utilities and is freshly painted through out. The roof and mechanics are in great condition. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms, living, dining, kitchen and 1 full bath, the upper unit has two bedrooms, dining, living separate and a kitchen along with the porch. The house has full basement , own driveway and decent size backyard. The electric is circuit breakers

  4. 2025-11-15
    listed $174,900 Active
  5. 2025-10-23
    soldstatus $150,000
  6. 2016-10-26
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  7. 2016-10-26
    soldstatus $40,000
  8. 2016-09-26
    status Pending Sale
  9. 2016-06-28
    listed $49,900 Active
  10. 1996-06-06
    soldstatus $47,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,260
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,501
− Management
−$2,501
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$8,401
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,016
After-tax cash flow
$8,590/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-15 Listed $174,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-26 Sold (MLS) $40,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-09-26 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2016-06-28 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
  • 1996-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $230 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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