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51074 Mott Rd #58
D Composite 44.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,500

51074 Mott Rd #58 · Ypsilanti, MI 48188
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 316 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2024

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as scenic views, a basketball court, community events, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Built 2024
  • Listed 315 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $32,000

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas; Central air conditioning
  • Home design: Address: 51074 Mott Rd #58, Canton, MI 48188; Single-unit property (spec)
  • Exterior features: Living area of 1,056

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Active listing (Spec plan 93885)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 61.4% vs local median 3.8% in Ypsilanti — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#71 in MI, #1,539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Van Buren Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #228 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rawsonville Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,110 of 1,397 statewide, top 81%, 315 students, 80% FRL); Mcbride Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #243 of 493 statewide, top 50%, 581 students, 64% FRL); Belleville High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,770 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 254 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $28,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.69%
Cap rate
61.43%
Cash-on-cash
196.92%
DSCR
9.76
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.28×
Total profit
$84,456
Equity at exit
$4,846
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.23×
Total profit
$175,007
Equity at exit
$2,810

Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48188

Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,175 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$170
Tax est. 1.5%
$41 /mo · $488/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$1,493

Break-even live

Break-even rent $284
Max offer price $32,500
Occupancy floor 26%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,516 -5% $1,505 +0% $1,493 +5% $1,482 +10% $1,471
Rent -10% $1,322 -5% $1,407 +0% $1,493 +5% $1,579 +10% $1,665
Rate -1.0pp $1,510 -0.5pp $1,502 base $1,493 +0.5pp $1,485 +1.0pp $1,476

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,125
Closing costs
$975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $32,500 Active 316 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $32,500 Active 315 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $32,500 Active 312 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,500 Active 311 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $32,500 Active 310 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,500 Active 309 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,500 Active 307 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,500 Active 303 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,500 Active 302 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $32,500 Active 301 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $32,500 Active 298 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $32,500 Active 297 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,500 Active 296 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $32,500 Active 295 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,000 Active 294 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,095
− Mortgage interest
−$1,821
− Property taxes
−$488
− Insurance
−$162
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,088
− Management
−$2,088
− Depreciation
−$945
Taxable income
$18,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,441
After-tax cash flow
$13,479/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Van Buren Public Schools
NCES district ID
2634560
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$54,166
Composite
33.2/100
National rank
#5533
State rank
#228 of 540 in MI

Livability — Ypsilanti

Score
81/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1539

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
105,769
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
45,665
Household income
$122,781
Rent vs Own
17.2% rent · 82.8% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Asian 23% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -299.09%
Current HPI
193.4673
Rent YoY
▲ 0.46%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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