50 Hancock #50 · Roseville, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-story manufactured home in a quiet 55+ community offers excellent value for comfortable, low-maintenance living. It features 2 bedrooms plus a versatile den that can serve as a third bedroom and is a solid fixer-upper with great potential. The bright open-concept layout includes a spacious living area, functional kitchen with oak cabinetry and breakfast bar, wheelchair-accessible covered deck, two bathrooms with a walk-in tub in the master, indoor laundry, and a low-maintenance yard. It also comes with a newer HVAC system.
Key facts
- Versatile den
- Walk-in tub
- Newer hvac system
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land lease: No (listed land lease amount present)
- HOA & community: No association; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with opener and interior access
- Utilities: Gas plumbed; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Double wide; Golden West make; Built in 1991
- Construction: Shingle roof; Wood skirting
- Exterior features: Porch awning; Covered deck; Porch steps; Railed porch; Porch ramp; Regular-shaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Breakfast area
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (possible 3rd bedroom)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over; Shower stall(s)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Accessible full bath; Bay windows with dual-pane glazing; Covered deck with porch awning and porch steps; Railed porch with ramp; Cathedral/vaulted living room; Formal dining area; Breakfast area in kitchen; Office
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside a room; 220V outlet in laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 2.8% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,239 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Roseville Joint Union High (urban): math 42% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #86 of 517 in CA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 70.22%
- DSCR
- 4.12
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 Lafayette | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $94 | 90 |
| 102 Richards Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,352 (-3%) | 8mo | $143,900 | $106 | 83 |
| 70 Hancock Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+0%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $118 | 83 |
| 154 Brunswick | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $132 | 81 |
| 296 Lafayette Dr | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-2%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $121 | 79 |
| 173 Livingston | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $83 | 77 |
| 293 Lafayette Dr | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-2%) | 6mo | $172,500 | $126 | 76 |
| 322 Kaseberg Dr | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 8mo | $169,900 | $118 | 76 |
| 80 Hancock Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (-2%) | 11mo | $162,000 | $118 | 76 |
| 4 Kaseberg | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 11mo | $179,000 | $124 | 75 |
| 350 Hendricks Way | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-4%) | 8mo | $156,000 | $116 | 74 |
| 300 Lafayette Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+15%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $112 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $75,236
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 72.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.91×
- Total profit
- $172,225
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95678
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,624 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $1,458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,520 | -5% $1,489 | +0% $1,458 | +5% $1,428 | +10% $1,397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,251 | -5% $1,355 | +0% $1,458 | +5% $1,562 | +10% $1,666 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,503 | -0.5pp $1,481 | base $1,458 | +0.5pp $1,435 | +1.0pp $1,412 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1243 S Bluff Dr Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $2,795 | $1.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 317 Aspen Ct Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $3,200 | $1.83 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5 Marcia Way Roseville, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $2,099 | $2.23 | 2d | 3 | 0.49mi |
| 700 Vallejo Ave Roseville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $2,360 | $2.54 | 2d | 7 | 0.57mi |
| 512 Adora Cir Roseville, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1225 | $3,387 | $2.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 413 Adora Cir Roseville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 985 | $2,863 | $2.91 | 2d | 4 | 0.63mi |
| 1317 Rice Ln Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $2,395 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 604 Hovey Way Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $2,695 | $2.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 248 Summer Grove Cir Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $2,695 | $2.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 637 Shelby Ranch Ln Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1241 | $2,700 | $2.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7950 Foothills Blvd Roseville, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $2,380 | $2.16 | 2d | 5 | 1.10mi |
| 1057 Shenencock Way Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,795 | $1.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1006 Circuit Dr Unit B-1 Roseville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 8d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 174 Talmont Cir Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1526 | $2,749 | $1.80 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 412 Avila Dr Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1839 | $2,900 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-02status $89,000 Pending 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,494
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,520
- − Management
- −$2,520
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $17,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,104
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 20 photos
This single-story manufactured home in a quiet 55+ community offers excellent value for comfortable, low-maintenance living. It features 2 bedrooms plus a versatile den that can serve as a third bedroom and is a solid fixer-upper with great potential. The bright open-concept layout includes a spacious living area, functional kitchen with oak cabinetry and breakfast bar, wheelchair-accessible covered deck, two bathrooms with a walk-in tub in the master, indoor laundry, and a low-maintenance yard. It also comes with a newer HVAC system.
Repairs flagged
- Minor carpeted floors — some wear
- Minor exterior siding — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both replace carpeted floors — improves comfort and value
- Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes space and adds value
- Both update bathrooms — modernizes space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| carpeted floors · some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace carpeted floors — improves comfort and value ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes space and adds value ↑
- Both update bathrooms — modernizes space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roseville Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0633630
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,930
- Composite
- 51.11/100
- National rank
- #1763
- State rank
- #86 of 517 in CA
Livability — Roseville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3239
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roseville, CA
- County
- Placer County · 390,510 people
- City population
- 161,837
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,346
- Household income
- $100,554
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2544.0
Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 422,709 people
- By 2030
- 444,249 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 480,192 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 506,390 · +19.8%
- By 2075
- 550,219 · +30.2%
- By 2100
- 547,760 · +29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 17% Asian 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Placer
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -418.46%
- Current HPI
- 272.0182
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.75%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…