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19171 Glastonbury Rd
B- Composite 69.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,999

19171 Glastonbury Rd · Detroit, MI 48219
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 739 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 685 Days on market
Built 1923 6,098 sqft lot $95/sqft · at area comps Est $70k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

West side newly renovated property. Tenant occupied. New Furnace. New Hot Water Tank. Updated electrical, updated plumbing. Large backyard. Close to southfield freeway, 96 and the lodge. Long term month to month tenant paying 850 a month. Showings available once an offer has been accepted. The perfect property for a new investor or an experienced investor looking for a ROI. Please DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Close to freeway
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

NEWLY RENOVATED PROPERTYLARGE BACKYARDCLOSE TO FREEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 685 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,599 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 685 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.58%
Cash-on-cash
26.03%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,974
List price
$69,999
Delta
0.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19307 Fenmore St 0.25mi 2/1.0 725 (-2%) 3mo $72,500 $100 83
19749 Rosemont Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 753 (+2%) 7mo $90,000 $120 74
19751 Oakfield St 0.54mi 2/1.0 735 (-0%) 1mo $17,500 $24 73
19781 Oakfield St 0.55mi 2/1.0 752 (+2%) 8mo $65,000 $86 65
19177 Stahelin Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 816 (+10%) 5mo $60,000 $74 62
18950 Biltmore St 0.62mi 2/1.0 781 (+6%) 1mo $46,000 $59 61
19510 Ferguson St 0.73mi 2/1.0 717 (-3%) 3mo $21,000 $29 59
18724 Greenview Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 839 (+14%) 8mo $50,000 $60 57
19944 Faust Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 665 (-10%) 4mo $30,400 $46 56
19786 Oakfield St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 780 (+6%) 7mo $80,000 $103 53
17706 Stahelin Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 818 (+11%) 0mo $106,000 $130 47
18416 Curtis St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 820 (+11%) 5mo $72,500 $88 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$21,699
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
5.13×
Total profit
$80,896
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,127 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $827/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $589
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $465 -5% $445 +0% $425 +5% $405 +10% $386
Rent -10% $336 -5% $381 +0% $425 +5% $470 +10% $514
Rate -1.0pp $460 -0.5pp $443 base $425 +0.5pp $407 +1.0pp $389

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 16d 1 0.48mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 25d 1 0.62mi
19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $995 $1.43 13d 1 0.63mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 44d 1 0.64mi
20539 Southfield Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 11d 4 0.86mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 17d 1 1.17mi
20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,222 $1.63 16d 5 1.34mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,999 Active 685 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 682 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 681 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 679 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 677 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 676 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 673 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 672 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 671 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,999 Active 668 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,999 Active 667 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 665 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 664 DOM
  14. 2024-08-05
    listed $69,999 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    West side newly renovated property. Tenant occupied. New Furnace. New Hot Water Tank. Updated electrical, updated plumbing. Large backyard. Close to southfield freeway, 96 and the lodge. Long term month to month tenant paying 850 a month. Showings available once an offer has been accepted. The perfect property for a new investor or an experienced investor looking for a ROI. Please DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT.

  15. 2024-08-05
    listed $69,999 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    West side newly renovated property. Tenant occupied. New Furnace. New Hot Water Tank. Updated electrical, updated plumbing. Large backyard. Close to southfield freeway, 96 and the lodge. Long term month to month tenant paying 850 a month. Showings available once an offer has been accepted. The perfect property for a new investor or an experienced investor looking for a ROI. Please DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT.

  16. 2006-11-30
    historical
  17. 2006-11-27
    historical
  18. 2006-10-16
    listed $39,900
  19. 2006-10-12
    historical
  20. 2006-10-02
    listed $43,500
  21. 2006-10-02
    listed $43,500
  22. 2006-09-30
    historical
  23. 2006-09-30
    historical
  24. 2006-08-29
    listed $43,500
  25. 2006-08-29
    listed $43,500
  26. 2006-08-28
    historical
  27. 2006-08-28
    historical
  28. 2006-08-28
    historical
  29. 2006-08-07
    listed $43,500
  30. 2006-08-07
    listed $43,500
  31. 2006-08-07
    historical
  32. 2006-05-30
    listed $48,500
  33. 2006-05-30
    listed $48,500
  34. 2004-05-04
    historical
  35. 2004-03-04
    listed $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$827 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$953 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$125/yr (+$10/mo · 15.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,524
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$827
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,082
− Management
−$1,082
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$4,226
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,014
After-tax cash flow
$4,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2024-08-05 Listed $69,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-05 Listed $69,999 REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-11-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-16 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-02 Listed $43,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-02 Listed $43,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-29 Listed $43,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-29 Listed $43,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-07 Listed $43,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-07 Listed $43,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-05-30 Listed $48,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-30 Listed $48,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-05-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-03-04 Listed $64,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $827 · -53.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…