6102 Seawall Blvd #166 · Galveston, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Cash flow +1.4/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your coastal getaway is ready for you to enjoy- turnkey condo designed for relaxing beach escapes, weekend getaways, or lucrative vacation rentals. The private bedroom offers a peaceful retreat, while built-in bunk beds tucked into the hallway alcove provide the perfect spot for kids or extra guests. An open living area to comfortably accommodate family and friends. Your private balcony is a perfect spot to enjoy your water views. Positioned directly across the street from the beach. Located along the famous Seawall corridor, this condo places you minutes from top attractions including Moody Gardens, Galveston Island Historic Pleasure Pier, fishing piers, water parks, and miles of sandy shoreline. Restaurants, beach bars, shopping, and entertainment are all within easy reach, making every stay enjoyable. Furniture appliances and decor included.
Key facts
- Water views
- Private bedroom
- Private balcony
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-863 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 0.2% in Galveston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#108 in TX, #3,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, crime F.
- Galveston ISD (town): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #514 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oppe El (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #291 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 610 students, 63% FRL); Central Middle (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 879 students, 80% FRL); Ball H S (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,085 of 1,632 statewide, top 67%, 1,934 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 446 active listings in the ZIP; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 47% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.01%
- DSCR
- 0.24
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,257
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -39.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6102 Seawall Blvd #262 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 462 (0%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $271 | 100 |
| 6102 Seawall Blvd #208 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 462 (0%) | 0mo | $149,900 | $324 | 100 |
| 6102 Seawall Blvd #187 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 462 (0%) | 2mo | $106,000 | $229 | 99 |
| 6102 Seawall Blvd #133 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 462 (0%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $227 | 96 |
| 6102 Seawall Blvd #393 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 462 (0%) | 5mo | $93,500 | $202 | 96 |
| 6102 Seawall Blvd #105 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 490 (+6%) | 4mo | $179,999 | $367 | 86 |
| 6300 Seawall Blvd #9308 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 474 (+3%) | 0mo | $137,900 | $291 | 86 |
| 6300 Seawall Blvd #3320 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 474 (+3%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $253 | 86 |
| 6300 Seawall Blvd #3105 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 474 (+3%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $274 | 86 |
| 6300 Seawall Blvd #3308 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 474 (+3%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $295 | 84 |
| 6300 Seawall Blvd #3202 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 474 (+3%) | 3mo | $139,000 | $293 | 83 |
| 1910 48th St | 1.35mi | 1/1.0 | 576 (+25%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $252 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -92.9%
- Equity multiple
- -1.30×
- Total profit
- $-70,912
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -3.05×
- Total profit
- $-124,673
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active
- Median asking
- $129,000 ($279/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 120 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +40.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77551
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 446
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,011 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$475
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $-863
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-787 | -5% $-825 | +0% $-863 | +5% $-901 | +10% $-939 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-943 | -5% $-903 | +0% $-863 | +5% $-823 | +10% $-783 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-808 | -0.5pp $-835 | base $-863 | +0.5pp $-892 | +1.0pp $-921 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail $475/mo · $5,700/yr condo
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $110,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $110,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $110,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $110,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $110,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $110,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $110,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $110,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $110,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $110,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $110,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $110,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $110,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $110,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $110,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $110,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $110,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $110,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $110,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $110,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $110,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $110,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $110,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $110,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $110,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $110,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $110,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $110,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $110,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $110,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $110,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $110,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $110,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $110,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $110,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $110,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $110,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $110,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 96 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,130
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$5,668
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$970
- − Management
- −$970
- − HOA
- −$5,700
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$12,191
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,926
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This turnkey condo is in good condition with a good location and beach views. It's ready for immediate rental or resale.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and adds to overall appearance. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galveston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,162
- Composite
- 30.22/100
- National rank
- #6299
- State rank
- #514 of 826 in TX
Livability — Galveston
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #3559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galveston, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 390,640 people
- City population
- 55,599
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,696
- Household income
- $58,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 19% Black 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.84%
- Current HPI
- 273.0717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-46.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $129,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $142,500 HARMLS
- 2022-07-27 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-06-20 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-05-16 Price Changed $219,000 HARMLS
- 2022-04-16 Listed $239,000 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…