503 N 11th St · Fredonia, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Freshly painted
- Appliances included
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee charged annually
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 1.5-story layout
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Crawl space basement; Home is 101+ years old
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 10,553 sq ft (about 61 x 173)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central)
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Gas range
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#155 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Fredonia (rural): math 19% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #147 of 169 in KS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #463 of 684 statewide, top 73%, 286 students, 60% FRL); Fredonia Jr./Sr. High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #260 of 327 statewide, top 81%, 293 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wilson County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $100k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.26%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,134
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 N 13th St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,463 (+8%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $62 | 74 |
| 424 N 14th St | 0.26mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,403 (+3%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $32 | 65 |
| 1317 Butin Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,371 (+1%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $117 | 63 |
| 900 N 14th St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+3%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $118 | 61 |
| 1319 Madison St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,457 (+7%) | 13mo | $85,000 | $58 | 61 |
| 214 N 8th St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,469 (+8%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $75 | 60 |
| 302 N 12th St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (-9%) | 19mo | $45,000 | $36 | 60 |
| 108 N 11th St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,389 (+2%) | 21mo | $85,000 | $61 | 58 |
| 226 N 12th St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (-8%) | 18mo | $134,999 | $109 | 56 |
| 309 N 14th St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,220 (-10%) | 14mo | $15,000 | $12 | 54 |
| 302 S 7th St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 14mo | $92,000 | $71 | 53 |
| 617 Adams St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+15%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $19 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,785
- Equity at exit
- $23,592
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $24,009
- Equity at exit
- $24,330
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66736
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,088 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $238 | -5% $204 | +0% $169 | +5% $135 | +10% $100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $83 | -5% $126 | +0% $169 | +5% $212 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $220 | -0.5pp $195 | base $169 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $115,000
-
2026-03-17$125,000 Active
-
2006-12-01soldstatus $20,000
-
2003-08-01soldstatus $31,000
-
1993-01-01soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,058
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,045
- − Management
- −$1,045
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $469
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$113
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fredonia
- NCES district ID
- 2006270
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,652
- Composite
- 20.33/100
- National rank
- #8609
- State rank
- #147 of 169 in KS
Livability — Fredonia
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #155
- US rank
- #7426
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fredonia, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,517
Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,872 people
- By 2030
- 7,383 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 6,533 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 5,923 · -24.8%
- By 2075
- 5,134 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 4,788 · -39.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.4) · D 18.0% · R 80.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -62.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.4 2020: R+61.5 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+54.0 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.11%
- Current HPI
- 153.1194
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+538.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listed $125,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
- 1993-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…