92-9024 Paradise Pkwy · Hawaiian Ocean View, HI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCED! Experience island living in this new construction 3/2 home located on a wide corner lot in the desirable mid-to-lower section of Hawaiian Ocean View Estates. Set on a full acre, this property offers expansive ocean and South Point views and a thoughtfully designed layout that embraces indoor-outdoor living. The main level features a spacious open floor plan with living, kitchen, and dining areas flowing seamlessly to a lanai and above-ground pool overlooking the ocean. One bedroom and bathroom are conveniently located downstairs.
Key facts
- Graded driveway
- Backup battery bank
- New catchment tank
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $873 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 5.0% in Hawaiian Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 48/100 on livability (#151 in HI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Naalehu Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #171 of 183 statewide, top 94%, 422 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 39% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hawaii Department Of Education average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,724/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.23%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $326,443
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -31.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92-1916 Hukilau Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,688 (+6%) | 17mo | $460,000 | $273 | 62 |
| 92-8778 Lehua Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-6%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $169 | 58 |
| 92-9064 Lotus Blossom Ln | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,596 (-0%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $91 | 46 |
| 92-8821 Orchid Pkwy | 1.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (-9%) | 14mo | $285,000 | $196 | 38 |
| 92-2166 Mahimahi Dr | 0.90mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (-16%) | 13mo | $489,000 | $364 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $77,958
- Equity at exit
- $83,184
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $199,643
- Equity at exit
- $128,196
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $422,500 ($282/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 116 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -27.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 96737
- Active inventory
- 272
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,724 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$572
- Net cashflow
- $873
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,001 | -5% $937 | +0% $873 | +5% $810 | +10% $746 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $658 | -5% $766 | +0% $873 | +5% $981 | +10% $1,089 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $967 | -0.5pp $921 | base $873 | +0.5pp $826 | +1.0pp $777 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92-1766 Hukilau Dr Ocean View, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,200 | $2.67 | 93d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 92-2224 Kailua Blvd Ocean View, HI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 93d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Elevation approximately 3000 ftLocated on paved private roads; annual road maintenance fee applies
- Financial info
- Not used as a short-term vacation rental
Exterior
- Parking
- Unassigned parking
- Utilities
- Photovoltaic power (solar)Electricity availablePhone availableSeptic tankCatchment water sourceNo solid waste disposal service
- Home design
- Property zoned A-1AFull ownership
- Construction
- Exterior area listed as 500
- Exterior features
- Above-ground poolCleared lotCorner lotFee simple land tenureOwned solar panelsUnpermitted improvements present
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorIndoor grill
- Flooring
- Vinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 total bathrooms (both full)
- Interior features
- Vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility
- Front-load washerStacked washer/dryerDryer
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $185,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-04pricedays on market $185,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $195,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $195,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $195,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $195,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $195,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $195,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $195,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-07-23price $195,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $205,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $205,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $205,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $205,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $205,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $205,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $205,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $205,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $205,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $205,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-07-12pricedays on market $205,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-08statusdays on market $225,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 173 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 170 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 169 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 168 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 167 DOM
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2026-05-31statusdays on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 166 DOM
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2026-04-22price $225,000 1660-char remark
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2026-02-23price $249,000 1660-char remark
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2026-01-31price $260,000 1660-char remark
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2025-12-17price $275,000 1660-char remark
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2025-12-16$269,000 Active 1660-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,615
- − Management
- −$2,615
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $8,013
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,923
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This modern, well-maintained home with a spacious deck and ocean views is in good condition and ready for a new owner. It offers a good return on investment with minimal updates needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and increase its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can enhance curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Hawaiian Ocean View
- Score
- 48/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #26127
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hawaiian Ocean View, HI
- County
- Hawaii · 220,733 people
- City population
- 3,781
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,781
- Household income
- $46,200
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Hawaii County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 220,733 people
- By 2030
- 232,156 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 252,486 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 272,703 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 332,113 · +50.5%
- By 2100
- 398,342 · +80.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.81)
- Race & ethnicity
- Two or more races 42% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 6% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 10% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hawaii
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.3) · D 63.0% · R 34.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.7pp · 2024: 28.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.3 2020: D+36.2 2016: D+36.6 2012: D+51.3 2008: D+53.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-23.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-11 Listed $205,000 HI Information Service
- 2026-06-11 Listing Removed — HI Information Service
- 2026-06-08 Relisted — HI Information Service
- 2026-05-31 Contingent — HI Information Service
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $225,000 HI Information Service
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $249,000 HI Information Service
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $260,000 HI Information Service
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $275,000 HI Information Service
- 2025-12-16 Listed $269,000 HI Information Service
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…