51074 Mott Rd #58 · Ypsilanti, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as scenic views, a basketball court, community events, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Built 2024
- Listed 315 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $32,000
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Address: 51074 Mott Rd #58, Canton, MI 48188; Single-unit property (spec)
- Exterior features: Living area of 1,056
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Active listing (Spec plan 93885)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 61.4% vs local median 3.8% in Ypsilanti — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#71 in MI, #1,539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Van Buren Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #228 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rawsonville Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,110 of 1,397 statewide, top 81%, 315 students, 80% FRL); Mcbride Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #243 of 493 statewide, top 50%, 581 students, 64% FRL); Belleville High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,770 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 254 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 61.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 196.92%
- DSCR
- 9.76
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.28×
- Total profit
- $84,456
- Equity at exit
- $4,846
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.23×
- Total profit
- $175,007
- Equity at exit
- $2,810
Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48188
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,175 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$170
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$41 /mo · $488/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $1,493
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,516 | -5% $1,505 | +0% $1,493 | +5% $1,482 | +10% $1,471 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,322 | -5% $1,407 | +0% $1,493 | +5% $1,579 | +10% $1,665 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,510 | -0.5pp $1,502 | base $1,493 | +0.5pp $1,485 | +1.0pp $1,476 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,125
- Closing costs
- $975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-22days on market $32,500 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $32,500 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $32,500 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $32,500 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $32,500 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $32,500 Active 309 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $32,500 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $32,500 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $32,500 Active 302 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $32,500 Active 301 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $32,500 Active 298 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $32,500 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $32,500 Active 296 DOM
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $32,500 Active 295 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $32,000 Active 294 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,821
- − Property taxes
- −$488
- − Insurance
- −$162
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,088
- − Management
- −$2,088
- − Depreciation
- −$945
- Taxable income
- $18,504
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,441
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,479/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Buren Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634560
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,166
- Composite
- 33.2/100
- National rank
- #5533
- State rank
- #228 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ypsilanti
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 105,769
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,665
- Household income
- $122,781
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 486.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Asian 23% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.09%
- Current HPI
- 193.4673
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.46%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…