638 N 9th St · Camden, NJ 08102

$74,500

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,338 sqft · Townhouse public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1910 910 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.7/10.0
• Schools +0.7/10.0

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity! Three-bedroom, one-bath home with great potential for renovation. Conveniently located near public transportation and offering quick access to the bridge into Philadelphia, this property is ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to add value. With some updates and improvements, this home could become a great residence or rental property in a desirable commuter-friendly location. Don't miss the chance to transform this property into a rewarding investment. Strictly sold as-is sale, buyer is responsible for the CO. Seller obtained property via tax lien foreclosure. Seller makes no guarantees or warranties as to the condition or accuracy of the information

Key facts

• Built 1910
• Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
• Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse
• Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
• Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions approximately 14 x 0

Interior

• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
• Interior features: Full basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $74k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
• Recommended offer: $73k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 26.5% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,227/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 562% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $73,382 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 26.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 72.11%
• DSCR: 4.21
• GRM: 2.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $215,418
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
826 State St	0.07mi	3/1.0	1,377 (+3%)	2mo	$110,000	$80	90
934 N 4th St	0.46mi	3/1.0	1,341 (+0%)	1mo	$180,000	$134	78
928 Vine St	0.04mi	3/1.5	1,158 (-14%)	4mo	$200,000	$173	70
906 N 4th St	0.44mi	3/2.0	1,367 (+2%)	2mo	$215,000	$157	70
646 York St	0.23mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,301 (-3%)	11mo	$180,000	$138	67
829 York St	0.16mi	3/1.5	1,147 (-14%)	1mo	$208,300	$182	66
563 Bailey St	0.33mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,424 (+6%)	4mo	$69,000	$48	62
1153 Cooper St	0.44mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,410 (+5%)	2mo	$280,000	$199	60
821 N 2nd St	0.59mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,317 (-2%)	2mo	$265,000	$201	60
318 State St	0.45mi	3/1.5	1,490 (+11%)	5mo	$220,000	$148	54
1116 N 19th St	0.67mi	3/1.5	1,258 (-6%)	8mo	$255,000	$203	50
423 Trenton Ave	0.73mi	3/1.0	1,149 (-14%)	11mo	$185,000	$161	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 71.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.25×
• Total profit: $67,794
• Equity at exit: $11,108

10-year hold

• IRR: 75.7%
• Equity multiple: 8.76×
• Total profit: $161,953
• Equity at exit: $6,441

Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 21 Tenant-Leaning
• State New Jersey: 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 08102

• Home prices YoY: -4.3%
• Active inventory: 24
• Price-to-rent: 2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,227 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$391
• Tax from tax record: −$84 /mo · $1,007/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$468
• Net cashflow: $1,254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $640

Max offer price $74,500

Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,625
• Closing costs: $2,235
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 19 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
331 Point St Camden, NJ	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,900	$1.90	19d	1	0.72mi
1 Market St Camden, NJ	3.0	1.0–2.0	1190	$2,456	$2.06	2d	15	0.75mi
727 Berkley St Camden, NJ	2.0	1.5	1008	$1,660	$1.65	24d	1	0.83mi
440 Henry St Camden, NJ	3.0	1.5	1224	$2,200	$1.80	24d	1	0.89mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ	2.0	1.0	1092	$1,500	$1.37	19d	1	0.89mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ	2.0	1.0	1092	$1,500	$1.37	13d	1	0.89mi
708 Royden St Camden, NJ	3.0	1.0	1113	$1,595	$1.43	18d	1	0.93mi
609 Henry St Camden, NJ	3.0	1.0	1290	$1,600	$1.24	24d	1	1.04mi
1509 Park Blvd Camden, NJ	1.0–2.0	1.0	1075	$1,650	$1.53	24d	1	1.15mi
1055 Kenwood Ave Camden, NJ	4.0	1.0	1088	$1,875	$1.72	24d	1	1.17mi
1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ	3.0	1.5	1353	$1,900	$1.40	10d	1	1.28mi
501 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Philadelphia, PA	1.0–3.0	1.0–3.0	1062	$5,148	$4.85	1d	100	1.33mi
1325 N Beach St Philadelphia, PA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	859	$4,039	$4.70	1d	10	1.37mi
264 Boyd St Unit B Camden, NJ	2.0	1.0	1616	$1,700	$1.05	24d	1	1.37mi
503 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Unit TOWNHOUSE Philadelphia, PA	2.0	2.5	1311	$3,610	$2.75	3d	1	1.40mi
503 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Unit TOWNHOUSE Philadelphia, PA	2.0	2.5	1311	$4,593	$3.50	1d	1	1.40mi
503 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Unit 1503 Philadelphia, PA	3.0	2.5	1450	$3,825	$2.64	5d	1	1.40mi
1130 N Delaware Ave Philadelphia, PA	2.0	1.0–2.5	1194	$3,600	$3.01	10d	12	1.44mi
1364 Kaighn Ave Camden, NJ	2.0	1.0	912	$1,485	$1.63	3d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   status $74,500 Pending 16 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $74,500 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $74,500 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $74,500 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $74,500 Active 13 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $74,500 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $74,500 Active 10 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $74,500 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $74,500 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,500 Active 5 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $74,500 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
13. 2026-06-02
    listed $74,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,007 · $84/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,431 · $119/mo
• Expected delta: +$424/yr (+$35/mo · 42.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,721
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,173
• − Property taxes: −$1,007
• − Insurance: −$372
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,138
• − Management: −$2,138
• − Depreciation: −$2,167
• Taxable income: $14,726
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,534
• After-tax cash flow: $11,508/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Camden City School District
• NCES district ID: 3402640
• Math proficiency: 3% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $25,845
• Composite: 6.85/100
• National rank: #9981
• State rank: #472 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Camden

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #262
• US rank: #7721

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Camden, NJ
• County: Camden County · 407,624 people
• City population: 20,865
• Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
• Population (ZIP): 8,292
• Household income: $33,852
• Rent vs Own: 76.4% rent · 23.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 562.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 507,964 people
• By 2030: 502,182 · -1.1%
• By 2040: 485,602 · -4.4%
• By 2050: 465,630 · -8.3%
• By 2075: 419,986 · -17.3%
• By 2100: 369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 64% Black 20% Two or more races 14% White 13% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 40% Dominican 14%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada
• Languages at home: 48% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -8.61%
• Current HPI: 192.0092
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	3	$31B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$153B
▸Technology	2	$21B
▸Insurance	2	$20B
▸Healthcare	2	$19B
▸Financial Services	1	$70B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Listed $74,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,007 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.