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611 N Wilson Ave
B- Composite 68.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

611 N Wilson Ave · Dunn, NC 28334
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1936 8,712 sqft lot ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors, Investors! You don't want to miss out on this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath fixer-upper offering over 1,100 sq. ft of living space with endless potential! This home is a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to create value with a little sweat equity. One of the many standout features of this home is the corner lot, road access on the front and right side of the home, a private driveway, providing easy access and added convenience. Nestled in a quiet area of Dunn, NC, this property offers the perfect balance of privacy and location. Inside, you'll find a spacious layout with an good foundation for renovation. The three bedrooms provide flexibility for a growing family.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1936
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.2 acres; Living area reported as 1,143 (above grade finished area 1,143; below grade finished area 0); Listed as a fixer; Coordinates: 35.312629, -78.605543; Postal code 28334; County: Harnett
  • HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story house; One level; RM zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; HardiPlank-type siding; Shingle siding; Composition/shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Awnings; Private yard; City street frontage; Publicly maintained asphalt road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; Fixer condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $702 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 4.1% in Dunn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#390 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Triton High (math 41% / reading 49%, grade D-, #350 of 535 statewide, top 66%, 1,287 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 339 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
17.52%
Cash-on-cash
40.11%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
707 N Wilson Ave 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,120 (0%) 7mo $234,000 $209 88
406 W Granville St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,077 (-4%) 1mo $223,000 $207 71
501 E Granville St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,107 (-1%) 11mo $235,000 $212 70
609 N Magnolia Ave 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,063 (-5%) 14mo $75,000 $71 68
104 N Jackson St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,075 (-4%) 16mo $169,000 $157 64
1000 N Mckay St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,130 (+1%) 14mo $239,900 $212 64
305 N Wilmington Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,120 (0%) 14mo $210,000 $188 64
709 E Johnson St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,044 (-7%) 15mo $93,000 $89 62
400 E Townsend St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 981 (-12%) 9mo $185,000 $189 49
503 W Wake St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,198 (+7%) 16mo $220,000 $184 49
309 S Mckay Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,199 (+7%) 10mo $245,000 $204 48
713 E Divine St 0.69mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,001 (-11%) 12mo $85,000 $85 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.5%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$32,545
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
43.1%
Equity multiple
5.09×
Total profit
$85,885
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28334

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,490 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $609/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$702

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
807 N Ellis Ave Dunn, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 13d 1 0.44mi
202 S Sampson Ave Dunn, NC 3.0 1.0 1418 $1,600 $1.13 13d 1 0.80mi
1001 Webster Dr Dunn, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 900 $1,300 $1.44 12d 1 0.95mi
909 S McKay Ave Dunn, NC 2.0 1.0 725 $995 $1.37 13d 1 1.08mi
108 Jude Ct Dunn, NC 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,650 $1.22 21d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-10
    listed $75,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-10
    historical
  4. 2026-03-04
    price $75,000
  5. 2026-02-21
    listed $105,000 Active
  6. 2026-01-16
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$609 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$615 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$6/yr (+$1/mo · 1.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,881
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$609
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,430
− Management
−$1,430
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,653
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,837
After-tax cash flow
$6,586/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harnett County Schools
NCES district ID
3702010
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,400
Composite
29.88/100
National rank
#6397
State rank
#130 of 178 in NC

Livability — Dunn

Score
63/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#15160

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dunn, NC
County
Harnett County · 125,715 people
City population
22,873
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,873
Household income
$53,036
Rent vs Own
30.9% rent · 69.1% own
Severe rent burden
382.0

Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,758 people
By 2030
166,581 · +8.3%
By 2040
192,741 · +25.4%
By 2050
218,332 · +42.0%
By 2075
275,422 · +79.1%
By 2100
313,511 · +103.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Harnett

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.76%
Current HPI
275.5055
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $75,000 TMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $75,000 TMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $105,000 TMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Coming Soon TMLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $609 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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